Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout5.3 Prezoning and Annexation Camp Parks AGENDA STATEMENT CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: September 23 , 1985 SUBJECT: PUBLIC HEARING PA 85-018 Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation (Camp Parks Area) to prezone and annex approximately 2 , 700 acres of public lands generally located north of I-580 and west of Tassajara Road: EXHIBITS ATTACHED: Exhibits : A. Draft Resolution adopting environmental documents . B . Draft Resolution Approving and Establishing findings and General Provisions for Agricultural and Planned Development Industrial Prezoning. C. Draft Ordinance Amending Zoning Ordinance . D. Draft Resolution regarding Property Tax Revenue. E. Draft Resolution regarding Filing Annexation Application with LAFCO. Background Attachments : 1 . Location Map. 2 . June 17 , 1985 , Planning Commission Staff Report with comments on the environmental document and Staff responses attached. 3 . March 11 , 1985 , City Council Agenda Statement with comments from property owners attached. 4 . July 31, 1985 Memo referencing: Zoning Contracts-County Property. 5 . Memorandum from City Manager regarding Fiscal Impact Analysis . 6 . Fiscal Impact Report prepared by Gruen and Gruen Associates . RECOMMENDATION: 1 . Open public hearing and hear Staff presentation. 2 . Take testimony from the public. 3 . Question Staff and the public. 4 . Close public hearing and deliberate. ----------------------------------------------------------------- ITEM N0. ,,5-t3 COPIES TO: Propery Owners 5 . Adopt resolution regarding environmental documents . 6 . Adopt Resolution Approving and Establishing Findings and General Provisions for Agricultural and Planned Development Industrial Prezoning. 7 . Waive reading and introduce ordinance amending Zoning Ordinance. 8 . Adopt resolution regarding property tax revenue. 9 . Adopt resolution regarding filing of LAFCO annexation application. 10 . Direct Staff to prepare a letter to Dublin San Ramon Service District requesting it ' s support of the annexation. FINANCIAL STATEMENT: The annexation of these parcels would have a positive fiscal impact on the City. ( See attached Fiscal Impact Memorandum and Report ) DESCRIPTION: I . BACKGROUND On October 8 , 1984 , the City Council directed Staff to proceed with the annexation of the Parks Reserve Forces Training Area (Camp Parks ) and Tassajara Creek Regional Park . The Staff contacted the property owners in the area and received varying responses . On March 11, 1985 , the City Council expanded the annexation proposal to include all publicly owned land to the east of the City. The City Council determined that the consolidated proposal would provide a better forum for discussing road way access to the east and the potential effects of Alameda County' s development plans on the City ' s annexation of the area . Staff proceeded with the environmental review, prezoning, services and financial plan, and other annexation requirements. On June 17 , 1985 , the Planning Commission recommended that the environmental documents be adopted, and that the prezoning and annexation applications be approved. With the assistance of Gruen and Gruen Associates , the services and financial plan has been drafted . II ISSUES The annexation involves three basic issues : environmental review; prezoning; and services and financial plan. A. Environmental Review: Staff prepared an Initial Study and proposed that the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan, along with responses to comments on the prezoning and annexation, be used as the environmental documents for the proposal . The General Plan environmental documents include the Draft EIR ( Environmental Impact Report ) , responses to comments on the Draft EIR, supplemental EIR, responses to comments on the supplemental EIR, and statement of overriding considerations . ABAG, MTC, and the Bay Area Air Quality Management District requested more detailed analysis than contained in the General Plan environmental documents . Bart requested that, if a station site is adopted in the area, an overlay zone be developed. These agency comments and Staff ' s specific responses are attached ( see Attachment 2 ) . Staff finds that the General Plan environmental documents are as complete and provide as much analysis as is feasible or warranted at this time. No physical development projects are being proposed or approved as part of this prezoning and annexation. When more defined plans or specific development projects are proposed, the more detailed information requested by the agencies should be considered as part of those projects ' environmental reviews . Staff recommends that the General Plan environmental documents, along with responses to comments on the prezoning and annexation, be found to be complete and adequate for this project in compliance with CEQA ( California Environmental Quality Act ) . B . PREZONING When the City Council initiated the prezoning of the area, it considered various prezoning options . The City Council initiated the process with a ) the General Plan designated Public Lands area prezoned to Agricultural District and b) the General Plan designated industrial areas prezoned to Planned Development-Industrial District with new development projects to be processed as a Planned Development Rezoning consistent with the General Plan descriptions . The Planning Commission reviewed the prezoning options, found that the prezoning to Agricultural District and Planned Development-Industrial District was appropriate, and recommended approval . Staff notes that the proposed prezoning would require a new public land use to secure a Conditional Use Permit . However , the County retains ownership of its property, and these uses would be exempt from City building and zoning ordinances ( see Attachment 4 ) . C. SERVICES AND FINANCIAL PLAN See City Manager ' s memorandum. III RECOMMENDATION The Planning Commission recommended adoption of the environmental documents and approval of the prezoning and annexation application . The service and financial plan did not need Planning Commission action. Staff recommends that the City Council concur with the Planning Commission recommendations and take the following actions : 1 ) Adopt the resolution adopting the environmental documents ( Exhibit A) . 2 ) Adopt the resolution regarding the Agricultural and Planned Development-Industrial Prezoning ( Exhibit B) . 3 ) Waive reading and introduce the ordinance amending the Zoning Ordinance ( Exhibit C) . 4 ) Adopt the resolution regarding property tax revenue ( Exhibit D) . 5 ) Adopt the resolution regarding filing the LAFCO annexation application ( Exhibit E) 6 ) Direct Staff to prepare a letter to Dublin San Ramon Services District requesting it ' s support of the annexation. RESOLUTION NO. A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ------------------------------------------------------------------ ADOPTING THE GENERAL PLAN ENVIRONMENTAL DOCUMENTS, (FINAL AND DRAFT EIRS, RESPONSES TO COMMENTS ON THE DRAFT EIR, SUPPLEMENT TO THE EIR AND RESPONSES TO COMMENTS ON THE SUPPLEMENT TO THE EIR) ALONG WITH THE RESPONSES TO COMMENTS ON THE ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW OF THE PREZONING AND ANNEXATION PROPOSAL, AS THE ENVIRONMENTAL DOCUMENTS FOR PA 85-018 DUBLIN PUBLIC LANDS PREZONING AND ANNEXATION APPLICATION WHEREAS, the City Council on October 8 , 1984 and March 11, 1985 initiated the prezoning and annexation of approximately 2700 acres of publicly-owned properties generally east of Dougherty Road and Southern Pacific Right of Way; west of Tassajara Road; north of I-580 ; and south of Contra Costa County line as described in PA 85-018 Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Application; and WHEREAS, CEQA requires that certain projects be reviewed for environmental impact and that environmental documents be prepared; and WHEREAS, various environmental documents were prepared for the Dublin General Plan; specifically, a Final Environmental Impact Report which consisted of the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, supplemental EIR, responses to comments on the supplemental EIR, and statement of overriding considerations; and WHEREAS, on 3/25/85 , the City published a notice which described the project and .stated it planned to use the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan at the environmental documents for the prezoning annexation; and WHEREAS, the City also sent this notice to affected agencies, and individuals ; and WHEREAS, said agencies and individuals were given 45 days to respond to said notice; and WHEREAS, said notice identified the following significant environmental impacts; increased traffic, degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land and loss of open space; and WHEREAS,. the City received several letters from affected agencies regarding said environmental review; and WHEREAS, Staff prepared responses to said letters; and WHEREAS, a Staff report was submitted recommending that the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan, along with the responses to comments on the environmental review of the prezoning and annexation, will adequately serve as the environmental documents for this project ; WHEREAS, proper notice of said environmental review was given in all respects as required by law; and WHEREAS, the Planning Commission on June 17 , 1985 did review and recommend adoption of the environmental documents; and WHEREAS, the City Council did review and consider said environmental documents at a public hearing on September 23 , 1985 ; and DP -,83-20 EXHIBIT NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT THE City Council does hereby find that : 1 ) The significant environmental impacts resulting from this proposal are: increased traffic, degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land and loss of open space; 2 ) The statement of overriding considerations adopted by the City Council on 2/11/85 for the General Plan can adequately serve as the statement of overriding considerations for this project ; 3 ) The responses to comments adequately address the issues which were raised by affected agencies ; 4 ) The environmental documents prepared on the General Plan and the responses to comments on the environmental review for the prezoning and annexation have been completed in compliance of CEQA; BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Council does hereby adopt the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan, ( Final & Draft EIR' s, Responses to comments on the Draft EIR, Supplement to the EIR, & Responses to comments on the Supplement to the EIR) , along with the responses to comments on the environmental review for the prezoning and annexation, as the environmental documents for this project . PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this th day of 1985 . AYES : NOES: ABSENT: Mayor ATTEST: City Clerk DP 83-20 ' R RESOLUTION NO. A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ------------------------------------------------------------------ APPROVING AND ESTABLISHING GENERAL PROVISIONS FOR PA 85-018 DUBLIN PUBLIC LANDS PREZONING AND ANNEXATION APPLICATION WHEREAS, the City Council on October 8 , 1984 and" March 11, 1985 initiated the prezoning and annexation of approximately 2700 acres of publicly-owned properties generally east of Dougherty Road and Southern Pacific Right of Way; west of Tassajara Road; north of I-580 ; and south of Contra Costa County line as described in PA 85-018 Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Application; and WHEREAS, the Planning Commission did hold a public hearing on said prezoning and annexation on June 17 , 1985 and recommended approval and establishment of findings and general provisions concerning PA 85-018 ; and WHEREAS, the City Council did hold a public hearing on said application on September 23 , 1985 ; and WHEREAS, proper notice of said public hearing was given in all respects as required by law; and WHEREAS, a Staff report was submitted recommending specific prezoning designations; and WHEREAS, the City Council did hear and consider all said reports, recommendations, and testimony as herein set forth; and NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT THE Dublin Planning Commission does hereby find that : 1 ) the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan, along with the responses to comments on the environmental review for the prezoning and annexation, will adequately serve -as the environmental documents for this project; and 2 ) The prezoning designations are consistent with the General Plan; and 3 ) . The prezoning is appropriate for the subject properties in terms of being compatible to existing land uses in the area . BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Council approves a ) the prezoning of the Public Lands area identified in the General Plan (approximately 2100 acres ) to an A (Agricultural) District and b) the prezoning of the Business Park/Industrial and Business Park Industrial Low Coverage areas to a PD (Planned Development )- Industrial District . The PD-Industrial area shall be governed by the following general provisions : 1 ) All new development projects in the Business Park Industrial and Business Park Industrial; Low Coverage areas shall be processed as a new PD rezoning. 2 ) In the Business Park/Industrial area (approximately 400 acres ) new development shall conform to the General Plan description which states : "Uses are non-retail busineses ( research, limited manufacturing and distribution activities, and administrative offices ) that do not involve heavy trucking or generate nuisances due to emissions, noise, or open uses . Residential uses are not permitted. Maximum attainable ratios of floor DP 83-20 '�' *0 :. r area to site area (FAR) are contolled by parking and landscaping requirements and typically result in . 35 to . 40 FAR' s . Examples : Clark Avenue; Sierra Court . " 3 ) In the Business Park Industrial/Low Coverage area (approximately 200 acres) new development shall conform to the General Plan description which states : "This classification is intended to provide a campus-like setting with open plazas and landscaped pedestrian amenities for the uses described in the Business Park/Industrial classification for the Primary Planning Area and to allow retail uses to serve businesses and residents . Maximum floor area ratio (building floor area as percent of lot area) to be determined by zoning regulations should be between . 25 and . 37 . " 4 ) In both Business Park Industrial areas, new public land uses shall require a Conditional Use Permit . PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this th day of , 1985 . AYES : NOES : ABSENT: Mayor ATTEST: City Clerk DP 83-20 ��•-0.i \ .� �� tJORTf� C�S�P \' ui NORTH U.S. GOVERNMENT l` DEPARTMENT OF AIR FORCE q I ` ' '1 °x PRO)E T SITE �.� ..1 CAMP PARKS RESERVE TRAINING AREA VICINITY MAP EAST BAY REGIONAL PARK 1 (j U.S. DEPT. OF JUSTICE I ALAMEDA COUNTY LAND AU.S. NAT. AERONAUTICS SANTA RITA REHABILITATION CENTER Ink & SPACE ADM. So (JT 'P U.S. GOVERNMENT I ,"ttT e11G1"L[111H0 otsw"te SANTINA & ,�^Ytrl"� DUBLIN PUBLIC LANDS ANNEXATION „ , ,ectr, °^••"' �'_.'� THOMPSON wc. we No. t"tt^te, ATTACHMENT —1 r^0,.1"04. 1060 O.k G....R..d.C--d.Cd11o1N. •IS18 161,1 arox00. T.L.,]e,635.m1n. CALIFORNIA DUBLIN pHINTEO r.ea R0, By oat ntvulo", ORDINANCE NO. AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN AMENDING THE ZONING ORDINANCE TO PERMIT THE PREZONING OF REAL PROPERTY LOCATED. TO THE EAST OF THE EXISTING CITY LIMITS ---------------------------------------------------------------- The City Council of the City of Dublin does ordain as follows : Section 1 : Chapter 2 of Title 8 of the Dublin Ordinance Code is hereby amended in the following manner : The Parks Reserve Forces Training Area ( Camp Parks ) (APN 946-15- 1-5 ) , the U. S . Department of Justice property and National Aeronautics and Space Administration property located within APN 946-15-1-5 , the U.S . Department of Air Force property (946-15-1- 6 ) , the East Bay Regional Park District property ( 946-15-1-7 ) and the northerly 320+ acres of the Alameda County property ( 946-15- 1-4 ) is hereby prezoned to an Agricultural District . The southern portion of Alameda County property and the U. S. Government parcel ( 946-15-2 ) are hereby prezoned to a PD/Business Park Industrial District ( 400+ acres ) and a PD/Business Park Industrial : Low Coverage District ( 200+ acres) . Exhibit B, Findings and General Provisions concerning PA 85-018 on file in the Dublin Planning Department is hereby adopted as the regulations for the use, improvement and maintenance of the property within this District upon annexation to the City. A map of the area is as follows : ' . • !Tassalare Creek t • •/ Regional Park ` • Pnrks Reserve • a •forces Training • •��(� a • Area •.♦ . • • • ♦ • i O •. •.• ♦ Sania Rita a. • • l • • RehabiliWhOn Cenler Z . ♦ •• • Q ♦ • • ' Business Park/Industrial:Low Coverage i Business Park/Indusbial p t mI• IGL . I I Public Lends Section 2 : This ordinance shall take effect and - be enforced ( 30 ) days from and after its passage. Before the expiration of ( 15 ) days after its passage it shall be published � rr, once with the names of the Councilmembers voting for and against the same and in the Tri-Valley Herald a newspaper published in Alameda County and available in the City of Dublin. PASSED AND ADOPTED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ON THIS TH DAY OF , 1985 .. AYES: NOES: ABSENT: Mayor ATTEST: City Clerk RESOLUTION NO. A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN --=-------------------------------------------------------------- AGREEING TO AN EXCHANGE OF PROPERTY TAX REVENUE CONCERNING PA 85-018 DUBLIN PURBLIC LANDS PREZONING AND ANNEXATION APPLICATION WHEREAS, the City Council on October 8 , 1984 and March 11, 1985 initiated the prezoning and annexation of approximately 2700 acres of publicly-owned properties generally east of Dougherty Road and Southern Pacific Right of Way; west of Tassajara Road; north of I-580 ; and south of Contra Costa County line as described in PA 85-018 Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Application; and WHEREAS, section 99 of the Revenue and Taxation Code (AB 8 ) provides, among other things, that no local agency jurisdictional change can be completed without the agencies affected by such change first having agreed upon an exchange of property tax revenue between and among the affected agencies; and WHEREAS, the Alameda County Board of Supervisors (Resolution No 186574 ) have developed a method for equitably distributing the property taxes; and WHEREAS, each specific annexation needs a resolution from both the City and County agreeing to the exchange of property tax revenues for the annexation to be completed and filed with the State; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED: 1 . That for the said annexation by the City of Dublin, (which will be first effective for the fiscal year following the filing of the Certificate of Completion with the State Board of Equalization providing the filing occurs prior to December 31 of the preceding year ) the Auditor-Controller of the County of Alameda shall be directed to cause an exchange of property tax revenues pursuant to the following provisions of paragraph numbers 1 and 3 of Exhibit "A" of the property tax revenues redistribution method developed by the Alameda County Board of Supervisors . 1 ) In all annexations involving developed or developing residential territory, as well as mixed residential/commercial areas and vacant or underdeveloped industrially-zoned areas, the City would automatically be entitled to receive an allocation of the County' s general fund computed property tax revenue from that area, equal to the City/County' s existing allocation percentage ratio within its corporate limits; 3 ) In the event that a City assumes full responsibility for a service or services presently provided by a separate County Taxing agency or special district within a territory proposed to be annexed, pursuant to Revenue and Taxation Code Sec. 99 (b) , the County will endeavor to transfer to the City the entire computed property tax revenue presently allocated to such County agency or district from said area . 2 ) The City certifies that there is no significant commercial and/or industrial development in the proposed annexation. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the Dublin City Council does hereby agree to the property tax revenues redistribution method stated herein. PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this day of 1985 . AYES: NOES: ABSENT: Mayor ATTEST: City Clerk RESOLUTION NO. A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ------------------------------------------------------------------ DIRECTING STAFF TO FILE AN APPLICATION WITH LAFCO REGARDING PA 85-018 DUBLIN PUBLIC LANDS PREZONING AND ANNEXATION APPLICATION WHEREAS, the City Council on October 8 , 1984 and March 11, 1985 initiated the prezoning and annexation of approximately 2700 acres of publicly-owned properties generally east of Dougherty Road and Southern Pacific Right of Way; west of Tassajara Road; north of I-580 ; and south of Contra Costa County line as described in PA 85-018 Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Application; and WHEREAS, the Planning Commission did hold a public hearing on said application on 6/17/85 and recommended that the City Council direct Staff to file an application with LAFCO regarding PA 85-018 ; and WHEREAS, the City Council did hold a public hearing on said application on September 23 , 1985 ; and WHEREAS, public notice of said prezoning and annexation was given in all respects as required by law; and WHEREAS, the environmental documents adopted for the General Plan, along with the responses to comments on this proposal, will adequately serve as the environmental documents for this project; and WHEREAS, a Staff report was submitted recommending that an annexation application be filed with LAFCO; and WHEREAS, the City Council did hear and consider all said reports, recommendations and testimony as herein set forth. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT THE Dublin City Council does hereby find that : 1 ) The area to be annexed is within the Sphere of Influence previously adopted by LAFCO; 2 ) The area to be annexed is contiguous to the City and will be a logical extension of City boundaries; 3 ) The annexation will ensure that future development conforms to City regulations and design criteria.; 4 ) The annexation will facilitate planning of the affected properties and the properties to the east ; 5 ) The annexation is consistent with the General Plan 6 ) The City has approved the prezoning of the area to be annexed to A (Agricultural ) District and PD (Planned Development ) - Industrial District; M Ell% EXH U1 I DP 83-20 7 ) The City has agreed to an exchange of property tax revenue for said annexation. 8 ) The annexation will have a positive fiscal impact on the City. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Council hereby directs staff to file an application with LAFCO with respect to this annexation. PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this th day of , 1985 . AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ATTEST: Mayor City Clerk DP 83-20 CITY OF DUBLIN PLANNING COMMISSION AGENDA STATEMENT/STAFF REPORT Meeting Date : June 17, 1985 TO: Planning Commission FROM: Planning Staff SUBJECT: PA 85-018 , Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation (Camp_ Parks Area ) to prezone and annex approximately 2 , 700 acres of Camp Parks , Alameda County, Tassajara Creek Regional Park, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, U.S . Department of Air Force, U .S. Department of Justice and U.S . Government properties generally located north of I-580 and west of Tassajara Road GENERAL INFORMATION PROJECT: Prezoning and annexation of the publicly- owned properties noted above; No privately- owned properties are included as part of this project. APPLICANT & REPRESENTATIVE: City of Dublin 6500 Dublin Boulevard, - Suite D Dublin, California 94568 PROPERTY CWNERS : U .S . Department of the Army U . S . Department of the Air Force U .S . Department of Justice National Space & Aeronautics Administration East Bav Regional Park District Alameda County U. S . Government LOCATION: Bounded on the north by Contra Costa County, on the south by Southern Pacific Railroad and Interstate: 580 , on the west by Dougherty Road and the east by Tassajara Road. (A small portion of property in private ownership west of Tassajara Road is not included in this application; see location map, Attachment 1) ASSESSOR PARCEL NUMBERS : 941-15-1-5, 941-15-1-6, 94-15-1-7 , 941-15-1-4 , 941-15-2 PARCET_ SIZE : U.S . Department of Army : 1196 . 6 acres U. S . Department of Air Force : 11. 6 acres U. S . Department of Justice : 83 . 0 acres National Space & Aeronautics : 8 . 4 acres East Bay Regional Park Dist : 457 . 3 acres Alameda County : 951 . 8 acres U. S . Government : 4 . 7 acres TOTAL 2713 . 4 acres EXISTING ZONING AND LAND USE : The entire area is presently zoned Agriculturai . Existing land use consists of a Federal Reserve Training area , a Federal Prison, a County Jail , a Regional Park and two small parcels utilized by the Air Force and National Aeronautics and Space Administration . ----------------------------------------------------------------- ITEM NO. ATTACHM�LNI w� GENERAL PLAN DESIGNATION & Camp Parks , the East Bay Regional Park and DEFINITIONS : the northern portion of Alameda County property are designated Public Lands . The southern portion of the County property , (approximately 600 acres ) is designated for both Business Park Industrial and Business Park/Industrial Low Coverage. Public Lands Large holdings such as Parks RFTA, Santa Rita and Tassajara Creek Regional Park . Business Park/Industrial Uses are non-retail businesses (research, limited manufacturing and distribution activities, and administrative offices) that do not involve heavy trucking or generate nuisances due to emissions , noise, or open uses . Residential uses are not permitted. Maximum attainable ratios of floor area to site area (FAR) are controlled by parking and landscaping requirements and typically result in .35 to . 40 FAR ' s . Examples : Clark Avenue ; Sierra Court . Business Park/Industrial ; Low Coverage : This classification is intended to provide a campus-like setting with open plazas and landscaped pedestrian amenities for the uses described in the Business Park/Industrial classification for the Primary Planning Area and to allow retail uses to serve businesses and residents . Maximum floor area ratio (building floor area as percent of lot area) to be determined by zoning regulations should be between . 25 and . 37 . APPLICABLE REGULATIONS : Various California statutes deal with annexation procedures , the California Environmental Quality Act documents environmental review procedures , and the California Planning Law describes prezoning regulations . ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: The City is proposing to use the environmental documents prepared for the General Plan, along with responses to comments for this proposal as the environmental documents for this project . NOTIFICATION:) Public Notice of the 6/17/85 hearing was published in the Tri-valley Herald, mailed to adjacent property owners , and posted in public buildings . ANALYSIS : At its meeting of October 8 , 1984 , the Dublin City Council voted unanimously to proceed with the annexation of those lands within the Parks Reserve Training Area (Camp Parks ) and Tassajara Creek Regional Park. At its meeting of March 11, 1985 , the Dublin City Council voted to expand this area to include the County-owned property west of Tassajara Road. Furthermore, the City Council directed Staff to develop a service and financial plan for those areas to be annexed in accordance with the requirements of the Local Agency Commission Formation (LAFCO) . (See Attachment 2 ) -2- After the 3/11/85 City Council meeting, Staff sent out notices to affected agencies and individuals regarding the proposed project and the City' s intention of using the General Plan environmental documents as the environmental documents for this project . Staff has also begun preparing a service and financial plan for the areas to be annexed. Since the environmental review period is over, and because the City Council has set a relatively tight time schedule to complete the annexation, this project has been set for Planning Commission action. The Planning Commission needs to make a recommendation on the following three items : 1) Whether the environmental document is in compliance with CEQA, 2 ) Prezoning designations for the affected area and 3 ) Specific areas to be annexed. The service and financial plan (which has not been finalized at this time) does not need Commission action. The three recommendations needed by the Commission are discussed in detail below: ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The City received responses on the environmental review from: East Bay Regional Park District, City of Pleasanton, Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) , Metropolitan Transportion Commission (MTC) , Bay Area Air Quality Management District, State Clearinghouse and BART. (See Attachments 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 9 . ABAG, MTC, Bay Area Air Quality Management District, requested the City to provide a more detailed analysis than contained in the General Plan EIR. BART requested an overlay zone be adopted at a subsequent time in the area to be annexed. Staff responses to these agencies comments are contained in Attachments 10, 11, 12, & 13 ) It is Staff ' s position that the General Plan environmental documents provide as much analysis as is feasible or warranted at this time , and that more detailed information requested by these agencies should be done at the time specific development projects are proposed. No projects are being proposed or approved as part of this prezoning and annexation . Since any potential development of the 600 acres of industrial property owned by Alameda County is perhaps 5-8 years away, any detailed studies done at this time would probably be outdated by the time a specific project was proposed. This may lead to a situation where an entirely new environmental review is required, resulting in two environmental reviews for one project. If development was 1-2 years away, of known amount and type, it may be appropriate to do the environmental review at this time . However, that is not the case in this situation . When the initial General Plan EIR was developed, it did not envision an additional 660 acres in the extended planning area being designated' for industrial business park uses . This is the reason why a Supplemental EIR was developed. The Supplemental EIR examined the environmental effects of the plan changes on traffic , jobs/housing balance and air quality . The Supplemental EIR was circulated to affected agencies and individuals for review and comments . Responses to comments were then prepared. Finally, on 2/11/85 the Dublin City Council adopted the General Plan and Final EIR, which consisted of the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the Supplemental EIR, and statement of overriding considerations ( See Attachment 14 ) It is Staff ' s position that the environmental documents noted above are adequate , in compliance with CEQA and can serve as the environmental documents for this project . Further refinements and more detailed analysis will be considered when specific development projects are proposed. -3- PREZONING DESIGNATIONS One of LAFCO' s policies is to require a City to prezone property prior to submitting a petition to annex territory. The purpose of this policy is to make it clear to LAFCO, affected agencies and individuals the City' s future intent for the subject area . The prezoning also establishes the zoning that will be effective at such time the annexation is completed. Staff has identified the following six options for the prezoning : 1 - prezone the site to Public Lands, Business Park/Industrial and Business Park/Industrial : Low Coverage as provided in the General Plan; 2 - prezone the Public Lands area to Agricultural and the Industrial areas to M-1, Light Industrial ; 3 - prezone the Public Lands area to Agricultural, and the Business Park/Industrial and the Business Park/Industrial Low Coverage areas to an interim ordinance ; - 4 - prezone the entire area to an interim ordinance; 5 - request LAFCO waive the prezoning requirement ; 6 - prezone the Public Lands area to Agricultural and prezone both industrial areas (Business Park/Industrial and Business Park/Industrial : Low Coverage) to M-1, with an overlay that states no development shall be allowed in this area unless a Planned Development is approved. The disadvantage associated with option one is that the City does not presently have a Public Lands Zoning District or a Business Park Low Coverage District. These ordinances will have to be developed separately or as part of the comprehensive revision of the Zoning Ordinance . The City Council could delay the annexation until these zoning districts were developed, but this could be a lengthy process . The disadvantage associated with option two is that the existing M-1 ordinance is much too broad for the Low Coverage and Business Park Industrial areas . The Scarlett Court area is reflective of M-1 uses . Option three is a valid option because it enables the City to adopt an interim ordinance for both industrial areas . In essence, an interim ordinance precludes or substantially restricts most uses within a designated area until a specific ordinance is adopted. State law allows a City to adopt an interim ordinance, provided it is done by a four- fifth vote of the legislative body. The interim ordinance is initially valid for 45 days and can be subsequently extended for ten months and 15 days and then again for one more year, for a total of two years . While the new ordinance is being adopted, the City could process individual development proposals with a Conditional Use Permit . The Conditional Use Permit process would ensure that the proposed development would not conflict with the future ordinance . If a specific ordinance was not adopted within the two year period, the City Council could zone the Business Park/Industrial areas to M-1, with a PD overlay . -4- Option four would result in adopting an interim ordinance for the entire area . This approach would give the City two years to develop specific zoning ordinances for the Public Lands area and both Industrial areas and would allow certain uses to proceed with a Conditional Use Permit. Option five would result in a formal request by the City to , request LAFCO to waive the requirement to prezone the annexed area . This request, if approved, would eliminate the problem of prezoning for the near future, but the City would be faced with the zoning issue after the annexation was completed. If the City did not prezone the property, an interim zoning ordinance would almost have to be adopted when the annexation was completed. The waiving of the prezoning requirement would not result in a shorter time period to complete the annexation . The reason that time would not be saved is because the prezoning process could be done in conjunction with the environmental review, which has a 45 day review period. Prezoning the property at this time would clearly establish the City ' s intent for this area and would avoid the need to have an interim ordinance once the annexation was completed. Staff recommends that the Planning Commission choose option six, which would include the prezoning of the public lands properties to Agricultural and the Business Park/Industrial and Business Park/Industrial Low Coverage areas to M-1 . An overlay district would be established in both business park/industrial areas which would require a Planned Development (PD) to be approved for all new development proposals .- The Planned Development process would ensure that development is consistent with the objectives and policies for the business park/industrial areas as identified in the General Plan . Further refinements would be done to the zoning districts after the property was annexed. In the long term, it may be best to develop a specific plan in this area to further implement the policies of the General Plan. At the 3/11/85 City Council Meeting, the City Council voted unanimously to initiate prezoning of the subject area under option number six. Staff believes this is the best alternative for this proposal . ANNEXATION One of the principal goals identified by the City Council is to annex the publicly-owned properties west of Tassajara Road. This entire area is within the sphere of influence adopted by LAFCO on 1/18/84 . Not only is this area within the City' s Sphere of Influence, but is contiguous to the City as well . Accordingly, the area should be annexed to ensure future land uses and development comply with City regulations and design standards . Further, the City will be in a better position to plan the development of this area if it is annexed. When LAFCO approved the City' s Sphere of Influence, they made several findings, among them were : 1) The type of development occuring in the area outside of the City and the DSRSD but within the Sphere of Influence will be a reasonable distribution of housing, commercial and industrial development . Adequate finances are considered available for this development . 2 ) Areas within the Sphere of Influence that are outside of the City of Dublin and the Dublin San Ramon Services District are provided minimum levels of police and fire protection and no recreation services , domestic water -5- or sewage disposal system. Adequate levels of municipal services would be provided to areas as they are actually annexed to the City and the District . 3 ) The range of services to the area of the District and , City are adequate . . The City and District have the capability to provide a full range of services to areas as they are annexed. 4 ) The present City of Dublin is the commercial center for the proposed Sphere of Influence and any developments within the Sphere would probably be served by the commercial and cultural attractions of the present City of Dublin. The area south of I-580 generally is served by the City of Pleasanton . Staff believes that it is appropriate and necessary to annex the publicly-owned properties , west of Tassajara Road for the reasons noted above . RECOMMENDATION FORMAT: 1) Open public hearing and hear staff presentation 2 ) Take testimony from the public 3 ) Question staff 4 ) Close public hearing and deliberate 5 ) Adopt Resolutions regarding the Environmental Review, Prezoning, and annexation ACTION: Staff recommends the Planning Commission adopt the following three Resolutions : 1) Exhibit A - A Resolution recommending the environmental documents be adopted 2) Exhibit B - A Resolution recommending the prezoning be approved 3 ) Exhibit C- A Resolution recommending the City Council direct Staff to file an annexation application with LAFCO ATTACHMENTS 1) Exhibit A Draft Resolution re : the environmental review 2 ) Exhibit B Draft Resolution re : the prezoning 3 ) Exhibit C Draft Resolution re : the annexation 4 ) Exhibit D Draft Ordinance Background Attachments 1 ) Location Map 2 ) March 11 , 1985 City Council staff report 3 ) Letter from East Bay Regional Park District 4 ) Letter from City of Pleasanton 5 ) Letter from Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) 6 ) Letter from Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC ) 7 ) Letter from Bay Area Air Quality Management District 8 ) Letter from State Clearinghouse 9 ) Letter from BART 10 ) Letter to BART 11 ) Letter to MTC -6- 12 ) Letter to ABAG 13 ) Letter to Bay Area Air Quality Maintenance District 14 ) Statement of overriding considerations for adoption of General Plan COPIES TO National Space and Aeronautics Administration U.S . Department of Army U.S . Department of Air Force U.S . Department of Justice U. S . Government East Bay Regional Park District Alameda County -7- 1 i 1 g0AIi0 of 01RECropS ' WALTER COSTA.Prn,.f-n ` TEO RAOKE.Yws P-S-1-A ` l y. I 1 B \Zl LYNN eOWERS.SOCTO"VY ,y 11 -11 •IOXN O'004VELL.tl .sulw 1 JALIES X OUNCAN Re 1'ark DistriCt MARY LEE.EFFEROS XARLAN KESSEL i 1500 SKYLINE BOULEVARD. OAKLAND, CALIFORNIA 94619 TELEPHONE(415)531.9300 RICXAROC rRUCEAU G~31 Manaym RECEIVED. DUBLIN PLp,NNING Mr. Lawrence Tong Dublin Planning Department P. 0. Box 2340 Dublin, CA 94560 Subject: Proposed Annexation of Tassajara Creek Regional Park to the City of Dublin Dear Mr. Tong: The EBRPD has reviewed the notice of the subject project. The District understands that Tassajara Creek RegionalPark un would be prthatned foand agricultural uses under the project. also recreational development would be a permissible use under that Zoning. If the above understandings are correct, the District has no cause to offer objections to the project. If the City decides to proceed with any further environmental impact document, the contact person will be the undersigned who may be reached on Extension 263. Very truly yours, T. H. Lindenmeyer Environmental Coordinator Planning and Design TL:lm cc: R. C. Trudeau J. Kent L. Crutcher H. Hornbeck �, ��� 1. �� ��`���•, NSANTo CITY OF PLEASANT vN \ / N P.O. BOX 520 PLEASANTON, CALIFORNIA 94566-0802 0 YOFFICES RE C E IV EE' 0 OLD BERNAL AVE. May 8 , 19^05 p_ 'Y COUNCIL ,7-8001 Y MANAGER 17-8008 DUBLIN PLANNING Y ATTORNEY Mr. Tom DeLuca 17-8003 Planning Department DANCE City of Dublin 17.8033 P. 0. BOX 2340 RSONNEL 47-8012 Dublin, California 94563 ANNING 47.8023 Re: Pre zoning/Annexation of Camp Par;:s/Tassa j ara IGINEERING Road Area 47-8041 11LDING INSPECTION 47-8015 Dear Mr. DeLuca: IMMUNITY SERVICES 47-8160 The City of Pleasanton Planning Department has reviewed ELD SERVICES your public notice regarding the adequacy of X335 SUNOL BLVD. environmental documents for the City of Dublin's kRKS proposed prezoning and annexation of Camp Parks and 147-8056 Tassaj ara Road areas. UNITARY SEWER 147-8061 We note that the subject area was previously designate rREETS 347-8066 for the uses which are being proposed for the area of (ATER this annexation. Therefore, if the CEQA guidelines 347.8071 were followed in the preparation of the General Plan IRE EIR and it was certified by your Council as adequate, 4444 RAILROAD AVE. It would appear that the issues discussed in the EIR 847-8114 would be relevant to the annexation of these properties . We would agree that the listed 833eERNALAVE. environmental impacts in the notice (increased traffic, 847-8127 degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land, loss of open space) are potential significant impacts . It is probably more critical what environmental documentation will be prepared for future projects in this area. Your EIR discussed the future opportunities for public ,policy decisions, when further studies and more detailed environmental assessments could be made at the time of specific development plan submittals . We assume that this will be the case when this area is available for development under your jurisdiction and General Plan policies . Given the site location, it is inevitable that development will have impacts beyond your City boundaries, particularly with regards to 11A�! 9 .A-'mr".A �- . f � , Mr. Toin DeLuca May 8 , 1985 Page 2 traffic circulation, infrastructure improvements, housing, and air quality issues . We appreciate the opportunity to comment on this project and will do so again in the future where appropriate. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact this office. sincerely, Lawrence Lew Assistant Planner LL/kh l l ASSOCIATION OF BAY AREA GOVERNMENTS MelroCenter Eighth 3 Oak Streets I Oakland G (415)464-7900 R Mailing Address: PO. Box 2050 Oakland,CA 94604 May 3, 1985 Laurence Tong Planning Director City of Dublin P.O. Box 2340 Dublin, California 94568 Re: Public Notice of Intent to Prezone and Annex Land East of Dublin Dear Mr. Tong: Thank you for the opportunity to review this document. The following staff comments reflect general concerns expressed by many locally elected Bay Area officials as embodied in ABAG's Regional Plan 1980. ABAG's Executive Board has not taken a position on this document, nor on the proposed project. The above referenced notice indicates that you are considering using the General Plan EIR and its supplement as the environmental documents for the proposed annexation. While these EIRs were adequate for certifying Dublin's General Plan, we believe that more information is needed to evaluate the city's annexation proposal. First, the General Plan EIR does not evaluate alternative land uses for this site - for example, housing, or mixed uses. Second, it does not provide specific information about how proposed and approved development in other nearby communities will affect the subregional demand for housing. Unless this is discussed in the EIR, decision-makers cannot fully evaluate the project's impact. For example, both Livermore and Pleasanton have approved projects which could substantially increase employment opportunities in the Tri-Valley area_ However, we believe, Pleasanton is not expecting to provide housing opportunities beyond that required to house workers in its own planning area. Consequently, the environmental impact of adding more jobs could be much more substantial than if the project were located in eastern Contra Costa County where housing exceeds jobs. l �. The DEIR should also contain more information about the income levels associated with anticipated job growth. You may want to refer to the attached memos, prepared by ABAG for the I680/I580 Corridor Study. Mr. Laurence Tong May 3, 1985 Page 2 The Supplemental EIR questions whether small local jurisdictions can be expected to maintain a jobs/housing balance. With the rapid employment growth proposed for the Tri-Valley area, if small jurisdictions do not make adequate and affordable housing available to new workers, expected job growth may not in fact occur. If it does, a variety of impacts could severely affect existing residents. If you have any questions regarding these comments please contact Patricia Perry of our staff. Her direct dial number is 415-464-7937. Sincerely, Yvonne San Jule Planning Coordinator 1 � 'MTC METROPOLITAN • . TRANSPORTATION ' COMMISSION May 6, 1985 W.1. : 902.80.01 MEfROCENTER tot 8TH STREET Department - - t \4:•.I oAKL,�NO tl,ylbo7 •Ci ty of Dubl i n Planning ' (415)44-7700 6500 Dublin Boulevard Suite D Alameda County p 94568 i:;;' ..:, C •,,.s? y Dublin, JOSEPH P.SORT VALANCE GILL Attention: Tom DeLuca _ •`,"'-' ` -- ' __._. .. . ,:"' 1 Contra Costa County i ROBERT I.SCHROOER Subject: Environmental Document on *the •Annexation and :: ;,::;.:��;:•� 1 C°"` ' Prezoni n o ,696 acres Cam Parks/Santa Rita i STEVE WEIR Renabi station Center/ assajara Par , Marin County ROBERT a.STOCKWELL Dear Mr. 'DeLuca: . •"' Napa County ..•: .. ....._ .._..1 KATHLEEN McCULLOUCH .MTC staff has reviewed the Public Not ice from the City of Dublin >_•�_.; San Francisco— regarding the proposed use of the General Plan EIR as the ._.: City and County environmental document for the proposed project, which entails ; DORIS W.KAHN .....i ::'� Vice Chair annexation and prezoning of 2,696 acres north of I-580 between -.. . .. ..... . QUENTIN L.KOPP Dougherty and Tassajara Road. The 660 acres'closest to 'I-580 are "-�"-==.��-: ::11 San Mateo County proposed for commercial/industrial use, which would generate 19,800 JANE BAKER new jobs. This letter transmits staff comments. .. .: _ -. -t • .. JOHN M.WARD •. a-- t ...,.. i! S ame Clan County P P project) .The p proposed i s an annexation and prezoning, which - _~' •-� " �'.4 RODDBRIDON appears to be a distinct project, clearly separable .from and ROY LAVE ....subsequent to the original project, which was adoption of the :. ;;si=r=-} General Plan. Proposals to change the zoning of an area usually ;� . Solano County r f WILLIAM JENKINS are analyzed by a separate EIR rather .than�relyi ng on �a::General .f ''�:�•., Plan EIR; it's not clear why this prezoning should be treated Sonoma County .differently. Anew EIR that provides more detailed analysis of -'- -;:s :t• i =r : • :a WILLIAM R.LUCIUS :transportation and other concerns seems to be necessary. .;Association o :::...:. -: � :a� r%.,.t..-i.:�,c�•. ..'Jay Area Governments ''' - :• a' :. -.•:•. .::;• :::• t> '• - ..:- •`�'.- � RALPH C.BOLIN 2) - There have been numerous changes in the tion transportation. situa ....since the General Plan DEIR.was published in December, ]984. s.F.Bay c°"""arson - changes should be addressed in the -annexation' andDerdopment 4'� : '".These ch Commission •a•' EARL projecting defici-t of State funds for •the t,r; ,:.o.. :: Cal trans is ;q State easiness. Transportation and " . ' State Transportation Improvement Program of approximately Housing Agency : " $800 million, which may delay new construction projects, BURGH BACHTOLD such .as the widening of I-680. U.S.Department of Transportation ROBERT E.MAYER o Major interchange improvement projects needed to serve redevelopment of the Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center (i.e. , interchanges with I-580 at Tassajara/Santa Rita, Executive Director Dougherty/Hopyard and the proposed new Hacienda Drive LAWRENCE D.DAHMS interchange) are currently listed i n the region's Deputy ExecunveDirector Transportation Improvement Program (TIP), as locally funded WILLIAM F.HEIN projects. At present, the City of Dublin is not Letter to City of Dublin 2 :i.F,May 6, 1985. - participating in the funding °vet these subject property cannot benefit from them. Indeed, development p occur without these improvements to the area's transportation system. .. Serious consideration should be given to local contributions to needed improvements, including use of assessment and/or redevelopment districts, traffic impact fees, and other .forms of developer . -- contributions. o Extension of BART to Dublin and public transit use of.the San Ramon c; .' Railroad branch line have not been funded, and may .be del ayed i f the e- ri's ;Reagan Admi ni strati on s proposal tCreduce••-transi t 'funds a i implemented. A new EIR would seem to be necessary to address these changes in the :;, .. :_ ;...,_ transportation setting, and to analyze local funding options for needed . ,; -• `,: transportation improvements. ; 3) The possibility and environmental effects of alternative land uses *should be evaluated in an EIR. The alternatives in the General Plan EIR addressed the Primary Planning area of the City,-but not the area currently proposed for annexation. Designation of the annexation area for residential or mixed use, rather than Business Park/Industrial , could significantly improve the Tri-Valleys jobs/housing balance, and reduce the need for extensive highway widenings along I-580 and I-680 to accommodate in-commuting workers. We submitted comments on the General Plan Draft EIR on March 8, .1984, and have s response. A copy of the March 8 letter is attached, •: not received the City ; ;: and we resubmit those comments for the proposed annexation. We appreciate the opportunity to comment on your..'public notice. PI ease .send - me 'a notice of the decision reached by the City Counci 1 .''`:A copy of:the General Plan Final EIR, including the response to our March 8, 1984 .comments, and the statement of overriding considerations adopted February ;11 ; 1985 would L -also be appreciated. 'Very truly'yours�.. Ir. • Jeff Georgevich : f Environmental Review Officer. - JG:w Attachment cc: ABAG Clearinghouse Marianne Payne, BART Ed Pang, Caltrans Jean Roggenkamp, BAAQMD Joe Bort Mel Hing (1054Z) r ' '':Ljotropolitan Transportation. Commission. • March 8, 1984 W.I. : 902-90-01 Commissioners Alameda County JOSEPH PBOAT .Mr. Laurence Tong . VALANCE GILL City of Dublin ContraCoal-County Planning Department . ROBERT I.SCHROOER—Vice Cttair P.O. Box 2340 Dublin, CA 94568 STEvE WEIR ►tarin County Subject: Draft EIR for Dublin General Plan ._- ROBERT 8 STOCKWELL Napa County Dear Mr. Tong: WILLIAM L.CHEW Santa Cl.r.county This letter transmits MTC staff comments on the Draft EIR and-General Plan. ROO OIRIOON ROY LAVE 1) The assumptions used for the traffic forecasts (see page 2-22) San Francisco— are different from the assumptions in the discussion of the City and County jobs/housing balance (see page 3-30) , as indicated below: OORISW KAHN aL:ENTINL KOPP-.Cttal( Housina Units Jobs Jobs per Housing Unit C \Mateo County JANE t3AAER Traffic, Scenario 2A 97,000 '145,000 1 .49 ARLENGREGGRIO Traffic, Scenario 2B 119,000 242,000 2.03 Solano County ABAG Projections '83 90,000 132,200 1 .47 Planned Jobs 90,000 201 ,000 2.23 WILLIAM JENKINS Sonoma County The implications of more jobs and less housing than was assumed in WILLIAM LUCIUS the traffic section in TJKM's Scenario 2A should be discussed in Association of the traffic section, in terms of congestion on freeways and arteri- Bay Area Governments als. Maintaining a jobs/housing balance should be listed as a PALPHC BOLIN means of mitigating traffic congestion. S.F.Bay Conservation and oevelopmentcommisslon 2) The discussion of the proposed BART Extension to Dublin, on page EARL PMILLS 2-23, does not indicate a time frame for implementing BART service; State Business. but, the analysis of traffic congestion assumes that by 2005, 51. Tr'"'ngAgen '"° of peak period trips will use BART. In view of competition within Housing Agency P P P P VACANCY the Bay Area for rail funds, and. the• shortage of rail funds at the / state and national levels, the assumption that BART will be provid- U.S.Dept.of Transportation ing rail service to Dublin by 2005 may be optimistic. In order to ROBERT E.MAYER present a "worst case analysis," the EIR should indicate the effect Executive staff of not having a BART extension on local and regional roads. Eaecu"ve Olrector LAWRENCE CA-`AS 3) The Draft EIR lists BART, local bus, and the SP Transportation Cor- DeoutyEACCUIIVeolr*ctor ridor as mitigation measures, but indicates that those measures are WILLIAM FHEIN not "within the independent discretion of the City of Dublin" (see page 1 of the DEIR) . This discussion of mitigations on pages 1 and 10 should be expanded to include the following: Hotel Claremont . Berkeley, California 94705 • (415) 849-3223 ' Page 2: Letter from Ge le%-' 'h to Tong, Draft EIR for C lin :,o include Commute Alternatives , which are largely controlled by local cities. The traffic analysis assumes a 10% diversion of trips to carpools, which is unlikely to occur unless Dublin and other Tri-Valley communities encourage it. The at- tached chart, entitled "Suggested Commute Alternatives Program for New Development as a Function of Cumulative Employment," offers a variety of measures that could be mandated by the City through its development review process. The City may wish to include the chart in the EIR and the General Plan. o:provide .local funding for transit. Due to the shortage of funds for rail exten- sions and transit operating subsidies, all levels of government [federal , state, and regional] are giving high priority to transit projects that entail local com- mitment of more than the required minimum level of funding. Dublin should evalu- ate the use of benefit assessment districts around BART and LRT stations, develop- ment fees earmarked for transit, and other -local revenue generating mechanisms as means :of providing local funds for transit projects. Provision of such funding is within the "independent discretion" of the City, and would significantly im- ' prove: the likelihood of transit being provided. MTC appreciates the opportunity to review the Draft EIR, and looks fordard to receiv- ing a copy of the Final EIR. Very truly yours, Jeff Georgevich, Environmental Review Ofr"icer JG:r cc: ABAG Clearinghouse Att. SUGGEST 1TE ALTERNATIYES PROGRAM F.... )EYELOPMENT ,., A FUNCTION OF CUMULATIYE EMPLUsALNT Cumulative Employment A , B C D (50-100) (100-200) (200-500) (500+) 1 . Post transit 1 . Preferential park- 1 . Carpool/Yanpool 1 . Designate a information on ing for carpools/ matching program. Transporta- fares and sched- vanpools. (R) Lion Coordina- ules .in central for position location(s) .(T) with-in com- pany. 2. Post i nforraati on 2. Onsi to ticket sales 2. Annual survey of 2. Develop on carpool and for transit. (T) employee cortmute plan for vanpool cost patterns. (1 ) access to reg- savings. (R) (R), (M) _ ional transit services. (3) (T) , M- 3. Participate in 3., Comm to altenatives 3. Annual distribu- 3. Evaluate the RIDES campaigns. information packet tion of informa- role of subsi- (R) for new employees. tion to all dies (transit, (R), (T) employees on ride- . carpool , van- sharing possibili- pool ) in ties and transit achieving - information. local ride- sharing goals goals (2) . (T) , (R) 4. Participate in a 4. Transit amenities 4. Local incentives 4. Emergency local Transporta- (shelters, bus program-awards, backup for tation Coordinator turnouts, sidewalks, recognition, poss- carpool/van- Association. etc. ).(T) ible subsidies pool users etc. (2) 5. Bicycle storage, showers and lockers for bicyclists and walkers/joggers. 6. Evaluate feasibility of flex-time program. FOOTNOTES: (1 ) To be processed by others and made available to cities, transit districts, and ridesharing agencies. (2) Program to be submitted for local review prior to project approval ; amount of subsidies, if any, to be determined prior to local approval . (3) For residential developments, shuttles to regional transit should be consiaerzd. Agencies that can provide major assistance: (T) Transit district, (R)-RIDES or local ridesharing agency, (H)-KTC. (� l The chart is progressive; Column B includes all items listed in Column A, etc. -24- WPM BAY AREA AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT DISTRICT February 1 , 1985 City of Dublin P.O. Box 2340 Dublin, CA 94568 Attn: Laurence L . Tong Planning Director .... _ .. Dear Mr. Tong : We have reviewed the Supplemental EIR for the Dublin General Plan. The SEIR examines the effects of Plan re-designation of 660 acres from open space or residential development to L. business/industrial park development. The proposed change would add approximately 19,800 employees in a subregion already expected to have a net in-commute at full development. The air pollution impacts that could result from this change are not adequately addressed in the SEIR. No quantitative analysis of the impacts of the anticipated development is provided. We suggest that citizens and decision -... - makers would be much better informed if the potential level of air quality impacts of the Plan change were made known. The - -- planning stage provides an ideal point to consider cumulative effects and to establish policies to minimize the local and regional air quality impacts of development. Estimated air- quality levels provide the necessary first step toward reducing future air quality problems. Carbon monoxide from motor vehicles is the air pollutant of areatest concern in the Dublin area. We recommend that the model CALINE3 or the model in the BAAQMD Guidelines (1975) be used to produce estimates of maximum ambient carbon monoxide concentra- tions at intersections most likely to be affected by traffic from development in the businesstindustrial park area. The analysis should include proposed cumulative development and transportation improvements in the subregion. Background concentrations of CO should be added to development generated CO. Shown below are the District 's estimates of CO background concentrations for this area : CO BACKGROUND CONCENTRATIONS IN PPM Averaging Time 1983 1987 2000 1-hour 5.0 4 .0 3.6 8-hour 3.8 3.2 2.9 r : �� Jj� City of Dublin February 1, 1985 Page 2 We also suggest that you estimate CO levels with proposed mitigation measures in place. If air quality standards are exceeded , additional mitigations and/or limitations on traffic generating land uses should be implemented. We commend you for requiring "assured Transportation System Management (TSM) measures as a condition of development approval " (page 1 of SEIR ) . We recommend that the conditions explicitly state the obligations of developers, property owners, and/or major employers to implement measures such as flextime, car/van pooling, bicycle use, and transit subsidies. If you have any questions, please call Jean Roggenkamp, the Planner in our office. Sincerely,' Milton Feldstein Air Pollution Control Officer MF: ce cc : D. Lott , ARn endations for Analysis of Air Quality Impacts We recommend that the EIR contain a candid qualitative and quantitative description of the project 's air quality impacts . All pollutants which may be emitted from the project itself or from project-generated vehicular traffic should be analyzed. Of particular interest from industrial uses are pollutants for which air quality standards have been set by State and federal agencies : ozone and its reactive organic precursors , oxides of nitrogen, suspended particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and , where relevant, lead, hydrogen sulfide, vinyl chloride, ethylene and visibility-reducing particles . Odorous, toxic or hazardous airborne materials are also of interest, even though ambient standards have not been set. For proposed industrial zones where the specific industries are not yet known, inital estimates of emissions should be made from existing facilities which resemble the most probable uses. The vehicle-generated pollutants of concern are carbon monoxide, reactive organic compounds, and particulates . Calcul- ations of particulates should include those resuspended from roads by vehicles and , separately, particulates caused by construction activities. We suggest the following process for analyzing the air quality impacts of the project : 1 . Describe the existing land uses of the project site and its vicinity in regard to air quality concerns. In particular, note the location and emissions of direct sources of air pollutants and airborne hazardous materials . In addition, show the location of sensitive receptors, including residential areas, schools , hospitals, nursing homes, playgrounds, parks, and recreation facilities . 2 . Calculate worst-case air pollutant emissions from the project and due to project-generated traffic. 3. Consider mitigation measures to reduce the air quality impacts of the project. Useful references are "Local Government Guide to Project Mitigation and .Other Improvement Measures for Air Quality," BAAQMD, 1983 Draft; "Guidelines for Air Quality Impact Assessments, Section V, " California Air Resources Board, 1983; and "The Traffic Mitigation Reference Guide, " Metropolitan Transportation Commission, 1984. Commitments to imple- menting proposed mitigation measures should be iden- tified. Mitigation measures to reduce traffic and air pollutant emissions should be incorporated into the project to reduce any negative impact it may have on the environment and to help the Bay Area attain and maintain the State and federal ambient air quality standards . Where mitigation measures may significantly reduce local concentrations of carbon monoxide, we recommend that reductions be quantified . 4. Estimate maximum ambient carbon monoxide concentrations at points or areas of maximum air quality impact and at sensitive receptors . The estimated concentrations should be calculated for 1-hour and 8-hour averaging times. For projects attracting over 3000 vehicles per day, we recommend the model CALINE3 to estimate motor vehicle carbon monoxide impacts . For smaller projects, some simplified modeling techniques are contained in the publication "Guidelines for Air Quality Impact Analysis of Projects, available from the BAAQMD. Be sure to add the appropriate background concentration to the estimated locally generated concentration and to explain the source or the rationale for the background level selected. 5. Compare the total projected carbon monoxide concentra- tions with State and federal air quality standards . When other development is approved or proposed in the vicinity of the project, we recommend that the air quality analysis also evaluate cumulative development impacts on air quality. ` GEORGE DEUKMEJIAN. G.-er"ar STATE OF CALIFORNIA—OFFICE OF THE GOVERNOR OFFICE OF PLANNING AND RESEARCH 1400 TENTH STREET � SACRAMENTO, CA 95814 r C F Ill ED ~ ' RF (016/445-0613) 'DUELIN PLiaN`IING Tom De Luca May 8, 1985 City of Dubl i'n P.C. box 2340 Dublin, CA 94568 --J__ Pry.=onin .� u ilne\dtlOn OI Cdr�iL rdrKS IdSSd,]drd t,fc�r. Regional Park, SCH 85040208 Ce°r Mr. De Luca: 'h The State Clearirghcuse sutr,iitted W,e above named envircrz-.ental dcc,.Jrert to selected State agencies for r.= *=W. Tne review period is closed and ncne Of the state agencies have co=ents• 111-li s letter a6Towledges tlat you have cornplied with the State Clearins'ouse review r-_quire:rents for draft ,i envircrr�ental doc=ents, pursuant to the C21ifOr.*La Envirorr,E':ztal may- J Act. a all U--Ice t' 1' er 9!''1/I!45-0613 if you rave any questions re'C_' {"7 P_e,..52 C.-- N2_•C at the e_^,V{1',1 e_^.teal review process. t'1�1en cc -actirZ he Cle?ri nc_c se in this di',- State Clearirg:_ouse nuTicer so that we tray GZtt2^, please 11se the eight o respond promptly. Sincerely, Joan B. Cha ian Chief Deputy Director Office of Planning and Research _ 1 , B A R T BAY AREA RAPID TRANSIT DISTRICT 800 Madison Street P.O. Box 12688 . _ Oakland, CA A 94 94604-2688 1•:; _* �" �' � � Telephone (415)464-6000 '" ) May 20, 1985 DUBLIN PL4NNI�VG Mr. Laurence Tong Planning Director City of Dublin P.O. Box 2340 WILFRED T. USSERY Dublin, CA 94568 PRESICENT JOHN GLENN Subject: Environmental Document on the Annexation and Prezon- vICE•PRESICErIr ing of 2 ,696 acres (portion of Camp Parks, Tasajara KEITH BERNARD Creek Regional Park and county-owned property west GcIEPALMANAGER of Tasajara Road) DIRECTORS Dear Mr. Tong: BARCLAYSIMPSON BART staff has reviewed the Public Notice from the City of IST DIS'RICT =LLOeIANCO Dublin regarding the above referenced project and the Genera N � Plan Environmental Impact Report (EIR) and supplemental EIR zNOOI ANCO which the City proposes to use as the environmental document ARTHUR J.SHARTSIS for this project. BART staff would like to offer the follow- 3RO OISTRICT ing comments. MARGARE-K.PRYOR ATH OISTRiCT The BART Livermore-Pleasanton Extension (LPX) Study Update RceERTS.ALLEN 5TH DISTRICT Analysis was completed in December of .1983. Subsequent to the completion of the Update Analysis, the BART Board of Directors JOHN GLENN adopted a portion of the LPX alignment which extends along 6TH.01S T niC7 WILFRED T.USSERY SR 238 and the I-580 right-of-way from the existing Bay air 7TH DISTRICT Station to the proposed Dublin Station at the I-580/I-680 EUGENEGARISTRCT interchange. This station site is included in the City of 8TH D�INKLE Dublin General Plan. BART staff will proceed in the near JOHNH. THOIST00 future with a supplemental analysis which will investigate 9TH olsTal D alignments east of the Dublin Station to downtown Livermore as alternatives to routes identified in the LPX Update Analysis. The two primary route alignments identified in the Update Analysis are the I-580 alignment and the Railroad Corridor Route. The purpose of a supplemental study is to develop recommendations which would assist the BART Board in complet- ing the adoption of a preferred LPX alignment. The LPX Update Analysis identifies two site alternatives for ' the Pleasanton Station, reflecting the two BART alignments. Consequently, it is anticipated that the supplemental analysis will result in the recommendation and Board adoption of one of these station alternatives. The I-580 alignment station alternative is bisected by I-580, with nine acres of parking to the south of the freeway and fifteen acres of parking to the north of the freeway within the City of Dublin' s proposed annexation area. Page Two Letter to L. Tong Dated 5/20/85 The City of Dublin General Plan, Volume I contains a general designation of the I-580 Pleasanton Station alternative. The impacts and potential traffic mitiga- tion potential of this site are also discussed in both the General Plan EIR and the Supplemental EIR (SEIR) for the General Plan. The SEIR also addresses the possibility of a BART park/ride facility on the future Pleasanton Station site. The City of Dublin General Plan, Volume I, contains policies which support BART station location proposals and which support the preservation of extension sta- tion sites. BART recommends, if a Pleasanton thattaanooverlaynplan annexation \� is adopted by the BART Board of Directors, the City and BART for inclusion in the General Plan detailing any proposed sta- tion. BART appreciates the City of Dublin' s efforts to preserve future BART station sites. Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the proposed project. Sincerely, f Barbara R. Neustadter Manager of Planning BAN:MAP :mjo cc: Richard C. Wenzel , Supervisor of Extension Planning Marianne A. Payne, Livermore-Pleasanton Extension Planner CITY OF DUBLIN Develo meat Services P1anninS.2oiiH,9 829.41116 P.O. Bo.\ 23,10 Bui!diny Safety 8-90.Or^_2 June 7 , 1985 Ertyi:t�c�ri:iu,'Pttlilic lVodis S"_9-4916' Duhlin, CA 9�l5tiS - Barbara Neustadter BART 800 Madison Street p . O. Box 1268B Oakland, California 94604-2688 RE : PA 85-018 , Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Dear Ms . Neustadter : The City has received your comments dated 5/20/85 regarding the prezoning and annexation of the publicly-owned properties west of Tassajara Road. The City acknowledges the BART recommendation: "If a Pleasanton Station within the annexation area is adopted by the BART Board of Directors , an overlay plan be developed by the City and BART for inclusion in the General Plan detailing any proposed station. " At such time the BART Board of Directors establishes a station within the area to be annexed, the City will wort with BART to consider an overlay plan and appropriate General Plan refinements . We appreciate your comments on this proposal If you have any further questions , please contact Tom DeLuca at 829-4916 . Sincerely, Laurence L . Tong,, Planning Director LLT/j 10 r, .�: `. CITY OF DUBLIN Development Services Planning Zoning 829-4910 P.O. Box 2340 Building S Safety 829-0ti22 Dublin, CA 9,1568 June 6 , 1985 EnSineering Public Works 829.4916 Mr . Jeff Georgevic-h MTC 101 8th Street Oakland, California 94607 RE: PA 85-018 , Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Dear Mr. Georgevich: The City has received your comments dated 5/6/85 regarding the prezoning and annexation of the publicly-owned properties west of Tassajara Road. General Response The initial EIR prepared for the General Plan was done in February 1984 . Following a series of public hearings held by the City Council, and a request by Alameda County, an additional 660 acres in the extended planning area was designated for industrial/business park use . As a result of this modification, a Supplemental EIR was prepared, which examined the effects of the proposed plan changes on traffic, jobs/housing balance, and air quality. Following a review period on the Supplemental EIR, the City Council at a public hearing adopted a final EIR which consisted of the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the supplement to the EIR, and responses to comments on the Supplemental EIR. The City Council also adopted a statement of overriding considerations on the following environmental impacts : increased traffic, degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land and loss of open space. Please be advised that the City is only proposing to prezone areas for industrial/business park uses which were provided in the General Plan and subsequently reviewed by the Supplemental EIR. It is Staff ' s position, that the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the Supplemental EIR, responses to comments on the Supplemental EIR , and statement of overriding considerations is adequate for this prezoning and annexation project. Since potential development of the 660 acres of industrial/business park property is unlikely for 5 years or greater, any more detailed studies than which already exist could very well be outdated by the time a specificl development project was submitted, resulting in the need for an additional environmental study. We believe it is more appropriate to conduct the more detailed studies at the time a specific development is proposed. In this manner, the environmental study will be related to specific impacts and mitigation measures . Please note that the General Plan contains the following policy: "Prior to planning and/or building permit approval of more than 9 , 000 ( 22% ) of the potential jobs in the Extended Planning Area, one or more Specific Area Plans shall be developed to designate sufficient land for housing in reasonable relationship to existing jobs and jobs being proposed and to demonstrate how needed municipal services will be provided. " Specific Responses Your letter 'raised the following four issues : 1) the widening of I-680 may be delayed due to a shortage of funds , 2 ) the City is not participating in the funding of Interchange improvements in the general area of the annexation, 3 ) Extension. of BART and public transit to this area may be delayed and 4 ) Alternative land uses in the annexation area should be explored. Listed below is the City ' s response to these four issues . No . 1 Traffic impacts of new development proposals in the annexation area would be more of an impact on 1-580 than I-680 . The Route Concept Report prepared by CalTrans recommends that 1- 580 be widened to 10 lanes between Vasco Road east of Livermore and I-680 . Since auxiliary lanes are already planned between Santa Rita Road and I-680 , the combined effect of the plans and the recommendation could be to widen the freeway to a total of 12 lanes west of Santa Rita - Dougherty Road and 10 lanes easterly. Irrespective of the proposed improvements to I-580 , the Supplemental EIR states that: "Development of all Business Parks within the Tri-Valley should be monitored and intensity reduced, uses shifted or development delayed unless traffic capacity is available . " All new development projects in the area to be annexed will have a detailed traffic analysis conducted to ensure unacceptable traffic situations do not occur. l No . 2 - Funding of the Interchange Improvements in the general vicinity of the area to be annexed are directly related to the development activity in Pleasanton . As specific development projects are submitted in the area to be annexed, ( riot likely within the next 5 years ) traffic mitigation fees for offsite improvements will probably be required. These mitigation fees may be used to construct additional improvements or reimburse for nstructed. improvements tha have already been co t No . 3 - If BART is not constructed, improved BART feeder service is likely to result in a comparable diversion of traffic . No . 4 - The issue of jobs and housing is discussed on pages 10 , 11, and 12 of the Supplemental EIR . A jobs/housing 'balance is likely to result only from a Valley-wide system of determining "fair-shares" . The Supplemental EIR states that Once each jurisdiction' s jobs/housing responsibilities are established, it would be possible to make additions to the housing supply a condition of approval of business park approval . Business park approval could require commitment of a specific quantity of land or a specific site to housing . We have also included the responses to comments to your 3/8/84 letter which has since been adopted by the City Council . We appreciate your comments on this proposal . If you have any further questions , please contact Tom DeLuca at 829-4916 . Sincerely, v Laurence L . Tong, Planning Director LTT/j CITY OF DUBLIN Development SCrViCes Planning'Zoning 829.4916 P.O. Box 23.10 Building & Safety 829-OS22 Dublin, CA 9-1568 June 6 , 1985 Engineering,'PtiNic Works 529.4'916 Yvonne San Jule ABAG p . 0. Box 2050 Oakland, California 94604 RE: PA 85-018 , Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Dear Ms . San Jule The City has received your comments dated 5/3/85 regarding the prezor.ing and annexation of the publicly-owned properties west of Tassajara Road. General Response The initial EIR prepared for the General Plan was done in February 1984 . Following a series of public hearings held by the Citv Council , and a request by Alameda County, an additional 660 acres in the extended planning area was designated for industrial/business park use . As a result of this modification, a Supplemental EIR was prepared, which examined the effects of the proposed plan changes on traffic , jobs/housing balance, and air quality. Following a review period on the Supplemental EIR, the City Council at a public hearing adopted a final EIR which consisted of the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the supplement to the EIR, and responses to comments on the Supplemental EIR. The City Council also adopted a statement of overriding considerations on the following environmental impacts : increased traffic, degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land and loss of open space. Please be advised that the City is only proposing to prezone areas for industrial/business park uses which were provided in the General Plan and subsequently reviewed by the Supplemental EIR . It is Staff ' s position, that the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the Supplement EIR, responses to comments on the Supplement EIR and statement of overriding considerations is adequate for this prezoning and annexation project . Since potential development of the 660 acres of industrial/business park property is unlikely for 5 years or greater, any more detailed studies than which already exist could very well be outdated by the time a specific development project was submitted, resulting in the need for an additional environmental study. We believe it is more appropriate to conduct the more detailed studies at the time a specific development is proposed. In this manner, the environmental study will be related to specific impacts and mitigation measures . Please note that the General Plan contains the following policy; "Prior to planning and/or building permit approval of more than 9 , 000 ( 22% ) of the potential jobs in the Extended Planning Area, one or more Specific Area Plans shall be developed to designate sufficient land for housing in reasonable relationship to existing jobs and jobs being proposed and to demonstrate how needed municipal services will be provided. " Specific Responses You raised three issues : 1) Alternative land . uses (housing) should be considered, 2 ) the effects of proposed and existing projects in nearby communities should be explored and 3 ) Income levels with job growth should be considered. Listed below is the Citv ' s response to these three issues : No . 1 and 2 - The Jobs/Housing issue is discussed on pages 10 , 11, and 12 of the -Supplemental EIR. As you are aware, there is no Tri-Vallev wide system of determining or enforcing "fair snares" of housing or industrial development. Until each agencies ' job/housing "responsibilities" are established, if ever, these may never be a jobs/housing balance . Dublin, with lower per household income than Pleasanton, cannot be expected to volunteer to accept more market-minimum housing so that Pleasanton can devote similarity situated land to employment if both cities believe jobs are fiscally advantageous and no near- term adverse environmental differences are evident. In the future, it may be possible to make additions to the housing supply a condition of business park project approval. More detailed refinements of this issue, and the effects of developments in nearby communities, will be done when specific projects are submitted. Since development within the area to be annexed is not likely to occur within 5 years, new information, new projects , and new /legislation may deal with jobs/housing balance . Any projections or more detailed studies done at this time would likely be outdated when specific project are proposed. No . 3 - The issue of income levels is a socio-economic impact which was not intended to be covered in the Supplemental EIR . This issue may or may not be considered in conjunction with specific development projects . We appreciate your comments call Tom DeLuca proposal . you have any further questions pl ease Sincerely, Laurence L. Tong Planning Director LTT/j CITY OF (DUBLIN Development Services Pl tinning.%Zoning 829-49 10" P.O. Box 23 l0 Buildino & Safety 5:.9 OS' Dublin. CA 9��Sci,� June 6 , 1985 Engineeriny,'PuiAC Worlcs S^_9:!tl Mr. Milton Feldstein Bay Area Air Quality Management District 939 Ellis Street San Francisco, California 94109 RE: PA 85-018 , Dublin Public Lands Prezoning and Annexation Dear Mr. Feldstein: The City has received your comments dated 5/2/85 regarding the prezoninc and annexation of the publicly-owned properties west of Tassajara Road. General Response The initial EIR prepared ' for the General Plan was done in February 1984 . Following a series of public hearings held by the City Council , and a request by Alameda County, an additional 600 acres in the extended planning area was designated for industrial/business park use . As a result of this modification a Supplemental EIR was prepared, which examined the effects of the proposed plan changes on traffic, jobs/housing balance, and air auality. Following a review period on the supplemental EIR, the City Council at a public hearing adopted a final EIR which consisted of the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the Supplement to the EIR, and responses to comments on the Supplemental EIR. The City Council also adopted a statement of overriding considerations on the following environmental impacts : Increased traffic, degradation of air quality, loss of agricultural and grazing land and loss of open space. Please be advised that the City is only proposing to prezone areas for industrial/business par's uses which were provided in the General Plan and subsequently reviewed by the Supplemental EIR . It is Staff ' s position, that the Draft EIR, responses to comments on the Draft EIR, the Supplement EIR, responses to comments on the Supplement EIR and statement of overriding considerations is adequate for this prezoning and annexation project . .7T..., 1. ..� � �'� ,1��� 1 } 13 Since potential development of the 660 acres of industrial/business park property is unlikely for 5 years or greater, any more detailed studies than which already exist could very well be outdated by the time a specific development project was submitted, resulting in the need for an additional environmental study . we believe it is more appropriate to conduct the more detailed studies at the time a specific development is pro.posed. In this manner, the environmental study will be related to specific impacts and mitigation measures . Specific Responses You have raised two issues with respect to this project; 1) Potential carbon.. monoxide problems , and 2) the desire to have a quantitative analysis of air pollution impacts of the 660 acres of business/park industrial property. Concerning item No. 1 , please refer to page 6 of the Draft EIR . Carbon monoxide (CO) levels within the Dublin area are not a function of development in Dublin alone, but reflect regional traffic demand resulting from jobs and housing growth in the. entire sub-region. The City is aware that carbon monoxide problems presently exist in the Tri-Valley area and have the potential to become worse as development occurs . However, carbon monoxide problems should lessen with time as cleaner cars come into use, CO standards are enforced and the motor vehicle implementation and maintenance program is implemented. In the future , your district may wish to establish a monitoring station in Dublin so that air quality data is more complete and accurate. Again, please be advised that no projects are being approved by the prezoning and annexation. New development proposals will be recuired to have an air quality analysis prior to project approval . Concerning the second issue you raised, it is Staff ' s position that a quantitative analysis of the non-localized air quality effects of land use decisions is beyond the capability or logical initiative of individual local governments . The 1982 Bav Area Air Quality Plan and the update now being prepared establish a comprehensive program for achievement and maintenance of air quality standards . The proposed expansion of the business park designation in the Extended Planning Area would not affect implementation of these programs if it would not attract activities that otherwise would locate outside the Bay Area. The EIR adopted by the City on the General Plan states "Reduce development ` intensity if air quality model indicates need" . The City will not be able to prepare a quantitative analysis of air quality effects until a future time when probable uses are determned. We appreciate your comments on this project. If you have any further questions please contact Tom DeLuca at 829-4916 . Sincerely, Laurence L. Tong, Planning Director LLT/j RESOLUTION NO. 11-85 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ADOPTING FINDINGS AND A STATEMENT OF OVERRIDING CONSIDERATIONS REGARDING SIGNIFICANT ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF THE DUBLIN GENERAL PLAN WHEREAS, the Citv of Dublin has prepared a comprehensive , long-term general plan for the physical development of the City, to be known as the Dublin General Plan; and WHEREAS; the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) , together with the State guidelines and Citv environmental regulations, require that certain projects be reviewed for environmental impact and that environmental documents be prepared; and WHEREAS, an Environmental Impact Report (EIR) , including a Supplement, has been prepared pursuant to CEQA; and WHEREAS, the City Council has certified that the final EIR has been completed in compliance with CEQA; and WHEREAS, -the EIR indicates four significant environmental imcacts related to the following subjects : r 1 . Increased traff i-c 2 . Degradation of air cuality 3 . Loss of agricultural and crazing land a _ Loss of cpen s-,-ace ; and WHEREAS, the City_ Council- did hold a public hearing on the General Plan and EIR on Felbruary 11, 1983; and WHEREAS, proper notice of said public hearing was civen in all respects as required by lay:: NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT THE Dublin City Council hereby adopts the following findings and statement of overriding considerations regarding significant environmental e=_acts of the Dublin General Plan: 1. Increased traffic : unacceptable levels of service are antcipated on I-580 , I-680, Dublin Boulevard and San Ramon Road, and Dublin Boulevard and Dougherty Road. Findings : The traffic impacts on I-580 and I-680 are under CalTrans jurisdiction and beyond control of the City. The traffic impacts on Dublin Boulevard are anticipated even after feasible imorovements are made by the City. 2 . Degradation of air quality: Carbon monoxide standards may be violated at times during the year . Findings : air cuality standards are set by the Federal Government and the State of California . The B_v Area Air Quality Maintenance District, California Air Resources Board, and Metropolitan Transportation Commission wort to maintain and improve air quality . The Ci__i does not have a major role in air quality regu?aticn . 3 . Lo=s of agricultural and grazing land: Urban development_ will rzsuLt in unavoidable adverse impacts or. adjcining agricultural ooerations and discontinuatior. of agricultural and grazing land. Findings : Urbanization as proposed in the General Plan makes mitigation infeasible . Elimination of business park and residential development has been rejected because the area is as well suited to the proposed use as other sites on which development has been proposed or commenced. 4 . Loss of open space : Urban development will significantly affect the visual quality of the open space . Findings : Urbanization as proposed in the General Plan makes mitigative infeasible. Elimination of business park and residential development has been rejected because the area is as well suited to the proposed use as other sites on which development has been proposed or commenced. PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this 11th day of February 1985 . AYES : Councilmembers Fegarty, Jeffery, Moffatt, Vcnheeder and Mayor Snyder NOES : None ABSENT: None y,ayor .% J / i .. nn ?-�!1 I AGENDA STATE,tENT CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: March 11, L.,d5 SUBJECT : Prezoning and annexation of Camp Parks, Tassajara Creek Regional Park and County-owned property. EXHIBITS ATTACHED: 1 - Map of affected area; 2 - General Plan designations of affected area; 3 - Letter from National Aeronautics and Space Administration dated 12/17/84 ; 4 - Letter from East Bay Regional Park District dated 11/21/84 ; 5 - Letter from Federal Bureau of Prisons dated 11/5/8=1 ; 6 - Letter from Department of the Army dated 11/2/84 ; 7 - Letter from County Administrator dated 10/30/84 ; 8 - Letter from Department of Air Force dated 2/11/85 RECOhI1iENDATION: 1 - Hear Staff Report - Question Staff - Deliberate 4 - Determine if lands owned by Alameda County should be included in the annexation r= tc prepare an Initial Study to determine if the 5 - Direc. S�.a�� _ General Plan EIR and Supplemental EIR will adequately serve as the environmental document for this prezoning and annenxation 6 _ A _ to i%itiate prezoning proceedings which uthorize Staff would prezone the public lard area designated in the General Plan to Agricultural and both industrial areas to M-1, with an overlay zone which would require a Planned Development to be approved before any development proceeds . 7 - Direct Staff to begin annexation proceedings for Camp Parks , Tassajara Creek Regional Park and the County-owned prOperty.This will involve meetings with affected Federal and County agencies and Special Districts to determine service needs and responsibilities for services ; working with ABAG to develop a city services and financial plan; and preparing associated reports , maps and legal descriptions . 8 - Authorize and appropriate from reserves in the amount of ' $106 , 700 to cover the costs associated with the annexation. FINANCIAL STATEMENT 1 - City Engineer costs to prepare maps and legal descriptier.s $2 , 500 2 - ABAG fee for a possible study of service demands and City costs for providing services $12 , 800 3 - LA_CO and State filin, fees $1, 400 Staff time 4 - Pla^ r. = pr'oc°_ _n5 - budc`t transfer of $L6 , 700 from reserves would be required. 1. COPIES TO: ITZ.Ili ATI�ACHMtNT ' 5 as rs DdSCRIPTIO�l : At its meeting of Octob S, 1994 , the Dublin City Council voted unanimously to prc. .d with the annexation Of those lands within the Parks Reserves Training Area and Tassajara Creek Regional Park . The City Council authorized the initiation of this process by first securing the consent of those government agencies who own land in these areas . Letters were sent explaining the City ' s position and requesting consent - for annexation of these areas to the following property owners : 1) U .S . Department of the Army 2) U.S . Department of Justice Federal Bureau of Prisons 3 ) The National Aeronautics and Space Administration 4 ) U. S . Department Of the Air Force 5 ) East Bay Regional Park District Since October of 1984 , the City has received varying responses from these various property owners (See attached) . In summary, both the Army and Air Force have indicated their intention to process our request. The U.S. Department of Justice and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration have indicated their support of this annexation of their properties . East Bay Regional District has declined to take a position and has indicated that the District would neither support nor oppose the City ' s annexation of this area. Since it may sti 1} be some time until the City receives a ent cf the Army and the U.S. response from the U.S . Department Department Of the Air Force with respect to their review of the i Cty ' s request for annexation, and s-4 nce the state law governing 1y protests and their impact on annexations addresses On - 00 ; _ Staff would propose that the City annexation proc�_d_ncs , - ccramence processing the annexation O: ti«52 L:OCe 'tleS As 1T:-i -ate'= in the tentat_�ie scnecule L o r th- lmmediately . ^ �rOC°SS COL1C take :mDlelO � the mne:, -1cr , the nne: a=1C C uD to six months be=ore a protest hearing would . held. This period should Site these fe^e_al agencies su,=Ic,ent t�^e to review and respond to the City ' s request. In addition, it is Staff ' s recommendation that the City Council consider adding those lands owned by the County of Alameda to the Annexation proposal so that . the proposal would include all publicly owned lands to the east Of the City. It is Staff ' s belief that consolidating these properties into one annexation proposal might provide a better forum for discussing roadway access to the east and also the County of Alameda' s ultimate plans for its property and how those plans may or may not be impacted by the City ' s annexation of this area. If the City Council is in agreement, the City should initiate annexation proceedings at this time . , The balance of- this report lists the various issues and options associated with the annexation of Camp Parks ( 1, 283 acres) , Tassajara Creek P.ecicnal Park ( 457 acres) , -and the Cou.-y-evened property east c.` Dcucherty Rcac and west of Ta=_sz;ara Rozd (°51 acres) , which the City Cou::cil needs to consider. Fu_ther, the report identi_-°s City r°scurces recui__c tc undert—Y-e tie annexation proceed-nSs ar.14 lists a tll.ne sc-edule to complete the anne ation . The s�eci�; c pro ec z would i nc;ud? the pr°_zcn'n and annexation o° accrocimateLy 2 , 636 acr es , roughly 4 .2 sc. m_les, o: publicly-owned pr0_ercy . Tna Drocosed' a.n.ne::az_cn 1S within t:.e City ' s Sphere Oz Influence Drev curly approvecd by LaFCO. Staff 'has identified three principal issues associated with this annexation: environmental review, prezoning and the annexation itself . Each issue , and the various options associated with that issue, are discussed below. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The prezoning and annexation is classified as a "project" under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and as such requires an environmental document to be prepared. The environmental document could be one of the following : - A Negative Declaration - An Environmental Impact Report (EIR) - A Supplement to the General Plan EIR - The General Plan EIR and Supplemental EIR A Negative Declaration is not feasible considering the size and scope ofQthe project, which would double the size of the city. Further, a Negative Declaration could lead to challenges to the annexation on the basis of an inadequate environmental review. An EIR could be prepared, but .would provide no more information than what is already contained in the General Plan EIR, particularly since no specific development projects are proposed in this area at this time . A Supplement to the EIR could be prepared but this approach has the same problem as noted immediately above. Staff would recommend that the General Plan EIR and, Supplemental _ L t .is EIR be used as the environmental document nor : s p.o;e c t allows a city to use an E=R prepared for a previous project i= the C' rCUi15=a^.0°S cf t::�' prc�ect are essentially the same . In this case , the prezoning o= t e property does no p result in env dif sere-^-c iTCacts t::a:l those which may occ::= from the General plan desirnaticns . The annexation itself will not have any adverse environmental impacts . Detailed environmental reviews will be conducted as specific projects are proposed in this area. If the City Council determines to proceed with this approach, Staff would conduct an Initial Study of the prezoning and would annexation, after which a notice y prepared which City describes the project and states that the plans to use the General Plan EIR and Supplemental EIR as the environmental document for this project. This notice begins a 45-day review period for affected agencies and individuals. At -the end of the review period, staff prepares responses to comments and schedules a hearing before the Planning Commission and City Council to make a formal determination that the environmental document is in compliance with CE^4A. PREZION I One of LALCO ' s policies is to require a City to prezone proze=ty prior to submittir.c a ceciticr, to annex teY=itorl. The purpose of this policy is to maKe it c'_ea= to L:. ec Co, a=: teo' acencies and individuals t`.^e City is future intent for the subject area. T;:e prezoning a'sc establishes tiro zoning t:;at will be effective at such time the annexation is completed. Staff has ldent=fled the folk'. ina si cct'_ons for the prezoning : 1- prezone the site to Public Lands, Business , Par'.:/Industrial acrd Business . Park'/Industrial : Low al 01, e t�1,2 p;�lis Lanes area to air-cult•=ra' and the 2 Izdusr_ _al areas to m-' , Ligh: in'sust_ _al 3- prezone the Public Lands area to Agricui..ural , and the Business Park/Industrial and the Business Park/Industrial Low Coverage areas to an interim ordinance . 4- prezone the entire area to an interim ordinance. , 5- request LAFCO waive the prezoning requirement. 6- prezone the Public Lands area to Agricultural and prezone both industrial areas (Business Park/Industrial and Business Park Industrial : Low Coverage) to M-1 , with an overlay that states no development shall be allowed in this area unless a Planned Development is approved. The disadvantage associated with option one is that the City does not presently have a Public Lands Zoning District or a Business Park Low Coverage District. These ordinances will have to be developed separately or as part of the comprehensive revision of, the Zoning Ordinance . The City Council could delay the annexation until these zoning districts were developed, but this could be a lengthy process . L The disadvantage associated with option two is that the eCistint r!-1 ordinance is much too broad for the Low Coverage and Business Park Industrial areas . The Scarlett Court area is reflective oz M-1 uses . Octicn three is a valid option because it enables the city to adopt an interim ordinance for both industrial areas . In essence, ludes Cr substantially restricts mo an interim ordinance prec uses within a designated area until a specific crdir.ance is State law allows a city to adoct an interim ordinance, adopted. t =our-fi"hs vote o= the le7?sla:i :_ provided it is done by a bodv. The interim ordinance is initially valid for 45 days and can+ be subsecuentiv extended fC= ten months and 15 days and then acain for one more yea= , far a fetal o� t••jo years . Whil- the ne'd ordinance is being adcp1tec, the city could process individual o-- proposals W1­1 a Conditional Use Permit. T^e de ve_o_men« Conditional Use Permit process would ensure that the prOposea f lict development would not con With the future ordinance. IL a specific ordinance was not adopted within the two year period, the City Council could zone the Business Park/Industrial areas to M-1, with a PD overlay. Option. four would result in adopting an interim ordinance for the entire area. This approach would give the city two years to develop specific zoning ordinances for the Public Lands area and both Industrial areas and Would allow certain uses to proceed with a Conditional Use Permit. Option five would result in, a formal request by the city 'to aive the requirement to prezone the anne:ced request LAFCO to w area. This request, if approved, would eliminate the problem of prezoning for the near future , but the city would be faced with the zoning issue after the 'annexation was completed. If the City did net prezone the property, an interim zoning ordinance would almost have to be adooted when the annexation was completed. T:e waiving of the prezoninc recuiremenL would not result in a shcrter tire period to ccm lete the annexation. The reason tha_ time_ would not be saved is because the prezoning process could; he done in con uncticn wic.h the . envircnmental review, which has a � a period. Prezonn the property at this tire would 43-day rey__�•� - clearly establish the City ' s intent for this area and would avoid the need to have an interim ordinance once the annexra*_:on was completed. Staff recommends that the City Council choose option sir, which would include the prezor. ; _q cf the public lands prope-rties to l the usi-neS3 Park/1ndustr24aI and Eusines- �3r' /Indusal a1nLow Ca•✓erag' areas to M-1. A n overlay distr_. . would be e= tablis^ed in both business Park/industrial areas w^_� � l would r•acui rc a Planned C`Ve0cment (PD) to be approved for all ne,d d2vel opment prcocsa:s . T'- Planned Develccrent process wot:'_� -4- - ensure that development is consistent with the ibjectives and policies for the business park/industrial areas as identified in the General Plan. Further refinements would be done to the zoning districts after the property was annexed. In the long _ term, it may be best to develop a specific plan in this area to further implement the policies of the General : Plan. The Agricultural designation for Camp Parks, Tassajara Creek Regional Park and ' the northerly portion of the county property is consistent with the existing county designation of Agricultural . It is a fairly common practice for cities to designate large federal facilities or parks as agricultural. Camp Parks, being a federal . facility, is exempt from any local zoning, environmental or building, regulations . ANNEXATION At the end of the 45 day review period for the environmental document, Staff would schedule a public hearing before the Planning Commission to make a recommendation on the environmental document, prezoning and annexation . The City Council would then make a formal determination on the same items as well as a property tax distribution agreement. (There may be no property taxes to distribute since the annexed area would only involve public lands that are typically not on the tax rolls) . If the City Council determines to proceed with the annexation, Staff would prepare an application for LAFCO. That application would include , but not be limited to, a plan for city services, a financial plan for providing said services , legal descriptions , maps , and council resolutions . The plan for services and f inancial plan will have to be developed over the next three or four months with the Federal Agencies at Cam-! Park- , the Easy. Bay Regional Park District, the County and the special service districts , principally Dublin San Ramon Services District . A-fter the amolicatlon is submitted to LAFCO, a determination is made as to. whether the ap=licati'on is complete . If found to be complete, LAFCO holds a public hearing where it determines w;.ether to approve, deny, or modify the anr_exaticn. If LAFCO approves the application, it will refer the application back to the City to set and hold a protest hearing. At a regularly scheduled City Council meeting, the City Council would adopt a resolution which sets forth the date, time and place for a protest hearing. At the protest hearing, the .City Council would have to terminate the annexation if 50% or more of the registered voters protest. (Staff has tentatively identified 39 registered voters within the Camp Parks area) . If 25% or more or the registered voters or 25% or more of the property owners who own 25% or more of the assessed value of land protest, the City would have to hold an election before the territory could be annexed. The election would be held only within the area to be annexed. After an election, the territory is annexed if a majority of votes favor annexation. If a majority protest is not registered, the City 'Council orders t1-Ie territory annexed and a Certificate of Completion is filed with the State . RcaCC?CE NEEDS Tho City Council should be a-ware that this project will result in the committment o. both time and r sourc°s . The City Engineer will have to prepare the maps and legal descriptions for the area to be annexed. The City Engineer has estimated it will cost apprcximateiy $2 , 500 . 00 to co,,,plete these materials. Staff has met with the Association of Bay Area Governments (?BAG} to determine if their mcdels could be of any use in projecting f'-tu=e ser'vic'e d'mands or costs For the anr,e:.ed area. It does / a:p_ar their models would be usetu'_ in providing necessary informaticn . The estimate-' cost of that st :d:; is $12, 800 .00 . -5- will require a signifi� amount of the Finally, the projec, re q Staff time . �e project will involve se—ral months of Planning meetings, research, c� dination and report writi TENTATIVE SCHEDULE March 4-7 -Prepare City Council Staff Report March 11-15 -Prepare Initial Study March 18 -Send out environmental review notices and begin 45 day review period May 2 -Environmental Review period ends Mav 7'.. _Nc,,tice Plannir•, Commission Hearing of • �;�• 20th r1ay 14 -Notice City Council hearing of May 27th May 14-17 -Prepare Planning Commission Staff Report May 20 -Planning Cocru-aission hearing on annexation May 20-23 _prepare City Council Staff Report May 27 -City Council hearing on annexation Mav 28-June 7 -Prepare application for LAFCO June 10 -Submit LAFCO application July 17 -LAFCO public hearing on annexation request July 22 -C?ty Counc, l sets the date, time, and place for a protest hearing August 19 -Cit•✓ Council holds protest hearing and orders the territory annexed-, or orders an nas electior, or terminates the procee d- It should be note,'- that this schedule represents an extremely tight timeline . The schedule assumes that there will be no unforseen obstacles and no significant opposition to the environmental review or annexation . CONCLUSION Staff recommends that the City Council direct Staff to: 1 - Determine if lands owned .by Alameda County should be included in the annexation 2 - Direct Staff to prepare on Initial Study to determine if the General Plan EIR and Supplemental EIR will adequately serve as the environmental document for this prezoning and annexation 3 - Authorize Staff to initiate prezoning prcceedincs which would pre-Zone the public land area designated in the General. Plan to A,ric::l`ural and both industrial aYeas to N-1, with an oveY'_av zone ywhica would require a Planned Development to be approve� d before any d`velocment p_cceecs . _ 4 - Direct Staff to becyn annexation proceec_ngs for Camp Park-s ' Tassajara Creel Regional Park and the Count.-c,.-jr.ed property . This will involve meetings with affected. Fed-ral and County agencies and Special Districts to determne service needs working with ABAG to and responsibilities Lon se_v_�-es ; develop a citi services and financial plan; and cre_aar,::c _s maps and iecal desc__p_ . icns 5 - Aut-o_ i ..a and ap_ roc_ _.ate from. reserves in the a^cunt c= $ _6 70� to cp :er t---se ccs is associated w: _h the a.^.r.e::a=for, . -o- - 1 .�! Nation R C E r D N3(10(131 Aeronautics and • . Space Administration •. • •• • Ames Research Center DEC 2 U 198 .'•� � �� Niollett Field,Calilornia 94035 . t,�l c.--- Lv.^5 ' CITY OF DUGLIN December 11, 19S4 - ,Iy 10 AIM Of: AA:241-11 Mr. Richard Ambrose Cit Manager City of Dublin • . ,_ - - .. :c1.= �� .• . 2340 .. ' P bl inB�CA 94568. •. r . . •��- . ..- .. • , - . -.. - Du Dear Mr. Ambrose: to your letter of October 31, 19845 TrainingnAreaneNASA Ames In response Y at the Parks Reserve Force NASA owned property our annexation process of this prop Research Center has no objections to y Currently, there is one general purpose storage warehouse (600' X 200` erty. Cu located within the fenced boundaries of the U. S. Army on 8.46 acres of hand, a vided by the Dublin-San Ramon Service District. All Camp Parks. Sewage is pro er services , e.g. ) fire, ref and disposal services are pro- use collection vid Department the Army. vided by the Dep of understood there will be no direct costs with Jeanne Clemson, It is u _ Should there be additional al�s�6�a-5140. Real Property Officer, at ( • ) Since lY, Louis H. Brennwald Director of Administration 3j it IT 1� c C E I V(,.r) f BOAPO OF 01PECTORS WALTER COSTA,Vres.a.s ' NOV 2 ,` TEO RAOKE.YK a Pesde H l T'") `' .i JOHN J.LEAVITT•SK'e"yT Eas1 •I'l�`� ••�i,'• LYNN80-4EPS.Tle~" ll l✓ .J -� 1� �T• �,uRr LEE:EFFEPOS 1 �� } C!l i CY 1.«,..1•� HAPLAN KESSEL e�iol�clt Park D• l IOMNOOONNEII a RIC AMC TPIJOEAU 11500 SKYLINE BOUIEVAFO.Or>K(�1�10.CALIFOFNIA 9.1619 TELEPHONE(415)531-9300 »Ot^NyVanKer November 21, 19S4 Richard C. Ambrose, City Manager .`:..• ..= `:. . . City of Dublin ' . P. 0. Box 2340 Dublin C3 94502 Dear Mr. Ambrose: o v of November 20, Directors of the East Bay Regional par's At its meeting District reviewed your request to our consent to have you annex the area known as the Tassajara Creek Regional Park. Both the Board and the staff are sympathetic with your desire to annex the Camp Parks Reserve Force Training Area. We are on notice from the U. S. Army that they intend to "recapture" the ears ago which is now the Tassajara Creek Regional land donated to us many y Assistant Secretary of the Ar_ly Paul park. In fact, I met with DeI w Jchnson on this subjecwhen Counselor EdhMeese on•the same�subjec*_S ago. I also met with ?residential _ we have been seeking is an ef�ective compromise by which the Army ate candsaT{e back the property previously donated and reimburse us for p. lands h funds into - purchased in the area indtothereae,atedaccomplishthissweneedboth tge another regional pares and the U. S. Army. cooperation of Alameda County As a result, we find ourselv Creek in a bit of a dilemma. We may well hoach no jurisdiction over Tassajara oeSRedithat werde LAFCO. Hence the fertourtjudgmentain this Board h and also to Alameda County. matter to the U. S. Army : , :•. _ to discuss We would be happy this further with you if You so desire. .:: :� :•.;.• . Cordial�ly�, Richard C. Trudeau General Manager RCT/bd C-2 n,,} I 1 A I, 1 1 .. 71 ! �..� U.S. Department of JL .' . Federal Bureau of Prisons ' Federal correctional Institution P.O. Buz 366 [, L' i V E D Pleasanton, CA 9-1166 NOV 7 Ciif C: fl:;ni'i•l Ncvenber 5, 1984 • ... , p.&,ard Ambrose . • City of Dublin . -- - . . . .::- _ ':' ^ .• - _ . "•; . .... P.O. Eo:c 2340 Dublin, C11, 94566 Rg: Anne-`cation Dear Mr. Ambrose: 31 1984, cone°-^i*:c the Citv_ 's inte'-est Tharp you for your letter of October t, ,ition. �e Fe,eral Corre(= ior'P- Ills�t in anne:"_rg Ca*Ip Parks and t" in anreva'=or. d scu`sions since the early 1980's I rave been involved and s�' ,ors, first came up. In disc:ssi ors with Iry sy�==- when to s::nje rose anre rats or. or this prcpe_ '_�. We alts_^_cam? we rave agree to rot oF_ ubli cly agr the Count a C�rnu _ss- ners' hearing sea e 3-4 years a5o a^d p at that time to not oppose anne.�tic I. be no direct costs asscciate with this action. I l rderstand t:,-,ere will the Dublin--San gzmon Szrvic-.s District for se.;age We are already se-,7e ,_.. over to Zone 7 water in the near future- services, are rcping to conve_ o Fire se_*vices, and provided by cunt"ac` with the Camp Pares Our lccal fire protection is trash services are cur=e-*qtly uT'�e �ntract witz the --- Derartre_nt. Our Oakland Scavenger Ccn-anY- • . Unless t:ere is a t=^-g ible financial or legal impact with annexation, we Stand ready to cooFerate ]Sl Your imve to anre.Y this a-e- S%ottld there . �nsiderations,' I would retest you contact - �%,��•:-'�'.• •.-.� cost or jurisdictional me f further discussions Visions or . rcerely, les A. Turrho, • Wanders cc: Cgis Fields C Z �v+ -31 11I `� 3' y Pcaell / C.acnp Parks (' 1 Copt. Wri7 t.. , i: L �i I Y L' D DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY NOV PAR RESERVE FORCES TRAINING AREA _ NO Vr J ISC, O' POST OFFICE B0:(00 DUBLIN,CALIFORNIA 94568 CITY CI= Nov 2 embLr , 1984 REPLY TO ATTENTION OF: Office of the Post Commander ' SUBJECT: Annexation of Parks Reserve Forces Training Area : - city -of Dublin 101 6500 Dublin Blvd, Suite Dublin, California 94568 Dear Sirs: I acknowledge receipt of your letter dated October 31, 1984. i for action. I cannot give you an estimate Your letter for annexation of f Parks Reserve Forces Training Area as been forscarded thru Army chant ,act as to when a final decision will be ma ect to annexation by a p the Army does not obj T As I have stated be-ore, however, the approving authority to you- city bordering an izstallaticn; f the Army level. action will be the Department o Sincerely, RI' Charts R ' yo• t Captain, .S.*Army :..:: er Acting Yost Command G z AC� �i� L �� 1 C -.:RECEIVED i�,,;:,� N10V 5 ,19, COUNTY ADMINISTRATOd?;-lCrD::3l'�rl STEPNEN A HAMILL r.aaror�..r Cover•.o.....ar�•ro• MEL HIND October 30, 1984 �c�yr,•o...«.are•row Commander, PresidiDEHofL San eUtenantFrancisco Colonel Tom Edgerton) - Attention: AFZM . :94129 :San Francisco,' Ca. _ SUBJECT: Annexation of Camp Parks Dear Colonel Edgerton: -'- m understanding that the City of Dublin has requested the A Ily's permission is y Parks to the City. permission to annex Camp On October 30, 1984, the Alameda County Board of Supervisors, in public session d to oppose such an annexation., vote Since Camp Parks is currently in the County's unincorporated area, the Board of Supervisors believes that the as well as the County' s, best interests would be 52r l ' served by leaving Army' s, l If the Army intends to take an camp Parks within County j urisdiction. affirmative action on the City of Ddiscuss theumatterefurtherowbithathesArmy. be provided with an opportunity to I� is our request that you either refuse to take a position or that you reject the City of Dublin's request to OVer the t u governmental jurisdiction ofsCamp between the City and the County Parks. . If you have any questions, or wish to discuss the matter further, I suggest you contact Jerry Burke of my office. Very truly yours, .. .. _ •• - . . MEL RING = �.::� : _�° �- .. :,.. •. _ - - - • : - .. - • COUNTY ADMINISTRA70R . . . MH/JB:ph Board of Supervisors cc: Each member, Colonel Sam Collins, presidia Randy Beckett, Presidia 0238c -; : A- 111 i1� 1 1221 OAK STREET SUITE 351 • OAKIANO CALIFORN1A ZAe12 IA131 e7A.4212 ENT OF THE AIR FORUc _ HEAOOUARTERS AIR FORCE SATELLITE CONTROL FACILITY(AFSC)_`_ . SUNNYVALE AIR FORCE STATION,PO BOX 8430 ,..•; ; \ / SUNNYVALE,CALIFORNIA 94088-3430 . 11 FEbruary 1985 F ES 131985 CITY OF DUBLIN Mr. Richard C. Alrhrose Dublin City M2nager . P.O. Box 2340 Dublin, California 94568 :Dear ._Amoro SP Mr anreIcation`..reguest. _The ._ .. :.:.:. .. • :- omatJ on concern ur ing Yo am still collecting inf T_ose anneation will be u7 tisately made by -. decision to consent to or oP_ Uni.t_°3 S Imes Air Forc°. • However, these are a fE=a >:rore issLS •: ' -that must be addressed before a re�r`'is for�arded for t:eir action. � '. . . y , C,^;�Llnt y services at the C;Rtli 1r_ications Az)�e_nt1y, we are us 3-'19 fe�.J, i� am Annex now. We have well water and a sent;c tank. We do cur c�-n road mai*�- rcvide cur oc�n fire p`ot=-tion and ser.iri t;� se'"rices. Ec�.�ever, tenahce and p r s the sibility of provision of services by we thick it necessa-r✓ tp adders FF your „ eats sb-ut the avail- the City of D CcrS :e'�t_y, I ask for ab l ty of: a_ Police and fire pro ser rice•.= b. a=_h and ga:b r oval C. St±eet ma=-rit-anance °i r =cession Last mcn}`�� one issue w� did not disc,:ss was city jr, curt enccre d;-. si r orrih,^c°-s, or cxes. IT you have any, Please established,' Pollution st-rya--st does ge-�a11y C=mly with 1 �''"1 se^r-4 me a apy. Sle federal Sn mental standards. as m tax, T as I understo� y� P�ition, the City of DI�L'n h . Fina-ly, o other c:s e which would i_*mact cn any construction or fee, pest fee, that allation, whether by the 5ove*nme*�t or cont--actors. other activity - - If I am wrcr�g, let me lmcw. . ' e5y,. ns. .of .course,'•�•I invite _ I look forward to herrin5 from you ak�ut these qu ' you to ft�-ush any other infor>taticn, such as D�lin's city grv�th Plan or other 1 e�cat=cn, which you carsider rele�rant. I ra_� l benefits to be derived from this ann - - be reached at (408) 752-3587. Since-re'-Y _ �GL13FD PF`ZI�`�GTC`1, M3, ri US?l Fsst Star, judge �GICG=t° MICHAr-,L R. NAVE ATTORNEY AT LAW 1220 HOWARD AVENUE. SUITE 250 BURLINGAME. CALIFORNIA MAILING AODRESS_ 94010-4211 P. O. Hex :0a (.215) 348-7130 SUNLINOAME. CA 9.011.0208 MEMORANDUM R ,C IV ED' TO: LARRY TONG i I?H5 FROM: MICHAEL R. NAVE DUBLIN PLANNING DATE: July 31, 1985 RE: Zoning Contracts - County Property If the Camp Parks/Santa Rita area is annexed to the City, the question was raised as to whether the County would be subject to the City' s zoning ordinance if the_County develops its property in that area. The answer. .i no. Government Code Sections 53090-53095 regulate the right of one public body to subject buildings of another public body within its boundaries to building and zoning ordinances. It has been clearly held that county buildings do not have to comply with city zoning ordinances. San Mateo v. Bartol, (1960) , 184 CA2d 422; 7 CR 569; $0 Ops Atty Gen. 243 (1962) . And it makes no difference if the building is used for a proprietary function. "Cities and counties are mutually exempt from each other 's building and zoning ordinances, whether they are acting in a governmental or proprietary capacity. " (40 Ops Atty Gen. 243 , 244 . ) Although the land and the uses of the land by the County may not be regulated by the City, the City may require the County to submit plans to the City Planning Commission as to the location and purpose of any public buildings to be constructed on such property. Government Code Section 65402 (b) ; California Zoning Practice, CEB, Section 8 .59 . However, the submission of plans to the Planning Commission would clearly be only advisory, and the County could disregard any actions taken —may'-EY-id P anning Commission. Government Code Section 53095; 37 Ops Atty. Gen. 89 (1961) . MRN/jm ATIAURMEN t A- WM 'gh M E M O R A N D U M TO : City Council FRO : rty Manager SUBJECT: Fiscal Impact Analysis of Camp Parks and Environs Annexation DATE : September 18 , 1985 In accordance - with previous direction given by the City Council , the services of Gruen Gruen + Associates have been secured for the purpose of performing a Fiscal Impact Analysis for the proposed Camp Parks and Environs Annexation. The purpose of this study is to determine the net fiscal impact of annexing Camp Parks and environs (approximately 2 , 700 acres) to the City of Dublin. Additional analysis was performed to determine the impact of the annexation on the Dublin San Ramon Services District . SCOPE OF THE STUDY The study undertakes fiscal projections for the City of Dublin under three scenarios : 1 . Fiscal condition with no annexation 2 . Fiscal condition with annexation, but no urban development 3 . Fiscal condition with annexation and 600 acres of new development in the annexation area The Study also considers the City' s Appropriation Limit as it is impacted by the annexation scenarios . The Study also undertakes fiscal projections for the Dublin San Ramon Services District as it relates to fire protection in the annexation with no development scenario and the annexation with development scenario . The Study covers a period of 15 years beginning in Fiscal Year 1985-86 and ending in Fiscal Year 1999-2000. STUDY CRITERIA AND ASSUMPTIONS The following is a list of the major criteria and assumptions which were established at the beginning of the Study : 1 . Operating and capital expenses which are directly offset by identified revenues are not included in the Study . 2 . Most expenses are adjusted by an inflation factor of 6. 40 on an annual basis . This inflation rate represents the average rate of inflation over the last 10 years . In some cases , the increase in expenses exceeded 6. 4% due to increases in the population, increased workload or anticipated organizational changes which would increase the base level of service . See Tables 2 and 3 . 3 . Revenues were adjusted by an inflation rate of 6. 4% or by increases in population. 4. The City ' s reserve was set at approximately $11 ,400 , 000 in Fiscal Year 1988-89 and maintained at that level for the remainder of the study period. This reserve level is based upon the amount of net spendable revenues available after the completion of the City ' s 1983-88 Capital Improvement Program. It ' s important to recognize that the purchasing power of this reserve will be substantially less in the year 1999-2000 than 1988-89• 5 . On an annual basis , those revenues remaining after operating expenditures are available for capital expenditures . Page 1 6. The interest rate on the City ' s investments was assumed to be 10% for the study period. 7 . Revenues were estimated conservatively. No state or federal grant program funds were included after Fiscal Year 1987-88 with the exception of the Transportation Development Act Funds . Only known reimbursements from developers and other agencies were included . 8. For the annexation area, development of the 600 acres of County property would not commence until 1990-1991 and would not be completed until 2010-2011 . Therefore , only half of the property would be developed within the time frame of the Study. It was also assumed that 5% of the developed space would be occupied by retail uses and the remaining 95% of the property would be evenly divided between office space and industrial space . 9. The City does not assume DSRSD ' s services . FISCAL CONDITION OF THE CITY ASSUMING NO ANNEXATION As shown in Table 1 (page 9 ) and in Table 16 (page 33 ) , the City would have sufficient revenues to meet its operating expenses , maintain a reserve of $11 , 366,930, and have $82 , 296, 526 available for capital expenditures during the 15 year study period. The City ' s net spendable revenues also continue to increase each year through the study period. At no time during the 15 year study period is it projected that the City' s proceeds of taxes will exceed its Proposition 4 Appropriations Limit . FISCAL CONDITION OF THE CITY ASSUMING ANNEXATION WITH NO DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA This scenario assumes that the City would annex the entire 2 , 700 acres and that no portion of the annexation would be developed . The estimated current population of the annexation area is 2 , 568 , including 1 ,900 inmates at the Santa Rita County* Jail , 568 inmates at the Federal Prison and 100 military personnel and families . If the City annexes this area, and there are no changes in the military ' s jurisdiction over Camp Parks , it is anticipated that the following services would need to be provided commencing in Fiscal Year 1986-87 : Animal Control Street Maintenance Street Sweeping Paratransit Recreation Over the 15 year study period , the operating costs for the annexation area total $682 , 511 more than the City' s operating expenses with no annexation. Revenues generated by the annexation area under the No Development Scenario would come primarily from increased state subventions due to increased population, and increates in license and permits . Over the 15 year study period, the total revenues for the annexation area would be $1 , 575 ,492 greater than the City' s total revenues with no annexation. With this scenario , a reserve of $11 ,420, 527 would be maintained and a total of $892 ,981 in additional revenue would be available when compared with the No Annexation Scenario during the 15 year study period. As in the No Annexation Scenario , revenues from proceeds of taxes are not projected to exceed the Proposition 4 Appropriations Limit during the study period. Page 2 FISCAL CONDITION OF THE CITY ASSUMING ANNEXATION WITH DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA This scenario assumes that development of the annexation area would commence in 1990-91 and be one-half complete by the end of the study period 1999-2000 . A very conservative set of assumptions were used in this scenario in that it was assumed that 95% of the development would be split between office and industrial uses and only 5% of the space would be developed as retail uses supportive of the business park development . No hotels , auto dealerships or other high tax generating development are assumed to be included in the development of the 600 acres on County property. This annexation would require increased services including : Police Services Animal Control Traffic Signals Street Lighting Street Maintenance Street Tree Maintenance Street Landscape Maintenance Paratransit Service Vector Control Recreation Over the 15 year study period , the operating costs for the annexation area are ,$5 , 257 , 762 greater than the City' s operating expenses with no annexation. Revenues generated by the Annexation With Development Scenario would come primarily from the same sources as the Annexation With No Development Scenario , plus added revenues from property taxes , sales taxes and franchise fees . Over the 15 year study period , the total revenues for the annexation area would be $5 , 520 , 095 greater than the City ' s total revenues with no annexation. With this scenario , a reserve of $11 ,420 , 527 would be maintained and a total of $262 , 333 in additional revenue would be available when compared with the No Annexation Scenario during the 15 year study period. As with the other two scenarios , revenues from the proceeds of taxes are not projected to exceed the City ' s Proposition 4 Appropriations Limit during the 15 year study period. FISCAL CONDITION OF DSRSD ASSUMING ANNEXATION WITH NO DEVELOPMENT Based on responses from DSRSD Staff, the City ' s annexation would impact the District ' s provision of fire service . In this scenario , the District would have to purchase a grass fire truck at a cost of $85 , 000. The annexation area would provide no additional revenue to the District . Therefore , the grass fire truck would hae to be funded from the District ' s existing Fire Capital Improvement Fund . No additional fire personnel costs would be incurred under this scenario . FISCAL CONDITION OF DSRSD ASSUMING ANNEXATION WITH DEVELOPMENT Under this scenario , the Fire Chief estimates that the Department would have to acquire a site , build and operate a new fire station when new development commences in the annexation area. If new development commences in 1990-91 , the estimated cost of station acquisition and construction is $750, 017. These expenses would initially be funded from the District ' s existing Fire Capital Improvement Fund , and then repaid with capital improvement fees from the new development in the annexation area. It is estimated that the District would be repaid for the cost of the new fire station by 1998-1999. The cost of operating the fire station in 1990-1991 is estimated at $833 , 200 per year. Page 3 The only revenue available to the District from the annexation area is property tax. In the year 1990-1991 , it is estimated that the District will only receive $86 ,423 in additional property taxes from the annexation area . Thus , a shortfall between revenue and expense exists and will continue to exist until 2002-2003 , unless the construction of the station is delayed or revenues are generated from outside the annexation area. The impact on DSRSD represents the worst case scenario . If the station is built later or if additional development to be served by DSRSD occurs east of Tassajara Road , the cost impact on the District would be more favorable . Since the new station would also service that portion of the City in the vicinity of Dougherty Road , the operation of a new station could also be funded from revenue sources within the existing District . CONCLUSION With respect to the City, both annexation scenarios would have a positive fiscal impact on the City . During the 15 year study period, the annexation with no development would have the most positive fiscal impact . However, over a longer period of time , the annexation with development would have the most positive fiscal impact . This trend is apparent in the last year of the study (1999-2000) , with the net balance between revenues and expenses totalling $5 , 980, 767 for the Annexation With Development Scenario and $5 , 852 ,698 for the Annexation With No Development Scenario . Based on this fiscal impact analysis , it is recommended that the Council proceed with the processing of the annexation. Page 4 FISCAL IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED ANNEXATION ON THE CITY OF DUBLIN AND THE DUBLIN SAN RAMON SERVICE DISTRICT A Report to the City of Dublin Prepared by GRUEN GRUEN + ASSOCIATES 564 Howard Street San Francisco, California 94105-3011 September 1985 C541 Gruen Gruen+Associates 564 Howard Street San Francisco,Ca. 94105-3071 (415)433-7598 a TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page 1 INTRODUCTION 1 Purpose of This Report 1 Background for Fiscal Impact Analysis 1 Scope of the Fiscal Impact Study 2 Impacts on the City of Dublin 2 Impacts on the Dublin San Ramon 3 Service District (DSRSD) Organization of This Report 4 2 SUMMARY 5 Impacts on the City of Dublin 5 Fiscal Condition Assuming No 5 Annexation Fiscal Condition Assuming Annexation 6 With No New Development in the Annexation Area Fiscal Condition Assuming Annexation 7 With 600 Acres of New Development in the Annexation Area Conclusions 8 Impacts on the DSRSD 8 Fiscal Impact of Annexation with No 10 New Development in the Annexation Area Fiscal Impact of Annexation with 600 10 Acres of New Development in the Annexation Area 3 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH NO 12 ANNEXATION Projected Development in the City of 12 Dublin Gruen Gruen +Associates i Table of Contents, continued Chapter Page Housing Units, Population and 12 Nonresidential Land Use Streets, Lights and Trees 13 Parks 13 Projected Operating Costs 13 Projected Revenues 17 General Fund Revenues 19 Traffic Safety Fund Revenues 19 State Gas Tax Fund Revenues 23 Park Dedication Fund Revenues 23 Revenues in Other Funds 23 Revenues Considered for the First 27 Year Only Total Revenues 27 The Appropriations Limit 27 Calculation of the Limit 27 Projected Revenues from Proceeds 29 of Taxes Impact of the Appropriations Limit 29 Balance Before Capital Expenditures 33 Capital Expenditures and Reserves 33 Summary of Figures to be Used for 35 Comparison 4 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH 37 ANNEXATION, ASSUMING NO DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA Gruen Gruen +Associates ii Table of Contents, continued Chapter Page Projected Development 38 Development in the Existing City 38 of Dublin Characteristics of the Annexation Area 38 Projected Operating Costs 39 Projected Revenues 39 General Fund Revenues 39 Traffic Safety Fund Revenues 42 State Gas Tax Fund Revenues 42 Park Dedication Fund Revenues, 44 Other Fund Revenues and Revenues Considered for the First Year of the Study Only Total Revenues 44 The Appropriations Limit 47 Calculation of the Limit 47 Projected Revenues from Proceeds 47 of Taxes Impact of the Appropriations Limit 47 Balance Before Capital Expenditures 50 Capital Expenditures and Reserves 50 Summary Figures to be Used for Comparison 50 5 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH 53 ANNEXATION, ASSUMING DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA Projected Development 53 Development in the Existing City of 53 Dublin Gruen Gruen +Associates iii Table of Contents, continued Chapter Page Characteristics of the Annexation Area 54 Projected Operating Costs 56 Projected Revenues 59 General Fund Revenues 59 Traffic Safety Fund Revenues and 59 State Gas Tax Fund Revenues Park Dedication Fund Revenues, Other 61 Fund Revenues and Revenues Considered for the First Year of the Study Only Total Revenues 61 The Appropriations Limit 63 Calculation of the Limit 63 Projected Revenues from Proceeds of 63 Taxes Impact of the Appropriations Limit 63 Balance Before Capital Expenditures 63 Capital Expenditures and Reserves 65 Summary Figures to be Used for Comparison 65 6 ESTIMATED FISCAL IMPACTS OF THE 68 PROPOSED ANNEXATION ON THE DUBLIN SAN RAMON SERVICES DISTRICT Change in Responsibility for Fire 68 Protection Cost of Service 68 Annexation With No Development 69 Annexation With Development 69 Gruen Gruen +Associates iv Table of Contents, continued Chapter Page Revenue 70 Capital Improvement Fees 70 Property Tax Revenue 72 Balance Between Costs and Revenues 72 Capital Costs and Revenues 72 Operating Costs and Revenues 75 APPENDIX A NO ANNEXATION (Detailed Tables) A-1 APPENDIX B ANNEXATION WITH NO DEVELOPMENT IN B-1 THE ANNEXATION AREA (Detailed Tables) APPENDIX C ANNEXATION WITH 600 ACRES OF DEVELOPMENT C-1 OVER 20 YEARS IN THE ANNEXATION AREA (Detailed Tables) Gruen Gruen +Associates v LIST OF TABLES Table Number Title Page 1 Fiscal Impacts of the Proposed Annexation 9 on the City of Dublin NO ANNEXATION 2 Population and Development Assumptions: 14 Existing City 3 Public Works Characteristics: Existing 15 City 4 Summary of Net Operating Costs 16 5 Services Provided Under General 18 Categories of Costs in the City of Dublin Operating Budget 6 Items Comprising General Categories 20 of Revenues in the City of Dublin General Fund 7 Total General Fund Revenue 21 8 Projected Revenue From Vehicle Code 22 Fines 9 Total Gas Tax Fund Revenue 24 10 Projected Revenue From Park Dedication 25 Fees 11 Projected Revenue From Other Sources 26 12 Total Revenue in All Funds 28 13 Proposition 4 Limit on Appropriations 30 14 Proceeds of Taxes 31 Gruen Gruen +Associates vi List of Tables, continued Table Number Title Page 15 Comparison of Appropriations Limit and 32 Tax Proceeds 16 Balance Between Operating Costs and 34 Revenues; Calculation of Potential Capital Expenditures 17 Summary Figures for the No Annexation Case 36 ANNEXATION WITH NO DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA 18 Summary of Net Operating Costs 40 19 Total General Fund Revenue 41 20 Projected Revenue From Vehicle Code Fines 43 21 Total Gas Tax Fund Revenue 45 22 Total Revenue in All Funds 46 23 Proposition 4 Limit on Appropriations 48 24 - Proceeds of Taxes 49 25 Balance Between Operating Costs and 51 Revenues; Calculation of Potential Capital Expenditures 26 Summary Figures for the Annexation 52 With No Development Case ANNEXATION WITH 600 ACRES OF DEVELOPMENT OVER 20 YEARS IN THE ANNEXATION AREA 27 Population and Development Assumptions: 55 Annexation Area 28 Public Works Characteristics: Annexation 57 Area ((:gj Gruen Gruen +Associates vii List of Tables, continued Table Number Title Page 29 Summary of Net Operating Costs 58 30 Total General Fund Revenue 60 31 Total Revenue in All Funds 62 32 Proceeds of Taxes 64 33 Balance Between Operating Costs and 66 Revenues; Calculation of Potential Capital Expenditures 34 Summary Figures for the Annexation 67 With Development Case 35 Estimate of Capital Improvement Fees for 71 the Annexation Area 36 Property Tax Estimate for the Annexation 73 Area 37 Summary of Revenues and Costs 74 ((:gj Gruen Gruen +Associates viii CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION PURPOSE OF THIS REPORT This report projects the fiscal impacts on the City of Dublin and the Dublin San Ramon Service District (DSRSD) of a pro- posed annexation to the City of Dublin . The area to be annexed encompasses Camp Parks, which is owned by the United States government , Tassajara Creek Regional Park , which is owned by the East Bay Regional Park District (EBRPD) , and the property owned by Alameda County on which Santa Rita Jail is located . In all , the proposed annexation includes approximately 2 ,700 acres of land . BACKGROUND FOR FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Fiscal impact analysis is the study of the effects of changes in the status quo on the fiscal condition of a public agency. The fiscal condition is described by the balance between the cost of providing public services and the revenues collected by the agency. The change in the status quo may be a change in land use (e.g . , development) , public policy, the level of service provided , a structural change in the cost of service or a change in fee structures, tax levels or other revenue- related regulations . In this case , the change is the annexation of the land described above . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 1 - To analyze the fiscal impacts of the annexation, the balance between the city' s or the service district' s costs and reve- nues with the annexation is compared to the balance between costs and revenues without the annexation. If the balance is more favorable with the annexation - that is, net revenue is greater or net cost is smaller - then the action is projected to have a positive impact . Conversely, if the balance is less favorable with the annexation, the action is projected to have an adverse impact. SCOPE OF THE FISCAL IMPACT STUDY Impacts on the City of Dublin Comparison of Three Scenarios To project the fiscal impacts of the proposed annexa- tion, this study analyzes the fiscal condition of the City of Dublin under three sets of conditions : ( 1 ) no annexation , (2) annexation with no urban development and . ( 3) annexation and redesignation of approximately 600 acres of the County- owned property to permit the development of business parks . In the third case , it is assumed that development of the 600 acres will begin during the year 1990-1991 and be approxi- mately one-half complete by the end of the study period (1999-2000) . The fiscal condition of the city under each of the alternative scenarios is then compared . The differences in fiscal condition between the respective annexation cases and the no annexation case indicate the impacts of the annex- ation cases on the city. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 2 - Consideration of Costs and Revenues The fiscal impact analysis considers all the cost and revenue items included in the City of Dublin' s Preliminary Budget and Financial Plan , Fiscal Year 1985-1986 and all cost and revenue items in the city' s Five Year Capital Improvement Program, 1983-88 , Proposed 1985-86 Update . In cases where costs and revenues exactly offset each other , those costs and revenues are removed from the analysis. All other costs and revenues are considered and projected explicitly. Consideration of the Appropriations Limit The fiscal impact analysis considers explicitly the limit on appropriations imposed by Article 13B of the California Constitution. That limit , adopted by the state ' s voters as an initiative measure (Proposition 4) in 1980 , constrains the expenditure of revenues defined as "proceeds of taxes" to an amount based on the level of appropriations using these funds during the fiscal year 1978-1979 . The limit is adjusted each year to account for population growth and inflation . For cities such as Dublin , which were incorporated after Proposition 4 was passed , the initial appropriations limit was adopted at the same time as the incorporation was approved . Impacts on the Dublin San Ramon Service District (DSRSD) Responses to a letter sent to the DSRSD by the City of Dublin indicate that the only change in service requirements that the district would expect to experience as a result of the J Gruen Gruen +Associates - 3 - proposed annexation is related to fire protection . In the annexation cases, the DSRSD would expand its boundaries for fire protection, which already encompass the City of Dublin , to include the annexed area . This report , therefore , con- siders the added costs that the district would incur and the added revenues it would collect in the two annexation cases. ORGANIZATION OF THIS REPORT Chapter 2 of this report summarizes the findings of the fiscal impact analysis for the City of Dublin and the DSRSD . Chapters 3 , 4 and 5 present detailed examinations of the development assumptions and fiscal results for the no annexa- tion , annexation with no development and annexation with development scenarios , respectively, for the City of Dublin . Finally, Chapter 6 presents a more detailed description of the fiscal analysis for the DSRSD. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 4 - CHAPTER 2 SUMMARY This report examines the fiscal impacts of a proposed annexa- tion on the City of Dublin and the Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD) . This annexation would encompass 2 , 700 acres of land located to the east of the existing city , and would include Camp Parks, Tassajara Creek Regional Park and the County-owned land on which Santa Rita County Jail is located . IMPACTS ON THE CITY OF DUBLIN To estimate the fiscal impacts of the annexation on the City of Dublin, the fiscal condition of the city within its exist- ing corporate limits was projected first . Then , the fiscal condition of the city assuming that the annexation takes place was projected . Two annexation scenarios were consi- dered : one in which no new development occurs in the annexa- tion area and a second in which 600 acres of land are redes- ignated to permit the development of business park-type uses. Fiscal Condition Assuming No Annexation If no annexation takes place , the operating costs incurred by the City of Dublin are projected to increase from $3 ,489 ,922 in 1985-1986 to $10 ,402 , 187 in 1999-2000 . These costs ex- clude costs that are offset directly by identified revenues but include all other costs specified in the city' s budget. Gruen Gruen +Associates — 5 — Revenues in the no annexation case are projected to increase from $7 ,988 ,753 in 1985-1986 to $16 , 254 ,885 in 1999-2000 . These figures include all revenues included in the city' s budget except those that directly offset operating and capi- tal costs. The net balance between operating costs and revenues is projected to be positive - that is , costs are projected to exceed revenues - in every year during the study period . The net revenues , along with interest on the reserve fund balance , are assumed to be available for capital expenditures beginning in 1988-1989 . (Capital expenditures before that year are made according to the city' s adopted plan.) Expendi- tures for capital improvements over the 15-year study period would total $82 ,296 ,526 . Fiscal Condition Assuming Annexation with No New Development in the Annexation Area If the. proposed annexation occurs and there is no new devel- opment in the annexation area , then the city' s service costs and revenues will increase slightly. Cost increases will be attributable to the need for animal control , street mainte- nance/sweeping and recreation . Revenue increases will be attributable to the increase in population and the concomi- tant increase in intergovernmental transfers from the state government that are awarded , at least in part , on a per capita basis. In this scenario , operating costs (excluding those that are directly offset by revenues) are projected to increase from $3 ,489 ,922 in 1985-1986 to $10 , 472 ,918 in 1999-2000 . The latter figure is approximately $70 ,731 greater than the Gruen Gruen +Associates - 6 - estimate for the no annexation case . Total city revenues (excluding those that directly offset costs) are projected to increase from $7 ,988 ,755 in 1985-1986 to $16 ,371 ,318 in 1999- 2000 . The figure for 1999-2000 is approximately $116 ,433 higher than the corresponding figure in the no annexation scenario . As in the no annexation case , revenues are projected to exceed operating costs in every year during the study period . The amount of funds available for capital expenditures throughout the study period is $83 , 135 ,910 , approximately $839 ,384 more than in the no annexation case . Fiscal Condition Assuming Annexation With 600 Acres of New Development in the Annexation Area If the proposed County-owned property is redesignated to allow 600 acres of new business park development , both ser- vice costs and revenues will increase by .greater amounts than in the. annexation with no development case . In this sce- nario , operating costs (excluding those directly offset by revenues) are projected to increase from $3 ,489 ,922 in 1985- 1986 to $ 11 , 322 , 163 in 1999-2000 . Cost increases are expected to occur in most non-general government service categories. The projected operating costs in the final year of the study are approximately $919 ,980 greater than for the no annexation case and $849 ,250 greater than for the annexa- tion with no development case. Revenues in this scenario are projected to increase from $7 ,988 ,755 in 1985-1986 to $17 , 302 ,930 in 1999-2000 ( these figures exclude revenues that directly offset service costs) . The 1999-2000 figure is approximately $1 ,048 ,045 higher than Gruen Gruen +Associates - 7 - the comparable figure for the no annexation scenario and $913 ,612 higher than for the annexation with no development scenario . As in the other two cases, revenues are projected to exceed operating costs in every year of the study period . Funds available for capital expenditure total $82 , 505 , 262 for the 15-year study period . This amount is $208 ,736 greater than total projected capital expenditures in the no annexation case but $630 , 648 less than in the annexation with no development case. Conclusions Table 1 summarizes the fiscal differences among the three cases considered in this analysis by cost and revenue figures for the three cases. The table suggests that , based on the analysis described in this report , the proposed annexation would have a positive fiscal impact on the City of Dublin . Under either annexation case , there would be more revenue available both for capital expenditures and for allocation to the reserve fund than in the no annexation case . The table indicates that the additional amount allocated to the reserve fund would be the same in both annexation cases . Potential additional capital expenditures during the study period would be greater in the no development case . Because the net balance between revenues and operating expenses in 1999-2000 is greater in the development scenario , however , it is possi- ble that in the long run revenues available for capital expenditures would be greater in that case . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 8 - a TABLE 1 Fiscal Impacts of the Proposed Annexation on the City of Dublin No Annexation With Annexation Comparison for 15 Years Annexation No Development With Development Total Operating Expenses, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 $102,448,281 $103,130,792 $107,706,043 Total Capital Expenditures, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 82,296,526 83,135,910 82,505,262 Total Revenues*, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 186,693,023 188,268,515 192,213,118 Net Balance Between Revenues and Total Expenditures 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 1 ,948,216 2,001,813 2,001 ,813 Difference from No Annexation Case Additional Revenue Available for Capital Expenditures 0 839,384 208,736 Additional Revenue Allocated to Reserve Fund 0 53,597 53,597 Total Additional Revenue 0 892,981 262,333 Comparison for 1999-2000 Net Balance Between Revenues and Operating Expenses 5,852,698 5,898,400 5,980,767 Reserve Fund Balance 11 ,366,930 11,420,527 11,420,527 Reserve Fund as a Percent of Operating Expenses 109.3 109.0 93.5 *Includes interest on the reserve fund. Source: Gruen Gruen + Associates Gruen Gruen + Associates - 9 - IMPACTS ON THE DSRSD If the proposed annexation is approved , then the DSRSD will expand the area in which it has responsibility for fire protection to include the annexed area . Thus , for compari- son, the no annexation case has no cost or revenue implica- tions for the district. Fiscal Impact of Annexation with No New Development in the Annexation Area If the annexation is approved and there is no new development in the annexation area , the DSRSD will need to acquire a grass fire truck to respond to fires in the undeveloped lands . The cost of such a truck is estimated to be $85 ,000 in 1985-1986 dollars . This cost would be covered by the capital improvement fees levied by the district on new development elsewhere in its jurisdiction. In the. annexation with no development scenario , the DSRSD would collect no new revenues. Fiscal Impact of Annexation With 600 Acres of New Development in the Annexation Area If the annexation is approved and business park development is permitted in the annexation area, then the DSRSD will need to acquire a grass truck and locate a new station to serve the new development. The district estimates that the capital cost of the site and station would be $550 ,000 in 1985-1986 dollars. The station would be built in 1990-1991 , at which time inflation would have raised the cost to $750 ,017 . This cost would be covered by capital improvement fees paid by development in the annexation area , which are estimated to Gruen Gruen +Associates - 10 - total $984 ,021 by 1999-2000 (when one-half of the permitted development is assumed to be completed) and $1 ,968 ,042 by the full development year of 2009-2010 . The annual cost of operating the new station , including personnel salaries , is estimated by the district to be $611 ,000 in 1985-1986 dollars. This cost will have increased to $833 ,200 by 1990-1991 . The operating cost will be offset by property tax revenues collected by the district . These revenues are projected to increase from $86 ,423 in 1990-1991 , the first year of development in the annexation area , to $1 ,258 ,217 in 1999-2000 and $3 ,873 ,523 in 2009-2010 , when development is complete . The annual net balance between revenues and costs is projected to turn positive in 2002- 2003 . This analysis of the impact on DSRSD represents the worst case scenario , because (1) the station is built at the earli- est possible time , when revenues are lowest , and ( 2) only revenues generated by development in the proposed annexation area are assumed to offset station costs. If the station is actually built later or if additional development to be served by DSRSD occurs east of Tassajara Road , the cost- revenue balance experienced by the district would be more favorable . Financing for the operation of the station could also be provided from revenue sources within the existing district (city) , since the new station would also service that portion of the district ( city) in the vicinity of Dougherty Road . Gruen Gruen +Associates s CHAPTER 3 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH NO ANNEXATION This chapter presents the fiscal projection for the City of Dublin assuming there is no annexation . It begins by re- viewing the assumptions about development that guide the fiscal analysis. It then describes the projected operating costs. Next, it discusses projected revenues to all funds . The impact of the appropriations limit on spendable revenues is assessed . Finally , revenues are compared to operating costs to yield an estimate of the amount of funds available for capital expenditure in each year beyond the end of the current Five Year Capital Improvement Program. The detailed tables that provide the basis for information presented in this chapter are collected in Appendix A. PROJECTED DEVELOPMENT IN THE CITY OF DUBLIN Housing Units, Population and Nonresidential Land Use If the city limits of Dublin remain as they are today, future development and population growth would be limited to that which could occur on available land within those limits . By the time full development occurs, the number of housing units in the city is expected to increase from 4 ,814 (as of January 1 , 1985) to 8 ,249 , and the population to increase from 15 ,608 to 22 ,691 . The amount of land devoted to office development is expected to increase from 40 acres to 62 acres; the amount of industrial development from 140 acres to 164 acres; . the amount of retail use , excluding automobile dealerships , from Gruen Gruen +Associates _ 12 _ 226 acres to 273 acres; and the amount of land in automobile dealerships from 24 acres to 28 acres . The amount of land occupied by hotels - two acres - is expected to remain un- changed . The anticipated changes in land use over the 15- year study period are detailed in Table 2. Streets, Lights and Trees As future land use changes occur in the city , some new streets will be added and related streetscape changes will take place . As shown in Table 3 , the number of street miles within the city is expected to increase from 50 in 1985-86 to 57 at full development . Concomitantly , the number of curb miles is expected to increase from 138 to 157 and the mileage of street medians , important for the estimation of street landscape maintenance costs , from 10 to 12 . The expected increases in the numbers of street lights , traffic signals and street trees are also shown in Table 3 . Parks The City of Dublin plans to acquire 11 acres of "active" park land and 90 acres of "passive" park land in 1985-1986 . In addition, the city expects to acquire six acres of active park land in 1986-1987 . No additional park land acquisitions after 1986-87 are currently planned . PROJECTED OPERATING COSTS If the current city limits are maintained , the city' s operat- ing costs will still increase in response to inflation ; population growth and new development . Table 4 summarizes Gruen Gruen +Associates - 13 - Table 2 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT ASSUMPTIONS: EXISTING CITY Housing Popu- Office Industrial Hotel Retail Auto Dlr. Years Units lation Acreage Acreage Acreage Acreage Acreage ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,663 17,377 40 140 2 226 24 1986 -1987 6,451 19,427 44 145 2 235 28 1987 -1988 6,861 20,263 49 150 2 245 28 1988 -1989 7,281 21,136 53 154 2 254 28 1989 -1990 7,571 21,740 58 159 2 264 28 1990 -1991 8,049 22,291 62 164 2 273 28 1991 -1992 8,089 22,371 62 164 2 273 28 1992 -1993 8,129 22,451 62 164 2 273 28 1993 -1994 8,169 22,531 62 164 2 273 28 1994 -1995 8,209 22,611 62 164 2 273 28 1995 -1996 8,249 22,691 62 164 2 273 28 1996 -1997 8,249 22,691 62 164 2 273 28 1997 -1998 8,249 22,691 62 164 2 273 28 1998 -1999 8,249 22,691 62 164 2 273 28 1999 -2000 8,249 22,691 62 164 2 273 28 The following amounts of development are projected to occur within 5 years of the start of the study period: l Residential: specified to a buildout total of 8,249 units Office: 22 acres Industrial: 24 acres Retail: 47 acres Auto Dlrs: 4 acres Hotel: 0 acres The population is projected to be 22,691 in 1990 The minimum population of the existing city for subventions is 18,900 through the year ending 1990 The population of the existing city in the first year of the study for of the study for purposes of calculating the proposition 4 limit on appropriations is 15,608 Gruen Gruen +Associates M Table 3 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PUBLIC WORKS CHARACTERISTICS: EXISTING CITY Street Curb Street Traffic Street Miles of Years Miles Miles Lights Signals Trees Median ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ...... ------ 1985 -1986 50 138 1,305 15 7,600 10 1986 -1987 51 142 1,377 17 7,773 10 1987 -1988 53 145 1,452 19 7,946 11 1988 -1989 54 149 1,490 21 8,118 11 1989 -1990 56 153 1,528 21 8,291 12 1990 -1991 57 157 1,566 22 8,464 12 1991 -1992 57 157 1,566 22 8,464 12 .1992 -1993 57 157 1,566 22 8,464 12 1993 -1994 57 157 1,566 22 8,464 12 1994 -1995 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 1995 -1996 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 1996 -1997 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 1997 -1998 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 1998 -1999 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 1999 -2000 57 157 1,566 24 8,464 12 Lnn The following amounts of development are projected to occur within 5 years: I Street miles: Res.: 7.00 Nonres.: 0.25 Total: 7.25 Curb miles: 18.50 Median miles: 2.00 The following standards for development are assumed to apply: Street lights: 26 per mile. Street trees: 115 per mile on residential streets. 235 per mile on nonresidential streets. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 4 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 SUMMARY OF NET OPERATING COSTS* Culture & General Public Transpor- Health & Leisure Community Total Years Gov't Safety tation Welfare Services Dev't Cost ------- ...... ...... ...... ------ ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 632,500 1,680,970 564,066 8,925 354,821 248,640 3,489,922 1986 -1987 763,017 1,977,087 630,398 9,496 534,285 264,553 4,178,836 1987 -1988 816,167 2,211,169 688,066 10,104 580,329 281,484 4,587,320 1988 -1989 868,096 2,451,992 750,585 10,751 630,637 299,499 5,011,561 1989 -1990 923,334 2,701,549 817,880 11,439 680,691 318,667 5,453,560 1990 -1991 982,090 2,933,902 890,630 12,171 733,663 339,062 5,891,518 1991 -1992 1,044,590 3,129,339 947,767 12,950 782,071 360,762 6,277,480 1992 -1993 1,111,072 3,337,775 1,008,571 13,778 833,670 383,851 6,688,718 1993 -1994 1,181,791 3,560,074 1,073,275 14,660 888,670 408,417 7,126,887 1994 -1995 1,257,016 3,822,322 1,142,130 15,599 947,296 434,556 7,618,918 1995 -1996 1,337,035 4,076,778 1,215,403 16,597 1,009,786 462,367 8,117,965 1996 -1997 1,422,154 4,337,691 1,293,188 17,659 1,074,412 491,959 8,637,064 1997 -1998 1,512,698 4,615,304 1,375,953 18,789 1,143,174 523,444 9,189,362 1998 -1999 1,609,012 4,910,683 1,464,013 19,992 1,216,337 556,945 9,776,983 1999 -2000 1,711,467 5,224,967 1,557,710 21,271 1,294,183 592,589 10,402,187 rn * Excludes costs that are offset by fees for special police services, recreation, zoning and subdivision processing, plan check and inspection, building permits, Zone 7 collections and special assessment district revenues. Gruen Gruen +Associates the projections of operating costs for the 15-year study period , by general budget category. As indicated in the table , the general categories of service for which operating costs are incurred are general government , public safety, transportation, health and welfare , culture and leisure ser- vices , and community development . The specific services provided under each of these general categories are detailed in Table 5 . As shown in Table 4 , total net operating costs are projected to increase from their budgeted level of $3 ,489 ,922 in 1985- -1986 to $10 ,402 ,187 in 1999-2000 . The costs summarized in Table 4 include all city operating costs that are not di- rectly offset by revenues . Specifically, costs covered by fees for special police services , recreation , zoning and subdivision processing , plan check and inspection , building permits , zone 7 fee collection and special assessment dis- trict revenues are excluded from the calculation of net operating costs. These offset costs total $696 ,500 in the 1985-1986 budget. PROJECTED REVENUES Revenues collected by the City of Dublin are grouped into a series of discrete funds . This study projects the revenues , excluding interest , separately for each of these funds . Interest revenues are estimated after all other revenues have been projected . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 17 - TABLE 5 Services Provided Under General Categories of Costs in the City of Dublin Operating Budget Category Item GENERAL GOVERNMENT City Council City Manager/Clerk Legal Services Finance Building Mangement Insurance Non-departmental PUBLIC SAFETY Police Services Crossing Guards Animal Control Traffic Signals & Street Lighting Disaster Preparedness TRANSPORTATION Street Maintenance Street Sweeping Public Works Admin. Street Tree Maint. Street Landscaping Maint. Paratransit Service HEALTH & WELFARE Vector Control CULTURE & LEISURE SERVICES Library Service Recreation Park Maintenance Senior Citizens' Program COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Planning Building & Safety Engineering Source; City of Dublin Budget, 1985-86. f.. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 18 - General Fund Revenues The broad categories of revenues that accrue to the general fund are taxes, license and permit fees , fines and forfei- tures, revenue from the use of money and property, inter- governmental transfers from the State of California , charges for services and miscellaneous revenues. The specific items that comprise each of these categories are detailed in Table 6 . Table 7 presents the projected total revenues expected to be collected in the general fund in each year during the study period . This total is projected to increase from $5 ,752 , 379 in 1985-1986 to $15 ,227 ,630 in 1999-2000 . The general fund revenues projected in Table 7 exclude some revenues that directly offset costs of providing services : fees for spe- cial police services, building permits and zoning and sub- division processing; plan check and inspection fees; park and recreation fees; Zone 7 fees and special assessment district revenues. In addition, they exclude revenues. from bus bench ad permits and the state subvention for homeowners ' property tax relief , which are considered later in the study. Final- ly, they exclude interest earned on the fund balance , which is also considered later in the study. Traffic Safety Fund Revenues Revenues collected from vehicle code fines are placed in the traffic safety fund . As shown in Table 8 , these funds are projected to increase from their 1985-1986 level of $55 ,000 to $71 ,819 in 1999-2000 . This projection assumes no increase for inflation. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 19 - TABLE 6 Items Comprising General Categories of Revenues in the City of Dublin General Fund Category Service TARES Property Tax - Current Year Property Tax - Prior Year Sales and Use Real Property Transfer Hotel Transient Occupancy Electric Franchise Gas Franchise CATV Franchise LICENSES & PERMITS Building Permits Animal Licenses Bus Bench Ad Permits Encroachment Permits Other Permits FINES & FORFEITURES Other Court Fines USE OF MONEY & PROPERTY Interest Rents & Concessions INTERGOV. REV. - STATE Motor Vehicle. In Lieu Trailer Coach In Lieu Cigarette Tax Off Hwy. Veh. In Lieu Homeowner's Prop. Tax Reimb. CHARGES FOR SERVICE Zoning & Subdiv. Fees Plan Check & Insp. Map & Document Sales Spec. Police Dept. Services Park & Recreation Fees Other Charges Building Use Insurance Zone 7 Drainage Fees OTHER REVENUES Sale of Property Contrib. & Reimb. Miscellaneous Shannon Ctr. Lease Subsidy Reimb. for Pub. Damage Source: City of Dublin Budget, 1985-86. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 20 - Table 7 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE* Licenses Fines and Intergov. Charges and Forfei- Use of Revenue- for Misc. Total Years Taxes Permits Lures Property State Services Revenues Revenue ------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,070,000 12,000 8,500 58,400 565,880 8,400 29,199 5,752,379 1986 -1987 5,796,710 13,772 9,503 65,290 581,659 9,628 29,532 6,506,093 1987 -1988 6,392,771 15,089 9,912 68,099 606,689 10,544 29,886 7,132,990 1988 -1989 7,015,869 16,539 10,339 71,033 632,827 11,551 30,263 7,788,421 1989 -1990 7,710,717 17,954 10,634 73,063 650,912 12,536 30,664 8,506,479 1990 -1991 8,400,929 19,449 10,904 74,915 667,409 13,576 31,090 9,218,272 1991 -1992 8,912,022 20,747 10,943 75,184 669,804 14,481 31,544 9,734,725 1992 -1993 9,456,665 22,132 10,982 75,453 672,200 15,447 32,027 10,284,905 1993 -1994 10,037,550 23,609 11,021 75,721 674,595 16,477 32,541 10,871,515 1994 -1995 10,656,937 25,184 11,060 75,990 676,990 17,576 33,087 11,496,826 1995 -1996 11,308,927 26,864 11,099 76,259 679,385 18,748 33,669 12,154,952 1996 -1997 12,001,777 28,584 11,099 76,259 679,385 19,948 34,288 12,851,340 1997 -1998 12,740,330 30,413 11,099 76,259 679,385 21,225 34,946 13,593,658 1998 -1999 13,527,413 32,360 11,099 76,259 679,385 22,583 35,647 14,384,746 N 1999 -2000 14,366,035 34,431 11,099 76,259 679,385 24,029 36,392 15,227,630 I * Excludes revenues from building permits, bus bench ad permits, other permits, homeowners property tax relief subvention, zoning and subdivision fees, plan check and inspection fees, park and recreation fees, special police department service fees Zone 7 drainage fees, special assessment districts and interest. Gruen Gruen + Associates 1 Table 8 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROJECTED REVENUE FROM VEHICLE CODE FINES Existing City Annexation Area Total Revenue from Popu- Revenue Total Popu- Revenue Total Combined Years lation per Capita Revenue lation 'per Capita Revenue Area ...... ...... ------ ...... ...... ...... ------ 1985 -1986 17,377 3.17 55,000 0 3.17 0 55,000 1986 -1987 19,427 3.17 61,488 0 3.17 0 61,488 1987 -1988 20,263 3.17 64,134 0 3.17 0 64,134 1988 -1989 21,136 3.17 66,898 0 3.17 0 66,898 1989 -1990 21,740 3.17 68,809 0 3.17 0 68,809 1990 -1991 22,291 3.17 70,553 0 3.17 0 70,553 1991 -1992 22,371 3.17 70,807 0 3.17 0 70,807 1992 -1993 22,451 3.17 71,060 0 3.17 0 71,060 1993 -1994 22,531 3.17 71,313 0 3.17 0 71,313 1994 -1995 22,611 3.17 71,566 0 3.17 0 71,566 1995 -1996 22,691 3.17 71,819 0 3.17 0 71,819 1996 -1997 22,691 3.17 71,819 0 3.17 0 71,819 1997 -1998 22,691 3.17 71,819 0 3.17 0 71,819 1998 -1999 22,691 3.17 71,819 0 3.17 0 71,819 N 1999 -2000 22,691 3.17 71,819 0 3.17 0 71,819 N Revenue from vehicle code fines in the first year of the study is 55,000 Given a population of 17,377 this amount equals an average of 3.17 per capita. The amount is not projected to increase with inflation. Gruen Gruen +Associates State Gas Tax Fund Revenues The City of Dublin receives revenues from the state gas tax via three programs . These revenues are projected to increase from $253 ,000 in 1985-1986 to $302 ,982 in 1999-2000 . This projection, which relies on a simplification of the actual basis on which these funds are allocated to local govern- ments , also assumes that inflation has no impact on the amount of revenue per capita . These revenues are summarized in Table 9 . Park Dedication Fund Revenues Park dedication fees are paid when final maps for new subdi- visions are approved . These fees are based partly on whether the housing units are single family or multiple family dwell- ings and partly on the market value of the land on which the units are located . The revenue expected from these fees will therefore vary with the amount of construction . Estimated revenue from park dedication fees is shown in Table 10 . Revenues in Other Funds Table 11 summarizes the revenues projected to accrue to the Transportation Development Act (TDA) fund , the Office of Transportation Safety (OTS) Grant fund , the 1984 State - Park Bond Act fund , the general revenue sharing fund , the Commu- nity Development Block Grant (CDBG) fund and the Federal Aid Urban (FAU) fund . Many of these revenues are expected to be discontinued after the current budget year . As a result, the projected revenue for 1999-2000 is $27 , 265 , significantly lower than the total of $841 ,974 budgeted in 1985-86 . Gruen Gruen + Associates - 23 - Table 9 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL GAS TAX FUND REVENUE Gas Tax Gas Tax Gas Tax Total Years Sec. 2106 Sec. 2107 Sec.2107.5 Revenue ------- ------ ...... ...... ------ 1985 -1986 85,500 163,500 4,000 253,000 1986 -1987 87,750 168,059 4,000 259,809 1987 -1988 91,320 175,291 5,000 271,611 1988 -1989 95,047 182,843 5,000 282,891 1989 -1990 97,626 188,068 5,000 290,695 1990 -1991 99,979 192,835 5,000 297,814 1991 -1992 100,321 193,527 5,000 298,848 1992 -1993 100,662 194,219 5,000 299,881 1993 -1994 101,004 194,911 5,000 300,915 1994 -1995 101,345 195,603 5,000 301,948 1995 -1996 101,687 196,295 5,000 302,982 1996 -1997 101,687 196,295 5,000 302,982 1997 -1998 101,687 196,295 5,000 302,982 1998 -1999 101,687 196,295 5,000 302,982 N 1999 -2000 101,687 196,295 5,000 302,982 Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 10 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROJECTED REVENUE FROM PARK DEDICATION FEES Total Rev. from Rev. from Revenue from Existing Annex. Combined Years City Area Area ------- ...... ------ ...... 1985 -1986 67,300 0 67,300 1986 -1987 935,163 0 935,163 1987 -1988 840,759 0 840,759 1988 -1989 0 0 0 1989 -1990 0 0 0 1990 -1991 0 0 0 1991 -1992 0 0 0 1992 -1993 0 0 0 1993 -1994 0 0 0 1994 -1995 0 0 0 1995 -1996 0 0 0 1996 -1997 0 0 0 1 1997 -1998 0 0 0 N 1998 -1999 0 0 0 Ln 1999 -2000 0 0 0 I Revenue from park dedication fees in the first year of the study is 67,300 Revenue in future years is projected to total 935,163 in the year ending in 1987 840,759 in the year ending in 1988 and 0 after the year ending in 1988 Revenues shown are exclusive of land donated in lieu of fees. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 11 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROJECTED REVENUE FROM OTHER SOURCES Transpor- Office of General Community tation Traffic 1984 State Revenue Development Federal Development Safety Park Bond Sharing Block Aid Urban Total Years Act Fund Grant Fund Act Fund Fund Grant Fund Fund Revenue ---...- -----. ...... ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 11,440 6,000 7,653 222,581 39,300 555,000 841,974 1986 -1987 12,172 0 0 0 59,660 0 71,832 1987 -1988 12,951 0 0 0 59,860 0 72,811 1988 -1989 13,780 0 0 0 0 0 13,780 1989 -1990 14,662 0 0 0 0 0 14,662 1990 -1991 15,600 0 0 0 0 0 15,600 1991 -1992 16,599 0 0 0 0 0 16,599 1992 -1993 17,661 0 0 0 0 0 17,661 1993 -1994 18,791 0 0 0 0 0 18,791 1994 -1995 19,994 0 0 0 0 0 19,994 1995 -1996 21,274 0 0 0 0 0 21,274 1996 -1997 22,635 0 0 0 0 0 22,635 1997 -1998 24,084 0 0 0 0 0 24,084 1998 -1999 25,625 0 0 0 0 0 25,625 N 1999 -2000 27,265 0 0 0 0 0 27,265 rn I Article 4.5 funds, which total 11,440 in the first year of the study, are projected to increase with inflation. Revenue available from the Office of Traffic Safety Grant Fund total 6,000 in the first year of the study. This revenue is projected to be 0 thereafter. Revenue available from the 1984 State Park Bond Act in the first year of the study 7,653 This revenue is projected to be 0 in subsequent years. General revenue sharing funds in the first year of the study are 222,581 This revenue is expected to go to 0 in the year ending in 1987 Revenue from Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds for the first year total 39,300 These revenues are projected to be 59,660 in the year 1987 and 59,860 in the year ending in 1988 Federal Aid Urban fund revenues in the first year of the study equal 555,000 These funds are projected to equal 0 thereafter. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates Revenues Considered for the First Year Only Some revenues included in the 1985-1986 budget have been excluded from the appropriate fund calculations in this study because they are expected to be discontinued after the cur- rent year , they are zero in the current year or they offset costs that are also excluded from the study . The revenues that directly offset costs are identified above , in the discussion of the general fund . Revenues that are zero in the current year or are expected to be zero in future years are bus bench ad permit fees, other permit fees , subventions for homeowners ' property tax exemptions , other service charges and revenue from sales of property. The total reve- nue from all of these sources is $19 ,100 in 1985-1986 . Total Revenues The total revenue projected to accrue to all city funds during the 15-year study period is summarized , by fund or fund group, in Table 12 . This table also calculates pro- jected interest revenue for all funds , based on an interest rate of 10 percent ( in an environment of 6 .4 percent infla- tion) . The table shows that total revenue , with adjustments as noted earlier in this report and in the footnotes to the table , would increase from $7 , 988 , 753 in 1985-1986 to $16 ,254 ,885 in 1999-2000 . THE APPROPRIATIONS LIMIT Calculation of the Limit The appropriations limit for the City of Dublin for the 1985- 1986 budget year is $6 ,490 ,776 . As indicated in Chapter 1 of Gruen Gruen +Associates 27 - Table 12 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL REVENUE IN ALL FUNDS* Traffic State Park Revenues General Safety Gas Tax Dedication Other Not Interest on Total Years Fund Fund Fund Fund ' Funds** Projected*** Revenues Revenue** ------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,752,379 55,000 253,000 67,300 841,974 19,100 1,000,000 7,988,753 1986 -1987 6,506,093 61,488 259,809 935,163 71,832 0 313,375 8,147,761 1987 -1988 7,132,990 64,134 271,611 840,759 72,811 0 335,292 8,717,598 1988 -1989 7,788,421 66,898 282,891 0 13,780 0 326,080 8,478,069 1989 -1990 8,506,479 68,809 290,695 0 14,662 0 355,226 9,235,870 1990 -1991 9,218,272 70,553 297,814 0 15,600 0 384,090 9,986,329 1991 -1992 9,734,725 70,807 298,848 0 16,599 0 404,839 10,525,817 1992 -1993 10,284,905 71,060 299,881 0 17,661 0 426,940 11,100,447 1993 -1994 10,871,515 71,313 300,915 0 18,791 0 450,501 11,713,035 1994 -1995 11,496,826 71,566 301,948 0 19,994 0 475,613 12,365,948 1995 -1996 12,154,952 71,819 302,982 0 21,274 0 502,041 13,053,069 1996 -1997 12,851,340 71,819 302,982 0 22,635 0 529,951 13,778,728 1997 -1998 13,593,658 71,819 302,982 0 24,084 0 559,702 14,552,245 1998 -1999 14,384,746 71,819 302,982 0 25,625 0 591,407 15,376,579 N 1999 -2000 15,227,630 71,819 302,982 0 27,265 0 625,188 16,254,885 00 I Interest on revenues and the reserve fund in the first year of the study is 1,000,000 In future years, interest of 10% per year on 40% of revenues is assumed. Interest on the reserve is calculated separately. * Excludes all revenues assumed to offset costs directly (see notes in previous tables). ** Transportation Development Act Fund, Office of Traffic Safety Grant Fund, 1984 State Park Bond Act Fund, General Revenue Sharing Fund, Community Development Block Grant Fund, Federal Aid Urban Fund. *** Bus bench ad permits, other permits, other service charges, reimbursement for homeowners' property tax exemption, property sales. Gruen Gruen +Associates this report, this limit is adjusted annually to account for population growth and inflation . In effect , these ad- justments maintain the total appropriations limit at a con- stant amount per capita in constant dollars ( that is , a constant level of purchasing power) . The appropriations limit applies only to revenues defined as " proceeds of taxes" ; all other revenues may be spent without restriction. Table 13 projects the city' s appropriations limit through the end of the study period given the assumptions about popula- tion growth and inflation used in this analysis . According to the table, the limit would increase from its current level to $22 ,489 ,810 by the year 1999-2000 . Projected Revenues from Proceeds of Taxes The projected city revenues from the proceeds of taxes are calculated in Table 14 . These revenues include taxes, inter- governmental transfers from the State of California , gas tax revenues , TDA funds, OTS Grant funds and the portion of all interest attributable to the direct tax proceeds . The table shows that these revenues are estimated to total $6 , 249 ,620 in 1985-1986 . By 1999-2000 , they are projected to amount to $15 ,990 ,695 . Impact of the Appropriations Limit In any year that the revenues from proceeds of taxes exceed the appropriations limit, the city' s net spendable revenue is reduced by the amount of the excess. Table 15 indicates that this situation would not occur during the study period . Gruen Gruen +Associates _ 29 _ 1 Table 13 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROPOSITION 4 LIMIT ON APPROPRIATIONS Population Change Existing Annex. in Popu- Infla- Years City Area Total lation* Lion Limit ------- ...... ------ ------ ------ ...... ------ 1985 -1986 15,608 0 15,608 6.4% 6,490,776 1986 -1987 17,377 0 17,377 11.3% 6.4% 7,688,928 1987 -1988 19,427 0 19,427 11.8% 6.4% 9,146,151 1988 -1989 20,263 0 20,263 4.3% 6.4% 10,150,279 1989 -1990 21,136 0 21,136 4.3% 6.4% 11,265,194 1990 -1991 21,740 0 21,740 2.9% 6.4% 12,328,693 1991 -1992 22,291 0 22,291 2.5% 6.4% 13,450,198 1992 -1993 22,371 0 22,371 0.4% 6.4% 14,362,372 1993 -1994 22,451 0 22,451 0.4% 6.4% 15,336,211 1994 -1995 22,531 0 22,531 0.4% 6.4% 16,375,874 1995 -1996 22,611 0 22,611 0.4% 6.4% 17,485,796 1996 -1997 22,691 0 22,691 0.4% 6.4% 18,670,713 1997 -1998 22,691 0 22,691 0.0% 6.4% 19,865,639 1 1998 -1999 22,691 0 22,691 0.0% 6.4% 21,137,040 w 1999 -2000 22,691 0 22,691 0.0% 6.4% 22,489,810 0 I The appropriations limit in the first year of the study is 6,490,776 The population of the existing city in the first year of the study for of the study for purposes of calculating the proposition 4 limit on appropriations is 15,608 The population for purposes of calculating the proposition 4 appropriations limit in a given year is equal to the population in the previous year. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 14 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROCEEDS OF TAXES Interest Homeowners' Attributable Intergov't Gas TDA OTS Prop. Tax to Tax Years Taxes Rev.-State Tax Funds Grant Exemption Subtotal Proceeds Total ------ ...... ------ ...... ...... ------ ------ ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,070,000 565,880 253,000 11,440 6,000 18,300 5,924,620 325,000 6,249,620 1986 -1987 5,796,710 581,659 259,809 12,172 0 0 6,650,350 266,014 6,916,364 1987 -1988 6,392,771 606,689 271,611 12,951 0 0 7,284,023 291,361 7,575,384 1988 -1989 7,015,869 632,827 282,891 13,780 0 0 7,945,367 317,815 8,263,181 1989 -1990 7,710,717 650,912 290,695 14,662 0 0 8,666,985 346,679 9,013,664 1990 -1991 8,400,929 667,409 297,814 15,600 0 0 9,381,753 375,270 9,757,023 1991 -1992 8,912,022 669,804 298,848 16,599 0 0 9,897,272 395,891 10,293,163 1992 -1993 9,456,665 672,200 299,881 17,661 0 0 10,446,406 417,856 10,864,263 1993 -1994 10,037,550 674,595 300,915 18,791 0 0 11,031,851 441,274 11,473,126 1994 -1995 10,656,937 676,990 301,948 19,994 0 0 11,655,870 466,235 12,122,105 1995 -1996 11,308,927 679,385 302,982 21,274 0 0 12,312,568 492,503 12,805,071 1996 -1997 12,001,777 679,385 302,982 22,635 0 0 13,006,779 520,271 13,527,051 1997 -1998 12,740,330 679,385 302,982 24,084 0 0 13,746,782 549,871 14,296,653 I 1998 -1999 13,527,413 679,385 302,982 25,625 0 0 14,535,405 581,416 15,116,821 w 1999 -2000 14,366,035 679,385 302,982 27,265 0 0 15,375,668 615,027 15,990,695 N Gruen Gruen +Associates N Table 15 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 COMPARISON OF APPROPRIATIONS LIMIT AND TAX PROCEEDS Revenue Appropriations Proceeds Not Spendable Years Limit of Taxes Spendable Revenue ------- ------ ------ ------ ------ 1985 -1986 6,490,776 6,249,620 0 6,249,620 1986 -1987 7,688,928 6,916,364 0 6,916,364 1987 -1988 9,146,151 7,575,384 0 7,575,384 1988 -1989 10,150,279 8,263,181 0 8,263,181 1989 -1990 11,265,194 9,013,664 0 9,013,664 1990 -1991 12,328,693 9,757,023 0 9,757,023 1991 -1992 13,450,198 10,293,163 0 10,293,163 1992 -1993 14,362,372 10,864,263 0 10,864,263 1993 -1994 15,336,211 11,473,126 0 11,473,126 1994 -1995 16,375,874 12,122,105 0 12,122,105 1995 -1996 17,485,796 12,805,071 0 12,805,071 1996 -1997 18,670,713 13,527,051 0 13,527,051 1997 -1998 19,865,639 14,296,653 0 14,296,653 I 1998 -1999 21,137,040 15,116,821 0 15,116,821 w N Gruen Gruen +Associates BALANCE BEFORE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES The balance between projected spendable revenues and pro- jected operating costs in the no annexation case is shown in the column of Table 16 headed "Net" . This column indicates that the balance would increase from $4 ,498 ,831 in 1985-1986 to $5 ,852 ,698 in 1999-2000 . CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES Capital expenditures excluding additional police cars are budgeted through .1987-1988 in the city' s Five Year Capital Improvement Program , 1983-88 , Proposed 1985-86 Update . In the column of Table 16 , headed " Budgeted or Available from Interest and Surplus" , the budgeted amounts for those years are inflated at the standard 6 .4 percent rate used throughout this analysis . Anticipated expenditures for police cars , also inflated as appropriate , are detailed in the next column of the table , and total capital expenditures are shown in the final column. -After 1987-1988 , when the current capital budget expires , it is assumed that capital expenditures will be made at a level that permits the city to hold its reserve fund constant at its amount at the end of 1987-1988 (shown in Table 15 as the beginning of 1988-1989) . In other words , total funds avail- able for capital expenditures will be the sum of any net revenue after operating expenses ( the column headed "Net" ) plus the interest on the reserve fund ( " Interest on Reserve") . The only deviation from this assumption is an additional expenditure for police cars in 1989-1990 . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 33 - Table 16 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 BALANCE BETWEEN OPERATING COSTS AND REVENUES; Capital Expenditures CALCULATION OF POTENTIAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES Budgeted or Revenues Total Reserve a Interest Available Total Not Spendable Operating Beginning on from Interest Police Years Revenues* Spendable Revenues* Costs Net of Year Reserve and Surplus Cars Total ------- ...... ...... ...... ----. ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 7,988,753 0 7,988,753 3,489,922 4,498,831 9,418,714 5,666,556 0 5,666,556 1986 -1987 8,147,761 0 8,147,761 4,178,836 3,968,925 8,250,989 825,099 3,543,865 27,664 3,571,529 1987 -1988 8,717,598 0 8,717,598 4,587,320 4,130,278 9,473,484 947,348 3,143,831 14,717 3,158,548 1988 -1989 8,478,069 0 8,478,069 5,011,561 3,466,508 11,392,563 1,139,256 4,605,764 0 4,605,764 1989 -1990 9,235,870 0 9,235,870 5,453,560 3,782,310 11,392,563 1,139,256 4,921,566 25,633 4,947,199 1990 -1991 9,986,329 0 9,986,329 5,891,518 4,094,811 11,366,930 1,136,693 5,231,504 0 5,231,504 1991 -1992 10,525,817 0 10,525,817 6,277,480 4,248,337 11,366,930 1,136,693 5,385,030 0 5,385,030 1992 -1993 11,100,447 0 11,100,447 6,688,718 4,411,729 11,366,930 1,136,693 5,548,422 0 5,548,422 1993 -1994 11,713,035 0 11,713,035 7,126,887 4,586,148 11,366,930 1,136,693 5,722,841 0 5,722,841 1994 -1995 12,365,948 0 12,365,948 7,618,918 4,747,029 11,366,930 1,136,693 5,883,722 0 5,883,722 1995 -1996 13,053,069 0 13,053,069 8,117,965 4,935,103 11,366,930 1,136,693 6,071,796 0 6,071,796 1996 -1997 13,778,728 0 13,778,728 8,637,064 5,141,664 11,366,930 1,136,693 6,278,357 0 6,278,357 1997 -1998 14,552,245 0 14,552,245 9,189,362 5,362,884 11,366,930 1,136,693 6,499,577 0 6,499,577 1998 -1999 15,376,579 0 15,376,579 9,776,983 5,599,596 11,366,930 1,136,693 6,736,289 0 6,736,289 1999 -2000 16,254,885 0 16,254,885 10,402,187 5,852,698 11,366,930 1,136,693 6,989,391 0 6,989,391 I Wp * Excludes interest on reserve fund. I The reserve at the beginning of the first year in the study is 9,418,714 The interest rate earned on reserves is assumed to be 10% per year. Expenditures for capital improvements in the first year of the study are 6,718,776 of which 1,052,220 are offset by contributions and reimbursements. These contributions leave 5,666,556 to be funded by other sources in the first year. Expenditures are projected to total 3,330,700 in the year ending in 1987 and 2,777,000 in the year ending in 1988 with no offsetting contributions. Thereafter, expenditures for '. capital improvements will be made as permitted by the balance between other costs and revenues. The police department will add vehicles according to this schedule: Year End Number Capital Cost Annual Cost -------- ------ ------------ ......----- 1987 2 13,000 15,000 1988 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 7,000 7,000 The capital costs for vehicles are added to the capital budget. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates Under these assumptions, the reserve fund would remain steady at $11 ,366 ,930 from 1990-1991 through 1999-2000 . Capital expenditures would increase from $4 ,605 ,764 in 1988-1989 to $6 ,989 ,391 in 1999-2000 . SUMMARY FIGURES TO BE USED FOR COMPARISON Table 17 presents a series of summary cost and revenue fig- ures for the no annexation case which may be used for com- parison with the other two cases considered in this analy- sis . The figures included in the table are ( 1 ) total operating expenses over the 15-year study period , ( 2) total capital expenditures over the study period , (3) total revenue over the study period , ( 4) the net balance between total revenues and total expenditures over the study period , ( 5) the net balance between revenues and operating costs in 1999- 2000 , (6) the amount of the reserve fund in 1999-2000 , and (7) the reserve as a percent of total operating expenses in 1999-2000 . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 35 - TABLE 17 Summary Figures for the No Annexation Case Comparison for 15 Years No Annexation Total Operating Expenses 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 $102,448,281 Total Capital Expenditures 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 82,296,526 Total Revenue* 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 186,693,023 Net Balance Between Revenues and Total Expenditures, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 1 ,948,216 Comparison for 1999-2000 Net Balance Between Revenues and Operating Expenses 5,852,698 Reserve Fund Balance 11 ,366,930 Reserve Fund as a Percent of Operating Expenses 109.3 *Includes interest on reserve fund. Source: Gruen Gruen + Associates Gruen Gruen +Associates - 36 - s CHAPTER 4 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH ANNEXATION, ASSUMING NO DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA If the proposed annexation of Camp Parks , Tassajara Creek Regional Park and the County-owned property to the City of Dublin is approved , the city will assume responsibility for provision of several services in the annexed area . In addi- tion, the city will receive some additional revenues . If no new development occurs in the annexation area , these addi- tional revenues will be primarily those intergovernmental transfers awarded by the state based wholly or partly on population. This chapter presents the fiscal projection for the City of Dublin assuming that the annexation is approved but no new development takes place in the annexation area . Like Chapter 3 , it begins by reviewing the assumptions about development that ,guide the fiscal analysis. It then describes the pro- jected operating costs that the city would incur in serving both the existing city and the annexation area and the reve- nues that the city would collect from the combined area . Next , it compares the projected revenues to projected operat- ing costs and discusses the impacts of the appropriations limit on spendable revenues. Finally, it projects the bal- ance between spendable revenues and operating costs , the level of the reserve fund and the amount of funds available for capital expenditures. The detailed tables that provide the basis for information presented in this chapter are collected in Appendix B. Gruen Gruen + Associates _ 37 PROJECTED DEVELOPMENT Development in the Existing City of Dublin If the proposed annexation is approved , future development is expected to occur within the current city limits just as in the no annexation case . As indicated in Table 2 ( page 14) , at full development the city would have 8 , 249 housing units and 22 ,691 residents . Office development would occupy 62 acres , industrial development 164 acres , hotels 2 acres , retail use (excluding automobile dealerships) 273 acres and automobile dealerships 28 acres . The projected miles of streets , curbs and medians , the numbers of street lights , traffic signals and street trees, and the amount of park land would be the same as in the no annexation case , shown in Tables 3 (page 15) and 4 (page 16) . Characteristics of the Annexation Area Although there would be no new development in the annexation area , the existing population and some existing development have implications for the city' s expected service costs and revenues. The current population of the area is estimated to be 2 ,568 , including 100 military personnel and family mem- bers, 568 inmates at the federal prison located on the Camp Parks property and 1 ,900 inmates at Santa Rita County Jail . There are four miles of existing roads (Tassajara Road and the frontage road) , with no curbs , medians , street lights , traffic signals or street trees . There is no park land in the annexation area for which the city would assume responsibility. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 38 - For purposes of this study, it is assumed that the initial cost and revenue changes that result from the annexation will occur in the fiscal year 1986-1987 . In other words , 1986- 1987 is the first year in which the city will incur costs of service provision - e.g . , street maintenance - and the first year in which it will receive revenues from the annexed area . PROJECTED OPERATING COSTS If the annexation is approved , the city' s projected operating costs will increase from their 1985-1986 level of $3 ,489 ,922 to a 1999-2000 level of $10 ,472 ,918 . This total cost for the final year of the study period is approximately $ 70 , 7.31 higher than the cost projected for the same year in the no annexation case. The difference results from increased costs of public safety (for animal control) , transportation ( for street maintenance , street sweeping and paratransit) , and culture and leisure services (for recreation) . The projected operating costs for this scenario are presented in Table 18 . As in Chapter 3 and noted in the footnote to. Table 17 , the costs shown here exclude costs that are directly offset by revenues. PROJECTED REVENUES General Fund Revenues The projected general fund revenues for this annexation with no new development case are summarized , by fund , in Table 19 . As the table shows, the total would increase from $5 ,752 ,381. in 1985-1986 (excluding the revenues noted in the footnote to Gruen Gruen +Associates _ 39 _ Table 18 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 SUMMARY OF NET OPERATING COSTS* Culture & General Public Transpor- Health & Leisure Community Total Years Gov't Safety tation Welfare Services Dev't Cost ------- ------ ...... ------ ...... ...... ------ ...... 1985 -1986 632,500 1,680,970 564,066 8,925 354,821 248,640 3,489,922 1986 -1987 763,017 1,977,386 660,344 9,496 535,617 264,553 4,210,413 1987 -1988 816,167 2,211,487 719,928 10,104 581,747 281,484 4,620,918 1988 -1989 868,096 2,452,330 784,486 10,751 632,146 299,499 5,047,309 1989 -1990 923,334 2,701,909 853,951 11,439 682,296 318,667 5,491,596 1990 -1991 982,090 2,934,285 929,009 12,171 735,371 339,062 5,931,987 1991 -1992 1,044,590 3,129,747 988,603 12,950 783,888 360,762 6,320,540 1992 -1993 1,111,072 3,338,209 1,052,020 13,778 835,603 383,851 6,734,534 1993 -1994 1,181,791 3,560,535 1,119,505 14,660 890,727 408,417 7,175,635 1994 -1995 1,257,016 3,822,813 1,191,319 15,599 949,484 434,556 7,670,786 1995 -1996 1,337,035 4,077,300 1,267,739 16,597 1,012,114 462,367 8,173,153 1996 -1997 1,422,154 4,338,247 1,348,875 17,659 1,076,889 491,959 8,695,783 1997 -1998 1,512,698 4,615,895 1,435,203 18,789 1,145,810 523,444 9,251,839 1998 -1999 1,609,012 4,911,312 1,527,056 19,992 1,219,142 556,945 9,843,459 1999 -2000 1,711,467 5,225,636 1,624,787 21,271 1,297,167 592,589 10,472,918 0 * Excludes costs that are offset by fees for special police services, recreation, zoning and subdivision processing, plan check and inspection, building permits, Zone 7 collections and special assessment district revenues. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 19 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE* Licenses Fines and Intergov. Charges and Forfei- Use of Revenue- for Misc. Total Years Taxes Permits tures Property State Services Revenues Revenue ------- ------ ...... ------ ------ ...... ------ ------ ...... 1985 -1986 5,070,000 12,000 8,500 58,400 565,882 8,400 29,199 5,752,381 1986 -1987 5,796,710 13,821 9,552 65,626 585,162 9,662 29,532 6,510,064 1987 -1988 6,392,771 15,141 9,961 68,435 683,577 10,580 29,886 7,210,351 1988 -1989 7,015,869 16,595 10,388 71,369 709,715 11,589 30,263 7,865,787 1989 -1990 7,710,717 18,013 10,683 73,399 727,800 12,576 30,664 8,583,851 1990 -1991 8,400,929 19,512 10,953 75,251 744,297 13,619 31,090 9,295,651 1991 -1992 8,912,022 20,814 10,992 75,520 746,692 14,527 31,544 9,812,110 1992 -1993 9,456,665 22,203 11,031 75,789 749,087 15,496 32,027 10,362,297 1993 -1994 10,037,550 23,684 11,070 76,057 751,483 16,529 32,541 10,948,915 1994 -1995 10,656,937 25,265 11,109 76,326 753,878 17,632 33,087 11,574,234 1995 -1996 11,308,927 26,950 11,148 76,595 756,273 18,807 33,669 12,232,370 1996 -1997 12,001,777 28,675 11,148 76,595 756,273 20,011 34,288 12,928,767 l 1997 -1998 12,740,330 30,510 11,148 76,595 756,273 21,291 34,946 13,671,095 1998 -1999 13,527,413 32,463 11,148 76,595 756,273 22,654 35,647 14,462,193 1999 -2000 14,366,035 34,540 11,148 76,595 756,273 24,104 36,392 15,305,088 N l * Excludes revenues from building permits, bus bench ad permits, other permits, homeowners property tax relief subvention, zoning and subdivision fees, plan check and inspection fees, park and recreation fees, special police department service fees Zone 7 drainage fees, special assessment districts and interest. Gruen Gruen +Associates the table) to $15 ,305 ,088 in the final study year of 1999- 2000 . The amount in the final year is approximately $77 ,458 greater than the comparable figure in the no annexation case. The difference is attributable to increases in estimated revenues from licenses and permits (animal licenses) , fines and forfeitures (parking tickets) , use o-f property (more frequent rentals of city-owned buildings) , state transfers ( in lieu fees and cigarette taxes) and service charges that do not directly offset costs (sales of maps and documents) . As in Chapter 3 , the general fund revenues projected in Table 19 exclude some revenues that directly offset costs of pro- viding services, some revenues considered elsewhere in the analysis and interest earned on the fund balance. Traffic Safety Fund Revenues Revenue from vehicle code fines is projected to be greater in this scenario than in the no annexation case as a result of the added annexation area population. As shown in Table 20 , these revenues are projected to increase from their current level of $55 ,000 to a total of $72 , 136 in 1999-2000 . The projected amount for 1999-2000 is approximately $317 greater than the projected amount with no annexation. State Gas Tax Fund Revenues State gas tax revenues are projected to increase from $253 ,000 in 1985-1986 to $337 ,162 in 1999-2000 in the annexa- tion with no new development scenario . The projected amount for 1999-2000 is $34 ,180 greater than the projection for the Gruen Gruen +Associates — 42 — Table 20 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROJECTED REVENUE FROM VEHICLE CODE FINES Existing City Annexation Area Total Revenue from Popu- Revenue Total Popu- Revenue Total Combined Years lation per Capita Revenue lation per Capita Revenue Area 1985 -1986 17,377 3.17 55,000 0 3.17 0 55,000 1986 -1987 19,427 3.17 61,488 100 3.17 317 61,805 1987 -1988 20,263 3.17 64,134 100 3.17 317 64,451 1988 -1989 21,136 3.17 66,898 100 3.17 317 67,214 1989 -1990 21,740 3.17 68,809 100 3.17 317 69,126 1990 -1991 22,291 3.17 70,553 100 3.17 317 70,870 1991 -1992 22,371 3.17 70,807 100 3.17 317 71,123 1992 -1993 22,451 3.17 71,060 100 3.17 317 71,376 1993 -1994 22,531 3.17 71,313 100 3.17 317 71,629 1994 -1995 22,611 3.17 71,566 100 3.17 317 71,883 1995 -1996 22,691 3.17 71,819 100 3.17 317 72,136 1996 -1997 22,691 3.17 71,819 100 3.17 317 72,136 1 1997 -1998 22,691 3.17 71,819 100 3.17 317 72,136 1998 -1999 22,691 3.17 71,819 100 3.17 317 72,136 1999 -2000 22,691 3.17 71,819 100 3.17 317 72,136 w Revenue from vehicle code fines in the first year of the study is 55,000 Given a population of 17,377 this amount equals an average of 3.17 per capita. The amount is not projected to increase with inflation. Per capita cost projections for the annexation area are based on non-incarcerated population. Gruen Gruen +Associates no annexation case . The difference results solely from the increase in population as a result of the annexation . The projected gas tax revenue is summarized in Table 21 . Park Dedication Fund Revenues, Other Fund Revenues and Revenues Considered for the First Year of the Study Only No change in the amount of housing construction is expected in the City of Dublin in this scenario . Therefore, projected revenues for the park dedication fund would remain the same as in the no annexation case , shown in Table 10 (page 25) . Neither revenue to other funds specifically considered in the study - the TDA fund , the OTS Grant fund , the 1984 State Park Bond Act fund , the general revenue sharing fund , the CDBG fund or the FAU fund ( summarized in Table 11 , page 26) nor the revenue considered only for the first year of the study - bus bench ad permits, homeowners' property tax relief subven- tions or assessment district payments - would be affected by the annexation. Total Revenues The total revenue projected to accrue to all city funds during the 15-year study period is summarized , by fund or fund group, in Table 22. Like the parallel table in Chapter 3 , this table also calculates projected interest revenue for all funds . According to the table , projected revenues from all sources (excluding those specifically noted in the foot- note ) would increase from $7 , 988 , 755 in 1985-1986 to $16 ,371 ,318 in 1999-2000 . The latter amount is approximately $116 ,433 higher than the projection for the no annexation Gruen Gruen +Associates - 44 - Table 21 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL GAS TAX FUND REVENUE Gas Tax Gas Tax Gas Tax Total Years Sec. 2106 Sec. 2107 Sec.2107.5 Revenue ------- ...... ...... ...... ------ 1985 -1986 85,500 163,500 4,000 253,000 1986 -1987 88,250 169,071 4,000 261,321 1987 -1988 102,285 197,506 5,000 304,791 1988 -1989 106,012 205,058 5,000 316,071 1989 -1990 108,591 210,283 5,000 323,875 1990 -1991 110,944 215,050 5,000 330,994 1991 -1992 111,286 215,742 5,000 332,028 1992 -1993 111,627 216,434 6,000 334,061 1993 -1994 111,969 217,126 6,000 335,095 1994 -1995 112,310 217,818 6,000 336,129 1995 -1996 112,652 218,510 6,000 337,162 1996 -1997 112,652 218,510 6,000 337,162 1997 -1998 112,652 218,510 6,000 337,162 1998 -1999 112,652 218,510 6,000 337,162 � 1999 -2000 112,652 218,510 6,000 337,162 Ln I Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 22 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL REVENUE IN ALL FUNDS* Traffic State Park Revenues General Safety Gas Tax Dedication Other Not Interest on Total Years Fund Fund Fund Fund Funds** Projected*** Revenues Revenue** -------6 5...... ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ...... ------ 1985 -198 ,752,381 55,000 253,000 67,300 841,974 19,100 1,000,000 7,988,755 1986 -1987 6,510,064 61,805 261,321 935,163 71,832 0 313,607 8,153,792 1987 -1988 7,210,351 64,451 304,791 840,759 72,811 0 339,727 8,832,890 1988 -1989 7,865,787 67,214 316,071 0 13,780 0 330,514 8,593,366 1989 -1990 8,583,851 69,126 323,875 0 14,662 0 359,661 9,351,174 1990 -1991 9,295,651 70,870 330,994 0 15,600 0 388,525 10,101,639 1991 -1992 9,812,110 71,123 332,028 0 16,599 0 409,274 10,641,134 1992 -1993 10,362,297 71,376 334,061 0 17,661 0 431,416 11,216,812 1993 -1994 10,948,915 71,629 335,095 0 18,791 0 454,977 11,829,408 1994 -1995 11,574,234 71,883 336,129 0 19,994 0 480,090 12,482,329 1995 -1996 12,232,370 72,136 337,162 0 21,274 0 506,518 13,169,459 1996 -1997 12,928,767 72,136 337,162 0 22,635 0 534,428 13,895,128 1997 -1998 13,671,095 72,136 337,162 0 24,084 0 564,179 14,668,656 1998 -1999 14,462,193 72,136 337,162 0 25,625 0 595,885 15,493,001 1999 -2000 15,305,088 72,136 337,162 0 27,265 0 629,666 16,371,318 rn Interest on revenues in the first year of the study is 1,000,000 In future years, interest of 10% per year on 40% of revenues is assumed. Interest on the reserve is calculated separately. * Excludes all revenues assumed to offset costs directly (see notes in previous tables). ** Transportation Development Act Fund, Office of Traffic Safety Grant Fund, 1984 State Park Bond Act Fund, General Revenue Sharing Fund, Community Development Block Grant Fund, Federal Aid Urban Fund. *** Bus bench ad permits, other permits, other service charges, reimbursement for homeowners' property tax exemption, property sales. Gruen Gruen +Associates case . The difference, as noted earlier , is attributable to revenues generated by population , including both service charges and subventions ( intergovernmental transfers) . THE APPROPRIATIONS LIMIT Calculation of the Limit Annexation of Camp Parks, Tassajara Creek Regional Park and the County-owned property would have the effect of increasing the city' s population above the level it would reach with no annexation and would therefore increase the city' s appropria- tions limit in future years. For purposes of calculating the appropriations limit, federal prison inmates - estimated to number 568 - are excluded from the city' s population . Table 23 projects the city' s appropriations limit through the end of the study period for the annexation with no development scenario . In this scenario , the limit would increase from its current level to $24 ,472 ,077 by the year 1999-2000 . Projected Revenues from Proceeds of Taxes The projected city revenues from the proceeds of taxes in the annexation with no new development case are calculated in Table 24 . The table shows that these revenues are estimated to total $6 ,249 ,622 in 1985-1986 and increase to $16 , 106 , 205 by 1999-2000 . Impact of the Appropriations Limit As in the no annexation case , revenues from the proceeds of taxes are not projected to exceed the appropriations limit during the study period . Therefore, the limit would have no impact on the city' s spendable revenues. Gruen Gruen +Associates 47 - Table 23 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROPOSITION 4 LIMIT ON APPROPRIATIONS Population Change Existing Annex. in Popu- Infla- Years City Area Total lation* tion Limit ------- ...... ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 1985 -1986 15,608 0 15,608 6.4% 6,490,776 1986 -1987 17,377 0 17,377 11.3% 6.4% 7,688,928 1987 -1988 19,427 2,000 21,427 23.3% 6.4% 10,087,743 1988 -1989 20,263 2,000 22,263 3.9% 6.4% 11,152,133 1989 -1990 21,136 2,000 23,136 3.9% 6.4% 12,331,166 1990 -1991 21,740 2,000 23,740 2.6% 6.4% 13,462,888 1991 -1992 22,291 2,000 24,291 2.3% 6.4% 14,656,981 1992 -1993 22,371 2,000 24,371 0.3% 6.4% 15,646,389 1993 -1994 22,451 2,000 24,451 0.3% 6.4% 16,702,405 1994 -1995 22,531 2,000 24,531 0.3% 6.4% 17,829,504 1995 -1996 22,611 2,000 24,611 0.3% 6.4% 19,032,459 1996 -1997 22,691 2,000 24,691 0.3% 6.4% 20,316,362 1997 -1998 22,691 2,000 24,691 0.0% 6.4% 21,616,610 l 1998 -1999 22,691 2,000 24,691 0.0% 6.4% 23,000,073 1999 -2000 22,691 2,000 24,691 0.0% 6.4% 24,472,077 I The appropriations limit in the first year of the study is 6,490,776 The population of the existing city in the first year of the study for of the study for purposes of calculating the proposition 4 limit on appropriations is 15,608 The population for purposes of calculating the proposition 4 appropriations limit in a given year is equal to the population in the previous year. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. The federal prison population is excluded from the population for purposes of calculating the appropriations limit. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 24 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROCEEDS OF TAXES Interest Homeowners' Attributable Intergov't Gas TDA OTS Prop. Tax to Tax Years Taxes Rev.-State Tax Funds Grant Exemption Subtotal Proceeds Total ------ ------ ...... ------ -----• ...... ------ ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,070,000 565,882 253,000 11,440 6,000 18,300 5,924,622 325,000 6,249,622 1986 -1987 5,796,710 585,162 261,321 12,172 0 0 6,655,365 266,215 6,921,580 1987 -1988 6,392,771 683,577 304,791 12,951 0 0 7,394,091 295,764 7,689,854 1988 •1989 7,015,869 709,715 316,071 13,780 0 0 8,055,435 322,217 8,377,652 1989 -1990 7,710,717 727,800 323,875 14,662 0 0 8,777,053 351,082 9,128,135 1990 •1991 8,400,929 744,297 330,994 15,600 0 0 9,491,821 379,673 9,871,494 1991 -1992 8,912,022 746,692 332,028 16,599 0 0 10,007,340 400,294 10,407,634 1992 •1993 9,456,665 749,087 334,061 17,661 0 0 10,557,475 422,299 10,979,773 1993 -1994 10,037,550 751,483 335,095 18,791 0 0 11,142,919 445,717 11,588,636 1994 -1995 10,656,937 753,878 336,129 19,994 0 0 11,766,938 470,678 12,237,616 1995 -1996 11,308,927 756,273 337,162 21,274 0 0 12,423,636 496,945 12,920,582 1996 -1997 12,001,777 756,273 337,162 22,635 0 0 13,117,847 524,714 13,642,561 I 1997 -1998 12,740,330 756,273 337,162 24,084 0 0 13,857,850 554,314 14,412,164 1998 •1999 13,527,413 756,273 337,162 25,625 0 0 14,646,473 585,859 15,232,332 1999 -2000 14,366,035 756,273 337,162 27,265 0 0 15,486,736 619,469 16,106,205 to I Gruen Gruen +Associates BALANCE BEFORE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES The balance between projected revenues and operating costs in this scenario would increase from $4 ,498 ,833 in 1985-1986 to $5 ,898 ,400 in 1999-2000 . The net in 1999-2000 is $45 ,702 greater than in the no annexation scenario . The projected net balances are shown in Table 25 , in the column headed "Net" . CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES Capital expenditures and reserves are projected for this case under the same assumptions as for the no annexation case . In this case , capital expenditures would increase from $4 ,690 ,674 in 1988-1989 ( the first year after the current capital budget expires) to $7 ,040 , 453 in 1999-2000 . The projected expenditures in each year are summarized in the final column of Table 25 . The status of the reserve fund is also shown in Table 25 , in the column headed "Reserve at Beginning of Year" . The table indicates that the fund would amount to $11 ,420 , 527 from the year 1990-1991 through the end of the study period . SUMMARY FIGURES TO BE USED FOR COMPARISON Table 26 presents the summary figures for this annexation with no development case and compares them to those for the no annexation case. The table indicates that total operating costs, capital expenditures and total revenues for the study period as well as the net of total revenues over total expen- ditures for the 15-year period and the net balance in the final year are greater than in the no annexation case . Similiarly, the reserve fund levels out at a higher amount. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 50 - Table 25 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: No Annexation Run Date: August 23, 1985 BALANCE .BETWEEN OPERATING COSTS AND REVENUES; Capital Expenditures CALCULATION OF POTENTIAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES Budgeted or Revenues Total Reserve a Interest Available Total Not Spendable Operating Beginning on from Interest Police Years Revenues* Spendable Revenues* Costs Net of Year Reserve and Surplus Cars Total ------- ...... ...... ...... ------ ------ ...... ------ ...... ------ ------ 1985 -1986 7,988,755 0 7,988,755 3,489,922 4,498,833 9,418,714 5,666,556 0 5,666,556 1986 -1987 8,153,792 0 8,153,792 4,210,413 3,943,380 8,250,991 825,099 3,543,865 27,664 3,571,529 1987 -1988 8,832,890 0 8,832,890 4,620,918 4,211,972 9,447,941 944,794 3,143,831 14,717 3,158,548 1988 -1989 8,593,366 0 8,593,366 5,047,309 3,546,058 11,446,160 1,144,616 4,690,674 0 4,690,674 1989 -1990 9,351,174 0 9,351,174 5,491,596 3,859,578 11,446,160 1,144,616 5,004,194 25,633 5,029,827 1990 -1991 10,101,639 0 10,101,639 5,931,987 4,169,652 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,311,705 0 5,311,705 1991 -1992 10,641,134 0 10,641,134 6,320,540 4,320,595 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,462,647 0 5,462,647 1992 -1993 11,216,812 0 11,216,812 6,734,534 4,482,278 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,624,331 0 5,624,331 1993 -1994 11,829,408 0 11,829,408 7,175,635 4,653,773 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,795,825 0 5,795,825 1994 -1995 12,482,329 0 12,482,329 7,670,786 4,811,543 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,953,595 0 5,953,595 1995 -1996 13,169,459 0 13,169,459 8,173,153 4,996,306 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,138,359 0 6,138,359 1996 -1997 13,895,128 0 13,895,128 8,695,783 5,199,345 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,341,398 0 6,341,398 1997 -1998 14,668,656 0 14,668,656 9,251,839 5,416,817 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,558,869 0 6,558,869 1998 -1999 15,493,001 0 15,493,001 9,843,459 5,649,542 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,791,594 0 6,791,594 I 1999 -2000 16,371,318 0 16,371,318 10,472,918 5,898,400 11,420,527 1,142,053 7,040,453 0 7,040,453 Ul H * Excludes interest on reserve fund. N I The reserve at the beginning of the first year in the study is 9,418,714 The interest rate earned on reserves is assumed to be 10% per year. Expenditures for capital improvements in the first year of the study are 6,718,776 of which 1,052,220 are offset by contributions and reimbursements. These contributions leave 5,666,556 to be funded by other sources in the first year. Expenditures are projected to total 3,330,700 in the year ending in 1987 and 2,777,000 in the year ending in 1988 with no offsetting contributions. Thereafter, expenditures for . capital improvements will be made as permitted by the balance between other costs and revenues. The police department will add vehicles according to this schedule: Year End Number Capital Cost Annual Cost ........ ...... ............ ........... 1987 2 13,000 15,000 1988 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 7,000 7,000 The capital costs for vehicles are added to the capital budget. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates TABLE 26 Summary Figures for the Annexation with No Development Case Annexation With No Comparison for 15 Years Development Total Operating Expenses 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 $103,130,792 Total Capital Expenditures 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 83,135,910 Total Revenues* 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 188,268,515 Net Balance Between Revenues and Total Expenditures, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 2,001 ,813 Comparison for 1999-2000 Net Balance Between Revenues and Operating Expenses 5,898,400 Reserve Fund 11 ,420,527 Reserve Fund as a Percent of . Operating Expenses 109.0 *Includes interest on reserve fund. Source: Gruen Gruen + Associates Gruen Gruen +Associates - 52 - CHAPTER 5 THE FISCAL CONDITION OF DUBLIN WITH ANNEXATION, ASSUMING DEVELOPMENT IN THE ANNEXATION AREA If the proposed annexation is approved , it is possible that the City of Dublin will redesignate the permitted land uses on the County-owned property . This chapter presents the fiscal projection for the City of Dublin assuming that the annexation is approved and that 600 acres of the County-owned property are redesignated to permit the development of busi- ness park-type uses. Like the previous two chapters , this chapter begins with a description of development in the study area . It then des- cribes the projected operating costs that the city would incur in serving both the existing city and the annexation area and the revenues that the city would collect from the combined area, and compares the projected revenues to pro- jected costs. Next, it addresses the impact of the appropri- ations limit on spendable revenues. Finally, - it projects the level of the reserve fund and the amount of funds that would be available for capital expenditures after the end of the current capital improvement program . The detailed tables that provide the basis for information presented in this chapter are contained in Appendix C. PROJECTED DEVELOPMENT Development in the Existing City of Dublin Annexation of the Camp Parks-regional park-County area is not expected to affect the course of development within the Gruen Gruen +Associates - 53 - existing Dublin city limits. Thus, in this scenario , devel- opment in the city as it is now is projected to proceed as described in Tables 2, 3 and 4 (pages 14 , 15 and 16) . Characteristics of the Annexation Area Housing , Population and Nonresidential Development If development is permitted in the annexation area , it will be limited to nonresidential uses. Therefore , no hous- ing units would be built , and the population of the area would remain at its initial level of 2 ,568 . If 600 acres of the County-owned land is redesignated and rezoned to permit business park development , two differ- ent intensities of development would be permitted . Approxi- mately 400 acres would permit "high-intensity" development , allowing coverage ratios of between 35 percent and 40 per- cent, and approximately 200 acres would permit "low inten- sity" development, with coverage ratios between 25 percent and 37 percent. For this study, it is assumed that develop- ment of this 600 acres would begin in 1990-1991 and require 20 years to be completed . Under this assumption , about one- half of the acreage would be developed by the end of the study period . It is also assumed that 5 percent of the developed space would be occupied by retail uses that serve the business parks and that the remaining 95 percent would be divided evenly between development with the characteristics of office space and development with the characteristics of industrial space. No hotels or automobile dealerships are projected to be located in the annexation area . The amount of development expected in each year is summarized in Table 27 . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 54 - Table 27 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT ASSUMPTIONS: ANNEXATION AREA Housing Popu- Office Industrial Hotel Retail' Auto Mr. Years Units lation Acreage Acreage Acreage Acreage Acreage ------ ...... ...... ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 1985 -1986 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1986 -1987 0 2,568 0 0 0 0 0 1987 -1988 0 2,568 0 0 0 0 0 1988 -1989 0 2,568 0 0 0 0 0 1989 -1990 0 2,568 0 0 0 0 0 1990 -1991 0 2,568 0 0 0 0 0 1991 -1992 0 2,568 14 14 0 2 0 1992 -1993 0 2,568 29 29 0 3 0 1993 -1994 0 2,568 43 43 0 5 0 1994 -1995 0 2,568 57 57 0 6 0 1995 -1996 0 2,568 71 71 0 8 0 1996 -1997 0 2,568 86 86 0 9 0 1997 -1998 0 2,568 100 100 0 11 0 1998 -1999 0 2,568 114 114 0 12 0 1 1999 -2000 0 2,568 128 128 0 14 0 Ln The following amounts of development are projected to occur Ln over a 20 year period beginning, 1 5 years after the start of the study period: Residential: 0 units Office: 285 acres Industrial: 285 acres Retail: 30 acres Auto Dlrs: 0 acres Hotel: 0 acres The population is projected to be 2,568 in 1990 The minimum population of the annexation area for subventions is 117 through the year ending 1990 Gruen Gruen +Associates Streets , Lights and Trees As development occurs in the annexation area , new streets will be built to provide access . It is assumed that, by the time all 600 acres on which development is permitted have been built out , there will be 9 .8 additional miles of roads and 15 traffic signals in the annexation area . The timing of the road additions and traffic signals and the associated curb miles, median miles, street lights and street trees are detailed in Table 28 . As in Chapter 4 , it is assumed that the initial cost and revenue changes that result from the annexation will occur in the fiscal year 1986-1987 . PROJECTED OPERATING COSTS In this annexation with development scenario , the city ' s operating costs,net of costs directly offset by revenues , are projected to increase from $3 ,489 ,922 to in 1985-1986 to $11 ,322 ,163 in 1999-2000 , as shown in Table 29 . This total cost for the final year of the study period is approximately $919 ,980 higher than the cost projected for the same year in the no annexation case . The difference results from in- creased costs of public safety (for police services , animal control , traffic signals and street lighting) , transportation ( for street maintenance , street sweeping , street tree mainte- nance , street landscaping maintenance and paratransit) , health and welfare ( for vector control ) , and culture and leisure services (for recreation) . The cost is approximately $849 , 250 greater than in the case of annexation with no development. Gruen Gruen +Associates - 56 - Table 28 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 PUBLIC WORKS CHARACTERISTICS: ANNEXATION AREA Street Curb Street Traffic Street Miles of Years Miles Miles Lights Signals Trees Median ...--- ------ ------ ------ . ...... ...... 1985 -1986 0 0 0 0 0 0 1986 -1987 4 0 0 0 0 0 1987 -1988 4 0 0 0 0 0 1988 -1989 4 0 0 0 0 0 1989 -1990 4 0 0 0 0 0 1990 -1991 4 0 0 0 0 0 1991 -1992 9 18 117 1 115 4 1992 -1993 9 20 129 2 345 5 1993 -1994 10 22 142 2 691 5 1994 -1995 10 24 155 3 1,152 6 1995 -1996 11 26 168 4 1,727 6 1996 -1997 11 28 180 5 2,418 7 1997 -1998 12 30 193 5 3,224 7 1998 -1999 12 32 206 6 4,145 8 1 1999 -2000 13 34 219 7 5,182 8 vThe following amounts of development are projected to occur over a 1 year period beginning 1 5 years after the start of the study period: Street miles: Res.. 0 Nonres.: 4 Total: 4 Curb miles: 16 Median miles: 4 The following amounts of development are projected to occur over a 20 year period beginning 5 years after the start of the study period: Street miles: Res.. 0.0 Nonres.: 9.8 Total: 9.8 Curb miles: 39.2 Median miles: 9.8 Traffic signals: 15.0 The following standards for development are assumed to apply: Street lights: 26 per mile. Street trees: 115 per residential mile. 235 per nonresidential mile. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 29 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 SUMMARY OF NET OPERATING COSTS* Culture & General Public Transpor- Health & Leisure Community Total Years Gov't Safety tation Welfare Services Dev't Cost ------- ------ ------ ...... ...... ------ ...... ...... 1985 -1986 632,500 1,680,970 564,066 8,925 354,821 248,640 3,489,922 1986 -1987 763,017 1,977,386 657,161 18,992 535,617 264,553 4,216,726 1987 -1988 816,167 2,211,487 716,541 20,208 581,747 281,484 4,627,635 1988 -1989 868,096 2,452,330 780,883 21,501 632,146 299,499 5,054,456 1989 -1990 923,334 2,701,909 850,118 22,877 682,296 318,667 5,499,201 1990 -1991 982,090 3,023,741 924,930 24,341 735,371 339,062 6,029,536 1991 -1992 1,044,590 3,243,776 1,087,284 25,899 783,888 360,762 6,546,199 1992 -1993 1,111,072 3,479,590 1,171,340 27,557 835,603 383,851 7,009,014 1993 -1994 1,181,791 3,732,302 1,263,031 29,320 890,727 408,417 7,505,589 1994 -1995 1,257,016 4,028,276 1,363,075 31,197 949,484 434,556 8,063,605 1995 -1996 1,337,035 4,320,069 1,472,256 33,194 1,012,114 462,367 8,637,035 1996 -1997 1,422,154 4,622,255 1,591,242 35,318 1,076,889 491,959 9,239,818 1997 -1998 1,512,698 4,945,427 1,721,132 37,578 1,145,810 523,444 9,886,089 1 1998 -1999 1,609,012 5,291,031 1,862,942 39,983 1,219,142 556,945 10,579,055 1999 -2000 1,711,467 5,660,616 2,017,781 42,542 1,297,167 592,589 11,322,163 Ln 00 1 * Excludes costs that are offset by fees for special police services, recreation, zoning and subdivision processing, plan check and inspection, building permits, Zone 7 collections and special assessment district revenues. Gruen Gruen +Associates PROJECTED REVENUES General Fund Revenues Table 30 summarizes the projected general fund revenues for this analysis of the proposed annexation with business park development . It shows that total revenue ( excluding the revenues noted in the footnote to the table) would increase from $5 ,752 ,381 in 1985-1986 to $16 , 200 ,869 in 1999-2000 . This total for the final year is approximately $973 , 239 greater than the amount for the final year in the no annexa- tion case . The difference is attributable to the same in- creases in estimated revenues as in the annexation with no development case plus added revenues from taxes (property taxes, sales taxes, electric franchise fees and gas franchise fees) . The total estimated revenue for 1999-2000 is $895 ,781 greater than the projected total for the annexation with no development case . Traffic Safety Fund Revenues and State Gas Tax Fund Revenues Revenue from vehicle code fines is projected to be the same in this scenario as in the annexation with no development case . These revenues , shown in Table 20 ( page 43 ) , are projected to exceed the projected amount for the no annexa- tion case by approximately $317 in 1999-2000 . This estimate is conservatively low in that it does not anticipate added fines paid by business park-related traffic . State gas tax revenues are similarly projected to be the same . in this scenario as in the annexation with no development case , increasing from $253 ,000 in 1985-1986 to $337 , 162 in Gruen Gruen +Associates - 59 - s Table 30 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin . Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL GENERAL FUND REVENUE* Licenses Fines and Intergov. Charges and Forfei- Use of Revenue- for Misc. Total Years Taxes Permits tures Property State Services Revenues Revenue ------- ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... 6 5 1985 -198 ,070,000 12,000 8,500 58,400 565,882 8,400 29,199 5,752,381 1986 -1987 5,796,710 13,821 9,552 65,626 585,162 9,662 29,532 6,510,064 1987 -1988 6,392,771 15,141 9,961 68,435 683,577 10,580 29,886 7,210,351 1988 -1989 7,015,869 16,595 10,388 71,369 709,715 11,589 30,263 7,865,787 1989 -1990 7,710,717 18,013 10,683 73,399 727,800 12,576 30,664 8,583,851 1990 -1991 8,400,929 19,512 10,953 75,251 744,297 13,619 31,090 9,295,651 1991 -1992 8,978,514 20,814 10,992 75,520 746,692 14,527 31,544 9,878,603 1992 -1993 9,597,016 22,203 11,031 75,789 749,087 15,496 32,027 10,502,649 1993 -1994 10,258,838 23,684 11,070 76,057 751,483 16,529 32,541 11,170,202 1994 -1995 10,966,887 25,265 11,109 76,326 753,878 17,632 33,087 11,884,184 1995 -1996 11,715,968 26,950 11,148 76,595 756,273 18,807 33,669 12,639,410 1996 -1997 12,515,094 28,675 11,148 76,595 756,273 20,011 34,288 13,442,084 1997 -1998 13,369,929 30,510 11,148 76,595 756,273 21,291 34,946 14,300,694 1 1998 -1999 14,284,181 32,463 11,148 76,595 756,273 22,654 35,647 15,218,961 1999 -2000 15,261,816 34,540 11,148 76,595 756,273 24,104 36,392 16,200,869 0 I * Excludes revenues from building permits, bus bench ad permits, other permits, homeowners property tax relief subvention, zoning and subdivision fees, plan check and inspection fees, park and recreation fees, special police department service fees Zone 7 drainage fees, special assessment districts and interest. Gruen Gruen +Associates 1999-2000 . These revenues, shown in Table 21 (page 45) are $34 ,180 greater in the latter year than the projection for the no annexation case . Park Dedication Fund Revenues, Other Fund Revenues and Revenues Considered for the First Year of the Study Only Revenue to all other funds specifically considered in the study - the Park Dedication fund , the TDA fund , the OTS Grant fund , the 1984 State Park Bond Act fund , the general revenue sharing fund , the CDBG fund and the FAU fund - is unaffected by the development of business park uses in the annexation area . Similarly, the revenue considered only for the first year of the study - bus bench ad permits , homeowners' pro- perty tax relief subventions and assessment district payments - would be unaffected by the annexation. Total Revenues The total revenue projected to be collected in all city funds in the annexation with development scenario is summarized in Table 31 . Once again, this table calculates projected inter- est revenue for all funds . The table shows that revenues from all sources, excluding those specifically noted in the footnote , are projected to increase from $7 ,988 ,755 in 1985- 1986 to $17 ,302 ,930 in 1999-2000 . The amount in 1999-2000 is approximately $1 ,048 ,045 higher than the amount for the no annexation case and $931 ,612 higher than the amount for the annexation with no development case in the same year . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 61 - s Table 31 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 TOTAL REVENUE IN ALL FUNDS* Traffic State Park Revenues General Safety Gas Tax Dedication Other Not Interest on Total Years Fund Fund Fund Fund Funds** Projected*** Revenues Revenue** ------- ------ ------ ...... ...... ...... ------ ...... ...... 1985 -1986 5,752,381 55,000 253,000 67,300 841,974 19,100 1,000,000 7,988,755 1986 -1987 6,510,064 61,805 261,321 935,163 71,832 0 313,607 8,153,792 1987 -1988 7,210,351 64,451 304,791 840,759 72,811 0 339,727 8,832,890 1988 -1989 7,865,787 67,214 316,071 0 13,780 0 330,514 8,593,366 1989 -1990 8,583,851 69,126 323,875 0 14,662 0 359,661 9,351,174 1990 -1991 9,295,651 70,870 330,994 0 15,600 0 388,525 10,101,639 1991 -1992 9,878,603 71,123 332,028 0 16,599 0 411,934 10,710,286 1992 -1993 10,502,649 71,376 334,061 0 17,661 0 437,030 11,362,777 1993 -1994 11,170,202 71,629 335,095 0 18,791 0 463,829 12,059,547 1994 -1995 11,884,184 71,883 336,129 0 19,994 0 492,488 12,804,677 1995 -1996 12,639,410 72,136 337,162 0 21,274 0 522,799 13,592,781 1996 -1997 13,442,084 72,136 337,162 0 22,635 0 554,961 14,428,978 1997 -1998 14,300,694 72,136 337,162 0 24,084 0 589,363 15,323,439 1 1998 -1999 15,218,961 72,136 337,162 0 25,625 0 626,155 16,280,040 M 1999 -2000 16,200,869 72,136 337,162 0 27,265 0 665,497 17,302,930 N 1 Interest on revenues in the first year of the study is 1,000,000 In future years, interest of 10% per year on 40% of revenues is assumed. Interest on the reserve is calculated separately. * Excludes all revenues assumed to offset costs directly (see notes in previous tables). ** Transportation Development Act Fund, Office of Traffic Safety Grant Fund, 1984 State Park Bond Act Fund, General Revenue Sharing Fund, Community Development Block Grant Fund, Federal Aid Urban Fund. *** Bus bench ad permits, other permits, other service charges, reimbursement for homeowners' property tax exemption, property sales. Gruen Gruen +Associates THE APPROPRIATIONS LIMIT Calculation of the Limit The development of nonresidential uses in the annexation area would have no impact on the City of Dublin ' s appropriations limit , because the limit is adjusted only in response to income growth and inflation . As shown for the annexation with no development case in Table 23 (page 48) , therefore , the appropriations limit in this scenario would increase from its current level to $24 ,472 ,077 by the year 1999-2000 . Projected Revenues from Proceeds of Taxes The projected city revenues from the proceeds of taxes in the annexation with no new development case are calculated in Table 32 . The table shows that these revenues are estimated to increase from $6 ,249 ,622 in 1985-1986 to $17 ,037 ,818 in 1999-2000 . Impact of the Appropriations Limit As in the two other cases , revenues from the proceeds of taxes are not projected to exceed the appropriations limit during the study period and would consequently have no impact on spendable revenues. BALANCE BEFORE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES The balance between projected revenues and projected operat- ing costs in the case of annexation with development would increase from $4 ,498 ,833 in 1985-1986 to $5 ,980 ,767 in 1999- Gruen Gruen + Associates _ 63 - Table 32 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 PROCEEDS OF TAXES Interest Homeowners' Attributable Intergov't Gas TDA OTS Prop. Tax to Tax Years Taxes Rev.-State Tax Funds Grant Exemption Subtotal Proceeds Total ------- ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... ------ ...... ------ ...... 1985 -1986 5,070,000 565,882 253,000 11,440 6,000 18,300 5,924,622 325,000 6,249,622 1986 -1987 5,796,710 585,162 261,321 12,172 0 0 6,655,365 266,215 6,921,580 1987 -1988 6,392,771 683,577 304,791 12,951 0 0 7,394,091 295,764 7,689,854 1988 -1989 7,015,869 709,715 316,071 13,780 0 0 8,055,435 322,217 8,377,652 1989 -1990 7,710,717 727,800 323,875 14,662 0 0 8,777,053 351,082 9,128,135 1990 -1991 8,400,929 744,297 330,994 15,600 0 0 9,491,821 379,673 9,871,494 1991 -1992 8,978,514 746,692 332,028 16,599 0 0 10,073,832 402,953 10,476,786 1992 -1993 9,597,016 749,087 334,061 17,661 0 0 10,697,826 427,913 11,125,739 1993 -1994 10,258,838 751,483 335,095 18,791 0 0 11,364,207 454,568 11,818,775 1994 -1995 10,966,887 753,878 336,129 19,994 0 0 12,076,888 483,076 12,559,964 1995 -1996 11,715,968 756,273 337,162 21,274 0 0 12,830,677 513,227 13,343,904 1996 -1997 12,515,094 756,273 337,162 22,635 0 0 13,631,165 545,247 14,176,411 1997 -1998 13,369,929 756,273 337,162 24,084 0 0 14,487,449 579,498 15,066,947 1998 -1999 14,284,181 756,273 337,162 25,625 0 0 15,403,242 616,130 16,019,372 1999 -2000 15,261,816 756,273 337,162 27,265 0 0 16,382,517 655,301 17,037,818 I Gruen Gruen +Associates 2000 . The year-by-year balances are shown in the "Net" column of Table 33 . The projected net balance in 1999-2000 is $128 ,069 greater than the projected net for no annexation case and $82 ,367 greater than the projected net for the annexation with no development case . CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES The projected capital expenditures and reserves for this scenario are shown in Table 33 . In that table , the reserve fund is set at $11 ,446 ,160 for the year 1989-1990 and at $11 ,420 ,567 for years beginning in 1990-1991 . These amounts are identical to those shown for the annexation with no development case in Table 25 ( page 51 ) . The resulting projection of capital expenditures increases from $3 ,780 , 164 in 1988-1989 to $7 ,122 ,820 in 1999-2000 . SUMMARY FIGURES TO BE USED FOR COMPARISON Table 34 presents the summary figures for the annexation case and compares them ' to those for the no annexation and annexa- tion with no development cases . As the table indicates , total operating expenses and total revenues would be highest in the annexation with development case . Total capital expenditures would be greater than in the no annexation case but less than in the annexation with no development scenario . The net balance for the entire study period and the reserve fund would total the same amount as in the annexation with no development case , as assumed in this projection . The net balance in the final year of the study period would be more favorable than in either of the other two cases. Gruen Gruen +Associates 65 - Table 33 Fiscal Model for the City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 BALANCE BETWEEN OPERATING COSTS AND REVENUES; Capital Expenditures CALCULATION OF POTENTIAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (Page 1) Budgeted or Revenues Total Reserve @ Interest Available Total Not Spendable Operating Beginning on from Interest Police Years Revenues* Spendable Revenues* Costs Net of Year Reserve** and Surplus Cars Total ------- ...... ...... ------ ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... ...... 1985 -1986 7,988,755 0 7,988,755 3,489,922 4,498,833 9,418,714 5,666,556 0 5,666,556 1986 -1987 8,153,792 0 8,153,792 4,216,726 3,937,066 8,250,991 825,099 4,278,025 27,664 4,305,689 1987 -1988 8,832,890 0 8,832,890 4,627,635 4,205,255 8,707,468 870,747 3,143,831 14,717 3,158,548 1988 -1989 8,593,366 0 8,593,366 5,054,456 3,538,910 10,624,921 1,062,492 3,780,164 0 3,780,164 1989 -1990 9,351,174 0 9,351,174 5,499,201 3,851,973 11,446,160 1,144,616 4,954,295 42,294 4,996,589 1990 -1991 10,101,639 0 10,101,639 6,029,536 4,072,104 11,446,160 1,144,616 5,242,353 0 5,242,353 1991 -1992 10,710,286 0 10,710,286 6,546,199 4,164,087 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,306,140 0 5,306,140 1992 -1993 11,362,777 0 11,362,777 7,009,014 4,353,764 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,495,817 0 5,495,817 1993 -1994 12,059,547 0 12,059,547 7,505,589 4,553,958 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,696,010 0 5,696,010 1994 -1995 12,804,677 0 12,804,677 8,063,605 4,741,072 11,420,527 1,142,053 5,883,125 0 5,883,125 1995 -1996 13,592,781 0 13,592,781 8,637,035 4,955,746 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,097,799 0 6,097,799 1996 -1997 14,428,978 0 14,428,978 9,239,818 5,189,160 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,331,213 0 6,331,213 1997 -1998 15,323,439 0 15,323,439 9,886,089 5,437,350 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,579,402 0 6,579,402 1998 -1999 16,280,040 0 16,280,040 10,579,055 5,700,985 11,420,527 1,142,053 6,843,038 0 6,843,038 I 1999 -2000 17,302,930 0 17,302,930 11,322,163 51980,767 11,420,527 1,142,053 7,122,820 0 7,122,820 rn rn Excludes interest on reserve fund. I ** Sets reserve at the same level as in the annexation with no development case. The reserve at the beginning of the first year in the study is 9,418,714 The interest rate earned on reserves is assumed to be 10% per year. Expenditures for capital improvements in'-the first year of the study are 6,718,776 of which 1,052,220 are offset by contributions and reimbursements. These contributions leave 5,666,556 to be funded by other sources in the first year. Expenditures are projected to total 4,020,700 in the year ending in 1987 1989 and 2,777,000 in the year ending in 1988 with no offsetting contributions. Thereafter, expenditures for capital improvements are projected to average 3850000 per year (adjusted for inflation). (Notes for this table are continued on the following page.) Gruen Gruen + Associates Table 33 Fiscal Model for the .City of Dublin Scenario: 600 Acres of Dev. over 20 Years in Annexation Area Run Date: August 23, 1985 BALANCE BETWEEN OPERATING COSTS AND REVENUES, CALCULATION OF POTENTIAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (Page 2) The police department will add vehicles according to this schedule: Year End Number Capital Cost Annual Cost -------- ...... ............ .---------- 1987 2 13,000 15,000 1988 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 13,000 15,000 1990 1 7,000 7,000 The police department anticipates that the cost to serve the annexation area in this scenario will be 0 After development in the area begins, the department will require a total of 3 officers and 1 vehicle, to be added over 20 year development period, which begins I 5 years after the start of the study period. The capital costs for vehicles are added to the capital budget. rn (L The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen + Associates TABLE 34 Summary Figures for the Annexation with Development Case Annexation With Comparison for 15 Years Development Total Operating Expenses 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 $107,706,043 Total Capital Expenditures 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 82,505,262 Total Revenues* 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 192,213,118 Net Balance Between Revenues and Total Expenditures, 1985-1986 through 1999-2000 2,001 ,813 Comparison for 1999-2000 Net Balance Between Operating Expenses and Revenues 5,980,767 Reserve Fund 11 ,420,527 Reserve Fund as a Percent of Operating Expenses 100.9 *Includes interest on reserve fund. Source: Gruen Gruen + Associates Gruen Gruen +Associates _ 67 _ 4 CHAPTER 6 ESTIMATED FISCAL IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED ANNEXATION ON THE DUBLIN SAN RAMON SERVICES DISTRICT If the proposed annexation of Camp Parks , Tassajara Creek Regional Park and the County-owned property to the City of Dublin is approved , the Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD) would be responsible for providing the following services : fire protection , garbage collection , sanitary sewers and sewage treatment . Based on answers provided to the letter sent by the City of Dublin , it appears that the only fiscal impact of the annexation would result from a change in fire protection activity. CHANGE IN RESPONSIBILITY FOR FIRE PROTECTION DSRSD is currently responsible for fire protection in the City of Dublin but not in the proposed annexation area . If the annexation takes place, then the DSRSD service area would be expanded to encompass it. COST OF SERVICE The cost of providing fire service to the annexation area will depend on the amount of development that occurs in the area. Two cases are discussed here : a case in which the annexation is approved but no development occurs and a case in which 600 acres of the County-owned property are developed into business park uses. Gruen Gruen +Associates _ 68 _ An Annexation With No Development In the annexation with no development case , the DSRSD Fire Department would need to acquire a grass fire truck to fight fires on open lands. The cost of such a truck is estimated by Chief Phillips to be $85 ,000 . The purchase would be funded by capital improvement fees, which are charged to new development at the rate of $600 per commercial and industrial development (for multi-story buildings , the fee is increased by six percent) . There would be no additional staff cost associated with the acquisition of the grass truck , because it would be located in an existing engine company. Annexation with Development In the development case , the DSRSD Fire Department would also have to acquire a grass truck. In addition, when development in the annexation area begins, the Department would have to acquire a site and build a new station to serve the new development, and then would have to staff and .operate the new station. Chief Phillips estimates the cost of the site and station to be $550 ,000 in 1985-1986 . He further estimates that the station would be required in 1990-1991 . Given average inflation of 6 . 4 percent per year , as assumed throughout this study, the cost of the station at that time would be $750 ,017 . This expense would be funded by capital improvement fees. Chief Phillips estimates that the cost of personnel for the new station would be $546 ,000 per year and the operating cost would be $65 ,000 per year in 1985-1986 dollars. By the time the station is built in 1990-1991 , inflation will have raised these costs to $744 ,562 per year for the station and $80 ,638 per year for personnel . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 69 - REVENUE In the no development case , DSRSD would receive no additional revenue . In the development case , the district would receive revenue from capital improvement fees and from the property tax . Capital Improvement Fees As noted above , capital improvement fees are charged by the district on new development at the rate of $600 per dwelling unit and $600 per 2 ,000 square feet of commercial and indus- trial building space, with a six percent surcharge for multi- story structures. It is assumed in this analysis that one- third of the development in the annexation area is of low intensity (coverage between 25 and 37 percent , averaging 31 percent) and that the remaining two-thirds is of high inten- sity (coverage between 35 and 40 percent , averaging 37 . 5 percent) . No multi-story development is assumed . Develop- ment is assumed to occur at an average rate of 30 acres per year beginning in 1990-1991 ( these assumptions are used in all the fiscal analyses for this annexation) . Given these assumptions , once development begins it would generate an average of about $98 ,400 per year in capital improvement fees. These fees would total $984 ,021 (assuming no change in the fee schedule) by the year 1999-2000 , the end of the study period for this analysis , when development would be half built out . The calculation of revenues from the capital improvement fee is shown in Table 35 . Gruen Gruen +Associates - 70 - Table 35 Scenario: 600 Acres of Development Over 20 Years in Annex. Area Revenue to DSRSD ESTIMATE OF CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT FEES FOR THE ANNEXATION AREA Fee a $600.00 Cumulative Sq. Ft. per Capital Total Added 2,000 Improvement Years Acreage This Year Sq. Ft. Fee ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 1985 -1986 0 0 0 0 1986 -1987 0 0 0 0 1987 -1988 0 0 0 0 1988 -1989 0 0 0 0 1989 -1990 0 0 0 0 1990 -1991 30 328,007 98,402 98,402 1991 -1992 60 328,007 98,402 196,804 1992 -1993 90 328,007 98,402 295,206 1993 -1994 120 328,007 98,402 393,608 1994 -1995 150 328,007 98,402 492,011 1995 -1996 180 328,007 98,402 590,413 1996 -1997 210 328,007 98,402 688,815 1 1997 -1998 240 328,007 98,402 787,217 v 1998 -1999 270 328,007 98,402 885,619 1999 -2000 300 328,007 98,402 984,021 2000 -2001 330 328,007 98,402 1,082,423 1 2001 -2002 360 328,007 98,402 1,180,825 2002 -2003 390 328,007 98,402 1,279,227 2003 -2004 420 328,007 98,402 1,377,629 2004 -2005 450 328,007 98,402 1,476,032 2005 -2006 480 328,007 98,402 1,574,434 2006 -2007 510 328,007 98,402 1,672,836 2007 -2008 540 328,007 98,402 1,771,238 2008 -2009 570 328,007 98,402 1,869,640 2009 -2010 600 328,007 98,402 1,968,042 The following amounts of development are projected to occur over a 20 year period beginning 5 years after the start of the study period: Office: 300 acres Industrial: 300 acres Assumes the following average floor area ratios: Low intensity: 31.0% High intensity: 37.5% Assumes the following distribution of intensities: Low intensity: 33% High intensity: 67% Gruen Gruen +Associates Property Tax Revenue The amount of property tax revenue received will depend on the amount of development. It is assumed in this study that the average value of business park space may be estimated at $91 per square foot in 1985-1986 . Assuming the coverages outlined in the capital improvements section of this chapter , the value added annually would increase from $40 ,703 ,600 in the first year of development to about $71 , 139 ,000 in 1999- 2000 . The assessed value and resulting property tax on existing development would increase at a rate no greater than two percent per year , as specifed by Article 13A of the California Constitution. DSRSD currently receives an average of 21 .232169 percent of the property tax generated within the City of Dublin, according to McDonald & Associates. Assuming that the DSRSD receives the same percentage of the property tax in the annexation area that it currently re- ceives in the city and that development occurs as assumed in Table 26 (page 52) , property tax revenues collected by the district would increase from about $86 ,400 in the first year of development (1990-1991) to $1 ,258 ,200 in the last year of the study period . The projected revenues are detailed in Table 36 . BALANCE BETWEEN COSTS AND REVENUES Capital Costs and Revenues The projected balance between capital costs and revenues in the case of annexation with development is calculated in Table 37 . The table shows that the capital improvement fees from development in the annexation area would total more than Gruen Gruen +Associates - 72 - Table 36 Revenue to DSRSD Scenario: 600 Acres of Development Over 20 Years in the Annex. Area PROPERTY TAX ESTIMATE FOR THE ANNEXATION AREA Average Prop. Tax Assessed Assuming Sq. Ft. Value per Value 2% DSRSD's Total Added Added Added Incr. & No Share 51 Years Acreage This Year Sq. Ft. This Year Turnover 21.232169% ------ ...... ------ ------ ------ ...... ------ 1985 -1986 0 0 91 0 0 0 1986 -1987 0 0 97 0 0 0 1987 -1988 0 0 103 0 0 0 1988 -1989 0 0 110 0 0 0 1989 -1990 0 0 117 0 0 0 1990 -1991 30 328,007 124 40,703,583 407,036 86,423 1991 -1992 60 328,007 132 43,308,613 848,263 180,105 1992 -1993 90 328,007 140 46,080,364 1,326,032 281,545 1993 -1994 120 328,007 149 49,029,507 1,842,847 391,276 1994 -1995 150 328,007 159 52,167,396 2,401,378 509,865 1995 -1996 180 328,007 169 55,506,109 3,004,467 637,913 1996 -1997 210 328,007 180 59,058,500 3,655,141 776,066 1997 -1998 240 328,007 192 62,838,244 4,356,626 925,006 1998 -1999 270 328,007 204 66,859,892 5,112,358 1,085,464 v 1999 -2000 300 328,007 217 71,138,925 5,925,994 1,258,217 2000 -2001 330 328,007 231 75,691,816 6,801,432 1,444,092 2001 -2002 360 328,007 246 80,536,092 7,742,822 1,643,969 2002 -2003 390 328,007 261 85,690,402 8,754,582 1,858,788 2003 -2004 420 328,007 278 91,174,588 9,841,420 2,089,547 2004 -2005 450 328,007 296 97,009,761 11,008,346 2,337,311 2005 -2006 480 328,007 315 103,218,386 12,260,697 2,603,212 2006 -2007 510 328,007 335 109,824,363 13,604,154 2,888,457 2007 -2008 540 328,007 356 116,853,122 15,044,769 3,194,331 2008 -2009 570 328,007 379 124,331,722 16,588,981 3,522,201 2009 -2010 600 328,007 403 132,288,952 18,243,650 3,873,523 The following amounts of development are projected to occur over a 20 year period beginning 5 years after the start of the study period: Office: 300 acres Industrial: 300 acres Assumes the following average floor area ratios: Low intensity: 31.0% High intensity: 37.5% Assumes the following distribution of intensities: Low intensity: 33.3% High intensity: 66.7% The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates Table 37 Revenue to DSRSD Scenario: 600 Acres of Development Over 20 Years in the Annex. Area SUMMARY OF REVENUES AND COSTS Capital Revenues and Costs Operating Revenues and Costs Costs Capital ---------------------------- Improvement Cumulative Property Station Cumulative Years Fees Costs Net Net Taxes Operations Personnel Total Net Net ------ ------ ------ ------ ...... ------ ...... ------ ------ ...... ------ 1985 -1986 0 85,000 -85,000 -85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1986 -1987 0 0 0 -85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1987 -1988 0 0 0 -85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1988 -1989 0 0 0 -85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1989 -1990 0 0 0 -85,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1990 -1991 98,402 750,017 -651,614 -736,614 86,423 88,638 744,562 833,200 -746,778 -746,778 1991 -1992 98,402 0 98,402 -638,212 180,105 94,311 792,214 886,525 -706,420 -1,453,198 1992 -1993 98,402 0 98,402 -539,810 281,545 100,347 842,915 943,263 -661,717 -2,114,915 1993 -1994 98,402 0 98,402 -441,408 391,276 106,769 896,862 1,003,631 -612,355 -2,727,270 1994 -1995 98,402 0 98,402 -343,006 509,865 113,603 954,261 1,067,864 -557,999 -3,285,269 1995 -1996 98,402 0 98,402 -244,604 637,913 120,873 1,015,334 1,136,207 -498,294 -3,783,563 I 1996 -1997 98,402 0 98,402 -146,202 776,066 128,609 1,080,315 1,208,924 -432,859 -4,216,422 1997 -1998 98,402 0 98,402 -47,800 925,006 136,840 1,149,456 1,286,295 -361,289 -4,577,711 1998 -1999 98,402 0 98,402 50,602 1,085,464 145,598 1,223,021 1,368,618 -283,154 -4,860,865 p 1999 -2000 98,402 0 98,402 149,004 1,258,217 154,916 1,301,294 1,456,210 -197,993 -5,058,858 2000 -2001 98,402 0 98,402 247,407 1,444,092 164,831 1,384,577 1,549,407 -105,316 -5,164,173 2001 -2002 98,402 0 98,402 345,809 1,643,969 175,380 1,473,190 1,648,569 -4,600 -5,168,774 2002 -2003 98,402 0 98,402 444,211 1,858,788 186,604 1,567,474 1,754,078 104,710 -5,064,064 2003 -2004 98,402 0 98,402 542,613 2,089,547 198,547 1,667,792 1,866,339 223,208 -4,840,856 2004 -2005 98,402 0 98,402 641,015 2,337,311 211,254 1,774,531 1,985,785 351,526 -4,489,330 2005 -2006 98,402 0 98,402 739,417 2,603,212 224,774 1,888,101 2,112,875 490,337 -3,998,993 2006 -2007 98,402 0 98,402 837,819 2,888,457 239,159 2,008,939 2,248,099 640,358 -3,358,635 2007 -2008 98,402 0 98,402 936,221 3,194,331 254,466 2,137,511 2,391,977 802,354 -2,556,281 2008 -2009 98,402 0 98,402 1,034,623 3,522,201 270,751 2,274,312 2,545,064 977,137 -1,579,145 2009 -2010 98,402 0 98,402 1,133,025 3,873,523 288,080 2,419,868 2,707,948 1,165,575 -413,570 The cost of a grass truck is assumed to be 85,000 in 1985-1986. The capital cost of the station is assumed to be 550,000 in 1985-1986. The cost shown reflects inflation. The operating cost of the station is assumed to be 65,000 per year for the station plus 546,000 per year for personnel in 1985-1986. The costs shown reflect inflation. The inflation rate is assumed to average 6.4% per year. Gruen Gruen +Associates the capital expenditures in 1998-1999 . By full development , projected for 2009-2010 , cumulative capital improvements fees will have exceeded total capital costs by $1 ,133 ,025 . Operating Costs and Revenues The projected balance between operating costs and revenues is also shown in Table 37 . The table indicates that the costs of station and personnel in 1990-1991 , when the station is built, would exceed the revenues from property tax in that year by $746 ,778 . The balance between operating costs and revenues would turn positive in 2002-2003 , and the subsequent positive annual balances would nearly bring cumulative reve- nues even with cumulative costs by the full development year of 2009-2010 . Gruen Gruen + Associates - 75 -